NRL Week 15

NRL YTD 58-56 -24.22 units

Well same as my Super 15 week really last w.e was not great but nothing that cant be bounced back from. Hoping for a really good w.e and get out of the RED. So here goes

Just for all those these are the FNF stats:

Favs: 12-11-1 SU

Dogs: 14-10-0 ATS

Totals 11-13

Picks:

Broncos -1.5 5 units @ $1.90

Well this line has already moved on Bet365 from +1.5 so going to buy now before it moves to much more. Hard game to get a guage both teams have many key players backing up but still should be a great slugg feast in which i expect big D from both teams. I remember a game last year towards the end of the seaqson where these 2 giants met and it was 10-4 where Darren took over the game and showed his class. Anyway the Broncos are 9-4 SU and 7-6-0 ATS. So they have had couple games where they have not covered but with such a small line that wont be an issue. Siants are 10-2-1 SU and 8-5-0 ATS. With a couple of bad weeks in the books there great run has been holted. I see this being a very low scoring game and probly a play on the under as well.

Lean: Broncos/Saints under 36.5 5 units @ $1.83

Well both teams are 6-7 on totals and i expect this game to be low scoring in a game that is a score line of something like 12-8 or the like. These teams have been to very good D teams and expect them to main up tonight in what should be a great game.

Lean: Bunnies -2.5 5 units @ $1.90

Only a lean atm as not to sure if i like this play. The Bunnies have been very up and down this year and for the most part the Titans have been very poor. But not to sure if the win last week will have got the Titans in good frame of mind and perhaps a bit of confidence. But atm leaning bunnies off the bye have had plenty of time to get ready for the game. The Bunnies are 4-8 SU and 5-7-0 ATS so have been poor really this year. The Titans are 4-9-0 ATS and SU this year so really its a bottom of the table clash that antyhink could happen. The titans have had trouble scoring points this year and the Bunnies have scored alot but have leaked alot as well. hmmmmm just a lean who would know.

As i said last week only 1 time this year has a dog not covered on FNF so perhaps soemthing there to take the Titans as i believe strongly in the Broncos getting the Win tonight.

BOL

Will be back to lock some plays.

 

without decent forwards souths have put up 6, 10 and 6 the past 3 games, arguably against better oposition.

Binomial

Yea just not sure which way to swing. If can grab +4.5 i will take it. Just waiting on some line movement if it does happen.

The under looks good in Brisbane

Rod yea like the play thinking of locking that at my 10 unit play.

Looks very very attractive play.

Well going to lock the under.

Pick:

Broncos/Saints under 36.5 10 units @ $1.80

Have already given the write up just making the play official.

Well thought just add this. Had a great morning watching the US open. Was good stuff and made some good money on rory in his group and Jason Day.

Yay yay yay.

think i might follow you ther bud gl

Davoz

Thanks bud yea feel very good about the NRL plays tonight

I`m wary of those Bunnies coming off a bye..Then throw in Sandows romper-room like decision making on the 5th tackle, one can easily see why they are dropping down the ladder like lead balloons.He`ll fit in nicely with those Eels next year...Leaning the roadies...
BOL Snakey..

bluephinn

Yea thats whats keeping me from locking the play down

Broncs & Bunnies  

Locking Bunnies

Cant be any worse than the Highlanders.

NRL YTD 60-56 -11.52 units

Broncos

Under  

Well that was a good night.

Blackcrow

Playing anything tonight snake?

Well bustdis  yes i am. Was about to do my picks just now that u ask.

What are ur thoughts on tonights games i have couple leans atm.

Leaning;

Panthers +4.5 5 units @ $1.90

Well they have been ok of late and and this shouldnt be to relevant but have been keeping this stat. The MNF underdog who loses next week is 3-5 SU and 2-6-0 ATS. So the Knights last game was that close lose to the Tigers on MNF. Also i have noticed that many teams off the bye have been bit rusty. Just an observation though. The Panthers are 5-7 SU but 8-4-0 ATS so have been able to keep games close. Weathers the knights are 5-7-0 ATS and SU so not alot there.

Any thoughts just let me know...

Cowgurls -4.5 5 units @ $1.90

The Cowgurls have been very good this year. Have played well and they get JT back and he makes a huge differnce to this team. The warriors are in a slump atm and thin they will find it tuff up in townsvile in the hot weather coming from this craapy weather in Auckland. The Cowgurls are 9-4 SU and 10-3-0 ATS. They have been very good this year at home after a shaky start. The warriors are 7-6 SU and 6-7-0 ATS so an ok record but the stats diffently favour the home team. have not always been on there side but feel they win by 8-10 tonight. warriors have not been the same after there by.

Any thoughts just let me know. Just leans atm. As for totals both are at 40.5 atm and isnt really much to suggest much either way there atm.

BOL to us all. Not going to good on the MLB hoping the phillies can pull it out late in the game.

 

Haha I'm on the other side of both of these tonight. For some reason I like the knights a lot tonight, but no one else likes them so I guess I'll stay away for this week.

As for the warriors, I made a conscious effort a couple of years ago never to bet on them after risking the flat account on them in my uni days a couple of times with disastrous results. Love their line-up but they don't have a great record in townsville, and the heat isn't going to do them any favors. Looks like I'm watching the games as a fan tonight and save for tomorrows games.

BOL for tonight.

timmy linecum killed my mlb day! hoping for some cheer in the warriors, bigs vats looks like hes bot ready to go bang

Like both the picks

Blackcrow

bustdis

U have it right part of the reason im playing the Cowgurls they are hard to beat up there. Hard place to go when ur in a slump.

NRL YTD 61-56 -6.97 units

Well that hand MNF stat comes in handy again. And omg the panthers are a cover machine atm just cant get them wins.

Won my half time bet was over 27.5 but unposted so doesnt count. gues i could say was posted as did say in rostos thread i was playing it but alguds.

Come on the cowgurls

Well atleast JT and matt scott are playing tonight. Should be a good game.

Halftime bet:

Warriors 1-12 5 units @ $2.75