Super 15 Week 8

Question

Super 15 YTD 10-22-1 -55.60 unitsHad a good weekend last weekend, lets hope can keep rolling off the back of that and make some more good picks and some money. Some interesting looking game lines this weekend but think i have a few goodies.Picks:Highlanders/Rebels Over 52.5 5 units @ $1.90The highlanders games at home over past few seasons have always been high scoring and this total is a little higher than i had hoped for but still like the over here. The average total score in their only 3 matches has been total of 61. So that stands good for the over play here. Not to mention that games this year at home for the Highlanders have all gone over. The Rebels are off an emotional win over the Brumbies and may lack the energy on D and the Highlanders will be looking to bounce back strong after a poor game last week. I believe that is the exact recipe for an over here.Brumbies/Blues Over 42.5 5 units @ $1.90Really like this number tonight. They average score when these 2 teams get together is 49 and even higher at 54 when they play in Canberra. So that would suggest that over their history they tend to throw the ball around and score plenty. The Blues are starting to come good after a slow start away from home and the Brumbies have been very up and down side to start the 2014 season. I do honestly believe they Blues have a great shot at the Su win but like the over much better as home sides do tend to win a lot more than away sides in Super Rugby. I think it is mainly down to how far you have to travel some times.BOL

snake2710 · Answer

Super 15 YTD 10-22-1 -55.60 unitsHad a good weekend last weekend, lets hope can keep rolling off the back of that and make some more good picks and some money. Some interesting looking game lines this weekend but think i have a few goodies.Picks:Highlanders/Rebels Over 52.5 5 units @ $1.90The highlanders games at home over past few seasons have always been high scoring and this total is a little higher than i had hoped for but still like the over here. The average total score in their only 3 matches has been total of 61. So that stands good for the over play here. Not to mention that games this year at home for the Highlanders have all gone over. The Rebels are off an emotional win over the Brumbies and may lack the energy on D and the Highlanders will be looking to bounce back strong after a poor game last week. I believe that is the exact recipe for an over here.Brumbies/Blues Over 42.5 5 units @ $1.90Really like this number tonight. They average score when these 2 teams get together is 49 and even higher at 54 when they play in Canberra. So that would suggest that over their history they tend to throw the ball around and score plenty. The Blues are starting to come good after a slow start away from home and the Brumbies have been very up and down side to start the 2014 season. I do honestly believe they Blues have a great shot at the Su win but like the over much better as home sides do tend to win a lot more than away sides in Super Rugby. I think it is mainly down to how far you have to travel some times.BOL

GDayMate · Answer

GL with above. My book doesn&#x27;t put up O/U numbers until very late. I expect Stormers/Tahs game to be low scoring with several key attacking players out/unlikely for both sides. If they put up a number over 40 I&#x27;ll be tempted to have a lick at the Under.

snake2710 · Answer

Just had a look at BET365 and they have set the total for Stormers/Tahs game at 41.5 so that would be a bit of you.

snake2710 · Answer

Have been having a think about the remaining games for the weekend and decided to make some plays now as more than likely will not get a chance tomorrow.

Picks:

Chiefs 1-12 Margin 3 units @ $2.70

I do not think the Chiefs will get a win by a massive margin in SA over the cheetahs but all the same think they get up for the win. They have rung the changes again this week 10 in all, but i think it is mainly in attempt to keep players fresh over their trip so they dont miss a beat once they get back to NZ. Chiefs should edge out a win by 5 to 9 points.

Lions +4.0 5 units @ $1.90

This has to be one of the plays of the round really. Saders off a long trip to SA and the lions play a lot better at home than on the road. Yes the Lions have only beaten the Saders twice since 1998 but the saders team of this year is just flat out poor really. No Reid will make for a difference as well.

BOL

GDayMate · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;Well I&#x27;m tempted Snake. Plenty of time so I&#x27;ll see how my earlier bets go. &#xD;&#xA;Any thought on Canes? I&#x27;m thinking they might be the pick of the round.

snake2710 · Answer

GDaymateI have been burnt to many times this year by the Canes to want to bet them laying chalk again. I do think Canes win but not enough to make a bet on them, if my 2 plays tonight go well i may have dash at them 1-12 later tonight or tomorrowSome stats you should know about the Stormers game. They average 40 points overall and 41 when they have played in SA so that number seems to be right on the mark and would be causious making a play on that total. At 40 it can get blown right off the map with a couple quick tries.

GDayMate · Answer

Snake,&#xD;&#xA;Stormers/Tahs number is right around where I anticipated. I expect this game to be a grind and whoever is leading down the stretch to really close it up. Certainly no "good thing" at that number but probably stays Under.&#xD;&#xA;My book has tossed up 54.5 &amp; 41.5 for tonight&#x27;s games. Again the number is probably spot on for the early game so I won&#x27;t be touching it but GL. Not concerned about O/U for 2nd game - I&#x27;ll just be hitting Brumbies -4.5.&#xD;&#xA;GL over the weekend, both on the punt and the golf.

aussie_tweed · Answer

With the Brumbies game. They postponed the races today due to storms and state of the track. Just thought I&#x27;d let you know.

rod_steel · Answer

From all reports Canberra was hit with torrential rain during the day

snake2710 · Answer

Super 15 YTD 11-23-1 -56.10 units&#xD;&#xA;That 2nd game was so close to going over. Over night I have been thinking about the Canes game and going to make just one more play for the round.&#xD;&#xA;Pick:&#xD;&#xA;Hurricanes 1-12 Margin 3 units @ $2.60&#xD;&#xA;Bulls off a long road trip to get to NZ and the back of 2 very hard fought games. Think the Canes have enough for the win in this spot but do not expect them to blow the Blue Bulls off the park.&#xD;&#xA;BOL

snake2710 · Answer

Super 15 YTD 12-25-1 -59.00 units

Super 15 Week 8

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