U are trying to compare a tactic by a club to niggle and harrass a mentally weak player causing them to crack and affect there performance to someone catching a plane for the first time and crashing?
Thats the problem, u are looking at everything retrospectively, i am trying to look at it going forward.
All these statistical terms tell me the likelihood of sonmething happening, but it cant state it for a fact.
I know planes crash, but NO ONE can tell me which ones will crash.
If the probability of something happening is very low and the chance of it happening is very low and it happens, u are them either lucky or unlucky. Its as simple as that.
If you bet the broncs on friday night are u honestly taking into consideration the chance Locky might go down?
F### no. But if he does, then u are most likely suffed up.
NO ONE KNOWS he will go down, there is a probability, sure, but no one knows, so it is a guess.
Thats the problem, u are using a mathematical term to explain an event, i am using the word luck.
It means the same thing.
If Hazem kicks a penalty goal from 10 out right in front, the chances of him doing so are almost 1.0. Meaning it is not luck.
if he attempted one from 55 metres out fromt he touch line, the chances of him getting it is extremely low, maybe 0.2, therefore, if he kicks it, you say it was a 0.2 or 20% chance of him kicking it, i say it was a lucky kick.
Luck doesnt mean magic, it is just a term used to describe an event happening where the chances are extremely low.
When betting, u never factor into events occuring that are extremely low, otherwise u will just go around in circles and circles and u would never bet.
Thats the problem, u are using a mathematical term to explain an event, i am using the word luck.
It means the same thing.
If Hazem kicks a penalty goal from 10 out right in front, the chances of him doing so are almost 1.0. Meaning it is not luck.
if he attempted one from 55 metres out fromt he touch line, the chances of him getting it is extremely low, maybe 0.2, therefore, if he kicks it, you say it was a 0.2 or 20% chance of him kicking it, i say it was a lucky kick.
Luck doesnt mean magic, it is just a term used to describe an event happening where the chances are extremely low.
When betting, u never factor into events occuring that are extremely low, otherwise u will just go around in circles and circles and u would never bet.
I saw it, it wasnt the pitchers fault, it was one of the best Short Stops in the game (in terms of fielding) Carroll.
Thats the thing, when someone bets baseball, U NEVER FACTOR INTO ACCOUNT ERRORS. yes there are some teams that commit higher errors than others, BUT can anyone say, i will back against the dodgers today because they will probably commit an error? F### no, but errors in most cases result in a win or a loss. Errors happen, but they are cost you much more severly in baseball than any other sport, except maybe soccer.
If Kobe commits 3-4 errors in a game, big woop, if Hanley Ramirez commits 3-4 errors in a game, the game is mostly gone.
And Hirschfelder, something for you to chew on,
Have u seen the Billy Walters interview in 60 minutes? yesm the king of gambling who has a team of 10, mathematicians, staticians, people who know players, trainers and coaches?
Yes, well you might be interested to know, that he bets, all american sports except for ....................................................................
Baseball.
I wonder why.
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