Breezys rugby Round 18 (and AFL)

2-5 last week to go 47-56 for the year. Want to finish strong. Just wasn't feeling it last week after that Broncos lost. I was honestly so sure Broncos would win too, so when they got flogged it even took the wind out of my sail. Time to move on.

So far really like Geelomg 1-39. This is one of these games Sydney actually just surprise everyone and win in a grinder out game, however with Hawthorn on deck next week I think Swans lose this week and then beat the hawkers next week. Sydney +18.5 or whatever the line is at the moment isn't a bad option to as I'll hear it will be wet (I'll confirm soon) and I can tell it's going to be a tough grinded out win. If Tippet was playing I would lean Swans but I think Cats have the advantage up forward and will take advantage off that.

In the NRL I think it's about time the Roosters got a win and went on a tiny roll hey +2.5 is nice but I think I'll just go with the ML.

Will confirm plays later.

Geelong 1-39 vs Sydney swans (2.00)
Sydney roosters ml @ eels (1.99)

why do you like rooster mate  if you dont mind... how can we back them in para home...  its tough mate  why why why....

Again t2, sorry for the late message. I liked Roosters for a few reasons. 1) The eels despite starting off decently are quite clearly a different team since they were stripped off points, I think they are almost unbackable for most of their remaining games, depending on the lines of course. 2) I feel roosters are going to go on a run. They a finally getting more healthy and should start playing more consistent rugby. So I just thought two teams possibly going in different directions. I was wrong tonight but I really like roosters against the sharkies next week.

You are right greenbook. I love Sydney and every year they show up for the tough games. Geelong aren't the team everyone makes them to be as well. A lot of fringe players and backlike is in a decline. Really should've gone the +18.5 but I thought Cats could pull off a little win. Sydney burnt me against tigers and I was so so so close to picking them 1-39 against the Bulldogs last week. Lucky I didn't. So yeah that kind of scared me a bit but definitely a rookie mistake not backing Sydney at + in a big game.

Magpies +45.5 @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (1.90)

Gold Coast Suns 1-39 vs Brisbane Lions (2.35)

Melbourne demons 1-39 vs Fremantle Dockers (2.15)
Canterbury Bulldogs -14.5 vs west tigers (1.90)
Western Bulldogs vs Richmond Tigers - under 172.5 (1.90)

West Coast Eagles 1-39 vs North Melbourne (2.20)
Penrith Panthers 1-12 vs Cronulla (2.95)

Probably a bit late but this game will determine if I back Essendon again throughout the year. They haven't really shown me much of a reason to back them today but it's just an absolute joke St Kilda are 40 point favorites to anyone so last two plays of the day are.

Essendon +40.5 @ St Kilda (1.90)
St Kilda 1-39 vs Essendon (2.40)

Hopefully Bombers don't run out of gas too soon. I know they are missing some decent players but St Kildas players aren't world class.

Penrith 1-12 has moved to 3.05 so I'm going to play that as well.

So to confirm the NRL
Panthers 1-12 vs Sharks (2.95)
Panthers 1-12 vs Sharks (3.05)

will only count as 1 in the win or loss column regardless of the result because it's the same play. Just saying odds are a bit better.

Even  I was thinking  is stkilda worth -40.5.  They both garbage teams... I like Ess +40.5.... 

Essendon could win at2. If there was ever a time it would be today