Breezys rugby round 10

So I have missed a few results in my record, so the overall is 18-21 with it being split up like

AFL= 6-5
NRL= 12-14
Parlays= 0-2

Take that ridiculous first week out of the record and it looks a lot better. It is what it is though. Have already locked

Sydney Swans 1-39 vs North Melbourne (2.15)

Seriously considering playing the Broncos at -12 tonight for (1.90) but won't lock it in until later. I feel like Broncos still have heaps of talent left in their side to compete against this depleted Tigers side. Since the start of the year Tigers have probably been the second worst team in the comp by a far margin. At suncorp as well off a tough loss. Anyone else got any thoughts on the Broncos/Tigers matchup? Thinking under as well.

How sad are Wests?  Broncos losing their studs to Origin and still a double-digit favorite.  Wow.

As far as the total goes, Andrew Johns said that the scoreboard should be lit up in this one and I think he's right.  I don't see an emphasis on defence here.  If Brisbane get up by enough, I don't think this makeshift-for-Origin side is goingto be too worried about building a brick wall so Wests should get theirs as well.  I'd go Over 41.5 if I was betting the total, but as always, Origin week is tough.

Good luck.

Great points headoverheart! Never of thought of it like that. In that case I like the Broncos. Will make a call closer to kick off though

Missed out on -12. Don't want to miss out on any other points.

Brisbane Broncos -14 vs West Tigers (1.90)

Hate backing big favorites and Broncos reminded me that last night. Anyways really loving the Dragons against the Cowboys later. Will make a play in a few hours in thinking. As for now I have

Port Adelaide Power -5.5 vs Melbourne Demons (1.90)
Port Adelaide 1-39 vs Melbourne demons (2.40)

The game is played in Darwin this week and I think it favour a the Power running players. I think the conditions suit Wingard/Gray/Boak/Polec better than Melbournes core players in Viney and Vince (also Hogan and Gawn as the key position players). Power haven't played to anywhere near their potential this year, Melbourne have probably been on par, if not overachieving a tiny bit. If this game was at the MCG I might take it but I really think the conditions suit Port Adelaide here.

I think the line on the Port game, like the line on the Adelaide game, is all you need to know not to back the Dees in this one.

I'm staying away, but gun to my head, I'd take Port.

Good luck.

Love the crows to win tonight as well hoh, actually going to play it but just waiting to see if there is any late outs. But no way Crows lose another big game at home. Giants are an awesome young side but they are better when people are doubting, from their like 2 games as favourite of history has shown haha. But yeah I like the Crows forward line to run wild and Daniel Talia is one of the best defenders in the comp, so Cameron won't be as effective I'm thinking. Lever will an all Australian one day as well.

Dam Melbourne running into a goal (hopefully it would've been a goal, I mean you never know these days) as the siren ran out to kill the 1-39 port bet. Oh well. For my tipping I had Sydney to win by 26 last night and Roos kicked a goal on the siren for me to get it exact so you win some you lose some.

Anyways playing Dragons -2.5 vs North Queensland (1.90)

And im just gonna lock it now, haven't heard anything on the rumour mill for late outs for the crows game so

Adelaide crows ML vs gws giants (1.96)
Adelaide crows 1-39 vs Giants (2.60)

i like drgon to win 1.65 too  eventhough i picked cows +9.5...

no thuston no cowboys

Let's hope so t2!

Raiders vs Bulldogs over 44 (1.90)

See plenty of points in this one from the raiders at least. Bit worried about the dogs scoring but if I was to back the raiders I know they'd come out and score 100, so I'll go the over instead of trying to dodge the Bulldogs bullet. So yeah was leaning raiders but Bulldogs bite me all the time.

In the AFL lets hope it the opposite.

Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ Collingwood magpies (2.20)

Pies in some form but I think the backlike or the Bulldogs can easily handle the average looking forward line of the pies. At the MCG so not exactly on the bullies favour but I think they get the bounce back this week as with the Eagles on deck next week isn't the easiest match. Magpies have probably the best midfield in the comp though, so hoping Bulldogs tackle tackle tackle.

Reall do not understand how the Knights are 12.5 dogs at home. Okay so I know they have scored like no points the last month or so and have been getting thrashed by 24+ each game and I know that Gagai is basically the whole Knights team by himself, so with him being out kinda sucks. But still, eels as 12.5 favorites with all the salary cap/Foron/Norman business that's happened I don't understand. Eels are my favourite team but that overachieved to start the season and a lot of people got suckered in, including myself. I think even if they do play well even after what's happened, that it won't be well enough to win by over 2 tries. So give me

Newcastle Knights +12.5 vs Eels (1.90)

Especially with DG out for the Knights as well it makes that possibility so much more likely Serg7. Gonna be a hectic 2 hours to sit through haha.