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    All Forums | Rugby

    Super 15 Week 14

    snake2710
    milagrosman
    MacDrews
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    Views: 692
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    snake2710
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 6:14 PM ET #1

    Super 15 YTD 50-47-0 +5.60 units

    Finally have my record back in the black and hoping i am going in the right direction to start making some good money weekend to weekend. We have 3 games on the card for tonight and have a few plays like the look of a lot.

    Picks:

    Chiefs -2.0 7 units @ $1.90

    They have been a little up and down to start the season and their D is not what would expect of them but all the same they have been winning games and i see no reason for that to change tonight. It is no secret that they have many injuries in the midfield, but even so like the combination they have on the park for tonight. Plus to add they will not be coming up against smith their so that is a huge bonus. The Canes have had to make the long trip back from SA and think this will hurt them when comes down to the final 20 mins. For me the Chiefs should have to much fire power and get a good win over the Canes tonight.

    Chiefs/Hurricanes Over 50.5 5 units @ $1.90

    This game should be full of running rugby and plenty of tries tonight. The weather forecast looks good for the game and the temp does not look to cold for the game either. Both teams really like to throw the ball around and score points and i believe we see a track meet tonight. Also as mentioned above the canes have had to make the long trip back from SA and this could make them a little underdone for the final 20 mins. This could be the winning of the over tonight.

    Rebels +6.5 5 units @ $2.00

    The rebels have been so close this season in so many of the games, and when they been blown off the park early they have shown the courage to fight back into the game. The Stormers have had a hard road trip and i don't see it getting any easier tonight. The rebels are a good side at home and think they will have the goods to keep the game close. This could also be a small look ahead spot for the Stormers after the road trip looking forward to get home and taking the game a little light as the rebels could be viewed as easy beats.

    That is it for now but may have a few more plays after TTs and Try totals come out. Really think we see a few tries tonight in the Chiefs game so will be targeting that for perhaps another play.

    Do like the Sharks in the night cap game tonight but they have been very up and down on their tour and the Force have been improving over the course of the comp to date. 

    BOL
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Super 15 YTD 50-47-0 +5.60 units

    Finally have my record back in the black and hoping i am going in the right direction to start making some good money weekend to weekend. We have 3 games on the card for tonight and have a few plays like the look of a lot.

    Picks:

    Chiefs -2.0 7 units @ $1.90

    They have been a little up and down to start the season and their D is not what would expect of them but all the same they have been winning games and i see no reason for that to change tonight. It is no secret that they have many injuries in the midfield, but even so like the combination they have on the park for tonight. Plus to add they will not be coming up against smith their so that is a huge bonus. The Canes have had to make the long trip back from SA and think this will hurt them when comes down to the final 20 mins. For me the Chiefs should have to much fire power and get a good win over the Canes tonight.

    Chiefs/Hurricanes Over 50.5 5 units @ $1.90

    This game should be full of running rugby and plenty of tries tonight. The weather forecast looks good for the game and the temp does not look to cold for the game either. Both teams really like to throw the ball around and score points and i believe we see a track meet tonight. Also as mentioned above the canes have had to make the long trip back from SA and this could make them a little underdone for the final 20 mins. This could be the winning of the over tonight.

    Rebels +6.5 5 units @ $2.00

    The rebels have been so close this season in so many of the games, and when they been blown off the park early they have shown the courage to fight back into the game. The Stormers have had a hard road trip and i don't see it getting any easier tonight. The rebels are a good side at home and think they will have the goods to keep the game close. This could also be a small look ahead spot for the Stormers after the road trip looking forward to get home and taking the game a little light as the rebels could be viewed as easy beats.

    That is it for now but may have a few more plays after TTs and Try totals come out. Really think we see a few tries tonight in the Chiefs game so will be targeting that for perhaps another play.

    Do like the Sharks in the night cap game tonight but they have been very up and down on their tour and the Force have been improving over the course of the comp to date. 

    BOL
     
    milagrosman
    milagrosman
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 6:39 PM ET #2

    Looks good snake...I like the over too for Cane/Chiefs game..
    unfortunately 5Dimes has not been able to post the total yet and
    I have to keep on them to see if they can it posted before game time.

    Would also like to play the under for Force game...put some
    mojo out there fore me that  5Dimes gets the totals posted...
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    Looks good snake...I like the over too for Cane/Chiefs game..
    unfortunately 5Dimes has not been able to post the total yet and
    I have to keep on them to see if they can it posted before game time.

    Would also like to play the under for Force game...put some
    mojo out there fore me that  5Dimes gets the totals posted...
     
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 7:10 PM ET #3

    Yea that force sharks game could be a good spot for an under with both teams playing good D and think the sharks could also be looking ahead to getting home after a long road trip.

    Milagrosman
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    Yea that force sharks game could be a good spot for an under with both teams playing good D and think the sharks could also be looking ahead to getting home after a long road trip.

    Milagrosman
     
    milagrosman
    milagrosman
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 8:02 PM ET #4

    A little off subject of Super rugby...sat is Heineken cup finals
    Been watching the weather in Dublin and looks like a real wet
    day...heavy rain predicted during game time...They averaged 48
    a game during regular season...no total posted yet though...
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    A little off subject of Super rugby...sat is Heineken cup finals
    Been watching the weather in Dublin and looks like a real wet
    day...heavy rain predicted during game time...They averaged 48
    a game during regular season...no total posted yet though...
     
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 8:10 PM ET #5

    if there is heavy rain around that number will be a lot lower, only issue i have with getting low numbers is the number of shots at goal for penalties they have in Rugby
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    if there is heavy rain around that number will be a lot lower, only issue i have with getting low numbers is the number of shots at goal for penalties they have in Rugby
     
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 9:17 PM ET #6

    Well have the numbers up now that i have been looking for so time to lock in the final plays for the night.

    Pick:

    Chiefs Over 2.5 Tries 10 units @ $1.80

    Really like this number a lot. I think the Chiefs get the bonus point and 4 tries tonight so see a lot of value in this line.


    BOL
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    Well have the numbers up now that i have been looking for so time to lock in the final plays for the night.

    Pick:

    Chiefs Over 2.5 Tries 10 units @ $1.80

    Really like this number a lot. I think the Chiefs get the bonus point and 4 tries tonight so see a lot of value in this line.


    BOL
     
    milagrosman
    milagrosman
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 9:26 PM ET #7

    Snake I am trying to determine how much money is involved in your
    bets....does 10 units @$1.80 = a bet of $18 in your currency??
    And is the return if it hits???  Thanks
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    Snake I am trying to determine how much money is involved in your
    bets....does 10 units @$1.80 = a bet of $18 in your currency??
    And is the return if it hits???  Thanks
     
    snake2710
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 9:37 PM ET #8

    1 unit is $20 buck mate

    So that bet is $200 @ $1.80 to win $180
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    1 unit is $20 buck mate

    So that bet is $200 @ $1.80 to win $180
     
    MacDrews
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 9:57 PM ET #9

    Chiefs Over 2.5 Tries 10 units @ $1.80 

    That's juicy snake...  
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    Chiefs Over 2.5 Tries 10 units @ $1.80 

    That's juicy snake...  
     
    snake2710
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 10:03 PM ET #10

    Yea i know i thought they would have set it at about 3.0 if not 3.5 but to get 2.5 i think there is a bucket load of value the way they attack and the ability of the canes to leak points
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    Yea i know i thought they would have set it at about 3.0 if not 3.5 but to get 2.5 i think there is a bucket load of value the way they attack and the ability of the canes to leak points
     
    milagrosman
    milagrosman
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    Posted: May. 16, 2013 - 10:05 PM ET #11

    Thanks snake for info on bet....good luck on rest of your investments for today....




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    Thanks snake for info on bet....good luck on rest of your investments for today....




     
    snake2710
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 17, 2013 - 12:26 AM ET #12

    milagrosman

    Cheers bud you should have a go at posting bud, from what i can tell you are pretty onto it and learning quickly. 

    Just as an update i see there are meant to be showers during the 2nd half of the Chiefs game now, so lets hope see a few tries and points in the 1st half.
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    milagrosman

    Cheers bud you should have a go at posting bud, from what i can tell you are pretty onto it and learning quickly. 

    Just as an update i see there are meant to be showers during the 2nd half of the Chiefs game now, so lets hope see a few tries and points in the 1st half.
     
    milagrosman
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    Posted: May. 17, 2013 - 3:05 AM ET #13

    5dimes finally posted the totals and it is now at 47.5
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    5dimes finally posted the totals and it is now at 47.5
     
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 17, 2013 - 3:19 AM ET #14

    Yea it is raining, so would advise to stay away from the total, i have already made the play so just stick with it in hope
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    Yea it is raining, so would advise to stay away from the total, i have already made the play so just stick with it in hope
     
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 17, 2013 - 3:24 AM ET #15

    To some what buy out of my over have found a little parlay that like the look of a lot for tonight,

    Pick:

    Chiefs Su & Stormers Su 5 units @ $2.40

    BOL
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    To some what buy out of my over have found a little parlay that like the look of a lot for tonight,

    Pick:

    Chiefs Su & Stormers Su 5 units @ $2.40

    BOL
     
    milagrosman
    milagrosman
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    Posted: May. 17, 2013 - 3:24 AM ET #16

    How about under...???
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    How about under...???
     
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 17, 2013 - 5:35 PM ET #17

    Super 15 YTD 52-49-0 -3.60 units

    Well OMG is the only words I have for that Chiefs game. The number of chances they had to score tries and then canes would just give away the penalty.

    Don't even get me started on the Penalty try awarded in the Stormers game, there was a clear knock on, but guess ha to happen time to time when get screwed by poor calls of the refs.

    Onto the rest of the weekend. Will be away all arvo so going to post my plays soon.

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    Super 15 YTD 52-49-0 -3.60 units

    Well OMG is the only words I have for that Chiefs game. The number of chances they had to score tries and then canes would just give away the penalty.

    Don't even get me started on the Penalty try awarded in the Stormers game, there was a clear knock on, but guess ha to happen time to time when get screwed by poor calls of the refs.

    Onto the rest of the weekend. Will be away all arvo so going to post my plays soon.

     
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 17, 2013 - 6:12 PM ET #18

    I am still for the additional lines I like to play to be posted, but here goes for a few early plays that like the look of a lot.

    Picks:

    Blues +8.5 5 units @ $1.90

    The Blues to date this season have been a surprise package, nobody expected them to be as good a they have been and I think JK will have them up for this game big time. These games have been blockbusters in the past, still remember the year Carlos Spencer scored in the corner instead of in front and then kicked the conversion for them to go ahead. As he ran back gave the crown all old what's doing. Fantastic stuff really. I think tonight's game will be no exception. Both teams have it all t play for a should bring it to the table. I think the saders get the win in a close game but cant look past the Blues with the points tonight.

    Not sure what the weather is doing just yet so will wait to pull the trigger on an over bet in this game but do like the over, just don't want to get burned like did last night. Also think both teams be out to get the bonus point for 4 tries which will also help an over bet.

    Waratahs Su 5 units @ $1.90

    Well I did call them fade material early on in the season but they are now starting to play a lot better and get the job done. This is the reason why think they will have to much for the Brumbies tonight. The Brumbies are coming off a much needed bye last week but this tahs team is rolling now and just finding ways to win. This game will be one of the games of the round and with the tahs being at home just think they have to much for the Brumbies tonight.

    I do like the highlanders with the points as most times in SA the 2nd game a kiwi side plays they have a much improved performance and get the job done usually. However the Bulls are running mad at the moment and just think with the mind set of the landers they will struggle for the rest of the season as they have done to this point.

    That's all I have for the moment, may have a few more plays when get home later tonight and check out the lines of TT and Try totals.

    BOL

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    I am still for the additional lines I like to play to be posted, but here goes for a few early plays that like the look of a lot.

    Picks:

    Blues +8.5 5 units @ $1.90

    The Blues to date this season have been a surprise package, nobody expected them to be as good a they have been and I think JK will have them up for this game big time. These games have been blockbusters in the past, still remember the year Carlos Spencer scored in the corner instead of in front and then kicked the conversion for them to go ahead. As he ran back gave the crown all old what's doing. Fantastic stuff really. I think tonight's game will be no exception. Both teams have it all t play for a should bring it to the table. I think the saders get the win in a close game but cant look past the Blues with the points tonight.

    Not sure what the weather is doing just yet so will wait to pull the trigger on an over bet in this game but do like the over, just don't want to get burned like did last night. Also think both teams be out to get the bonus point for 4 tries which will also help an over bet.

    Waratahs Su 5 units @ $1.90

    Well I did call them fade material early on in the season but they are now starting to play a lot better and get the job done. This is the reason why think they will have to much for the Brumbies tonight. The Brumbies are coming off a much needed bye last week but this tahs team is rolling now and just finding ways to win. This game will be one of the games of the round and with the tahs being at home just think they have to much for the Brumbies tonight.

    I do like the highlanders with the points as most times in SA the 2nd game a kiwi side plays they have a much improved performance and get the job done usually. However the Bulls are running mad at the moment and just think with the mind set of the landers they will struggle for the rest of the season as they have done to this point.

    That's all I have for the moment, may have a few more plays when get home later tonight and check out the lines of TT and Try totals.

    BOL

     
    milagrosman
    milagrosman
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    Posted: May. 17, 2013 - 8:21 PM ET #19

    Weather in Christchurch...no rain during game time...light breeze
    but temps at 10c could go over ...
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    Weather in Christchurch...no rain during game time...light breeze
    but temps at 10c could go over ...
     
    milagrosman
    milagrosman
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    Posted: May. 17, 2013 - 8:30 PM ET #20

    By the way...I was up at 3AM rooting for the chief's for more tries
    sorry mate....get em next time around....
    on Heineken Cup the total is 32.5....still not sure on who to
    take on spread....a toss up...
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    By the way...I was up at 3AM rooting for the chief's for more tries
    sorry mate....get em next time around....
    on Heineken Cup the total is 32.5....still not sure on who to
    take on spread....a toss up...
     
    snake2710
    snake2710
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    Posts: 15753
    Posted: May. 18, 2013 - 3:12 AM ET #21

    Milagrosman

    If the total is set that low take the over, but that is with out knowing anythink about the game at all.

    Have a few more plays to add to the nights card.

    Picks:

    Highlanders TT Over 18.5 5 units @ $1.90

    Blues/Saders Over 5.5 Tries 3 units @ $2.50

    Waratahs/Brumbies Over 42.5 5 units @ $1.90

    BOL

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    Milagrosman

    If the total is set that low take the over, but that is with out knowing anythink about the game at all.

    Have a few more plays to add to the nights card.

    Picks:

    Highlanders TT Over 18.5 5 units @ $1.90

    Blues/Saders Over 5.5 Tries 3 units @ $2.50

    Waratahs/Brumbies Over 42.5 5 units @ $1.90

    BOL

     
     
    snake2710
    snake2710
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    Posted: May. 18, 2013 - 5:10 PM ET #22

    Super 15 YTD 54-52-0 -7.60 units

    Well still above the .500 mark but Highlanders really, they score 18 points come on man.

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    Super 15 YTD 54-52-0 -7.60 units

    Well still above the .500 mark but Highlanders really, they score 18 points come on man.

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