NRL Footy (Round Twenty Four)...

ROUND TWENTY-FOUR

$33,000 @ $1.90 ON ST GEO ILL +4.5 V MELBOURNE
$20,000 @ $2.45 ON ST GEO ILL V MELBOURNE
$10,000 @ $1.80 ON ST GEO ILL +4.5 V MELBOURNE
$10,000 @ $1.60 ON MELBOURNE V ST GEO ILLAWARRA
$5,350 @ $1.80 ON GOLD COAST V CANBERRA
$5,000 @ $1.60 ON MELBOURNE V ST GEO ILLAWARRA

$5,000 @ $3.25 ON MELBOURNE TO WIN PREMIERSHIP

some interesting bets out there. A lot of money coming for saints ae.

Yeah mate but wouldn't trust anything coming out of the Sportsbet.

Friday night records...

Bunnies 4-2 (4-2 ATS), Cows 2-2 (2-2 ATS), Storm 2-0 (2-0 ATS), Saints 1-3-1 (0-5 ATS)

Night games...

Storm 11-3 SU, Saints 6-5-1

Positive thing for Dragons backers is the fact the Storm's only 3 losses on the season have come at night. They roll in the daylight...

Something tells me the Dragons will step up tonight, not confident enough to put money on it though

Why not? You're getting good value. Only a -2.5 start with a $2.55 h2h. The line is off so the h2h money is premium, regardless if they win.

ROUND TWENTY-FOUR

$33,000 @ $1.90 ON ST GEO ILL +4.5 V MELBOURNE
$30,000 @ $1.85 ON NEWCASTLE +4.5 V BRISBANE
$25,000 @ $1.80 ON ST GEO ILL +4.5 V MELBOURNE
$20,000 @ $2.45 ON ST GEO ILL V MELBOURNE
$12,000 @ $1.85 ON SOUTHS -1.5 1ST HALF LINE V NTH QLD
$10,000 @ $1.72 ON SOUTHS 1ST HALF WINNER V NTH QLD
$10,000 @ $1.80 ON ST GEO ILL +4.5 V MELBOURNE
$10,000 @ $1.60 ON MELBOURNE V ST GEO ILLAWARRA
$5,350 @ $1.80 ON GOLD COAST V CANBERRA
$5,000 @ $1.60 ON MELBOURNE V ST GEO ILLAWARRA
$5,000 @ $1.55 ON MELBOURNE V ST GEO ILLAWARRA

Since 2006, Storm 6-0 (5-1 ATS) against the Dragons in Melbourne including last year when Saints won the comp and the Storm had fuck all to play for.

Billy Slater's 200th game. Dragons appear to have trouble beating the Storm in Melbourne when they're in-form, what makes people think they can beat them when they're form-less. Cronk a big loss but Melbourne will be up for this game in a big way and are the most consistent team in the comp. Dragons may not a win another game from here on in, unlikely but not impossible the way they are playing.

Lean Storm obviously...

Other game.

Cowboys fielding a strong side. Not sure I trust them on the road although I think the Bunny plane hits some turbulence. Wins over the slumping Dragons, scared-to-win Eels and hopeless Raiders doesn't really warrant fantastic form and after tallying a ton of points they're due to hit a flat spot. Law of averages. Game has FG written all over it.

Line should be closer to 4.5 given the current fortunes of either team.

Lean Cowboys...

Well all good reading for both my plays.

Inglis out tonight. Lingering concussion...

37-42 (+15.48)

North Queensland Cowboys at South Sydney Rabbitohs

The play...Cowboys +3.5 (2 units)

Cows at full strength. Thurston shook the rust last week. Bunnies beating up on the 2011 'Never-weres'. Cowboys need a win to keep pace for a home finals berth. Souths a capable side without Inglis but he leaves them with little class out wide, Merritt and that's it.

Not gonna get involved in the other big match. Way too many intangibles. Sainst need a win in the worst way. Storm have their number but how will they play without League's best halfback and questionable poofter Cronk. Money safer in the wallet...

'Saints'...

questionable poofter

Fortunate to get the early line there. Souths had no business winning that. Thurston not the sharpest tool in the shed...

Got some real barn-burners on tonight fellas...

adding...

New Zealand Warriors at Penrith Panthers

The play...Panthers +7.5 (2 units)

Last home game for the Pennies. Playing in front of the new coach. Warriors 1-5 ATS (0-6 SU) on Saturday night's in Aussie this season. From memory the Panthers like to score during their final games at home and it's no mystery that the Warriors don't often get the rub of the green across the ditch from the refs...

Panthers

Both Jennings and Waterhouse deserving of co-man of the match honours for the Warriors. Clearly the best on field tonight...

Panthers with the cock tease and nothing more...

Random Sunday numbers...

Dogs 2-2 SU (2-2 ATS)

Seagles 5-1 SU (5-1 ATS)

Last 4 games...

Dogs 3-1 SU (3-1 ATS)

Seagles 3-1 SU (3-1 ATS)

And with scratchy pubes

Here we go...

Canterbury Bulldogs at Manly Sea Eagles

The play...Bulldogs +10.5 (2 units)

Manly 1-12 margin pays more