Bleeditso Part II

The Wallabies are getting 18.5 after a right pounding last go-around.  Is 18.5 going to be enough?  The coaching staff said that there is an "easy fix" for that past result and that they have it right this time around.  Simmons out for a debutant.  Cooper in at Fly.  Not quite sure that is the answer here.

Let's also remember, the Kiwis took the keys out of the ignition after the binning in the 55th Minute.

But the line is the line for a reason and there is no such thing as free money.

More interesting to me is the total, set at 47.5.  Let's look at previous results:

2016: New Zealand won 42-8 in Sydney
2015: New Zealand won 34-17 at Twickenham
2015: New Zealand won 41-13 in Auckland
2015: Australia won 27-19 in Sydney
2014: New Zealand won 29-28 in Brisbane
2014: New Zealand won 51-20 in Auckland

We all know NZ is ruthless and doesn't lay off teams, even from rugby-inferior nations.  So there is no way they will lay off their cross-Tasman rivals.  Key is, will Australia score enough to help New Zealand get over this total?

I've got the Kiwis pegged around 35 here.  Can the Aussies pull together 13?  I think so, Quade or not.

OVER 47.5 for me.

I'd love to hear opinions on the total. 

Might also add NZ -18.5.  If the total doesn't go over, then Australia didn't score enough and NZ covers.

If Australia somehow covers this thing, then the total will blow over.

Sounds safe perhaps?

Zero knowledge of Rugby caveated... Pure betting standpoint, there can't be any value on -18.5, given results of last game. I wouldn't trust the Aussies on what little I know about this series (zero), but you have to take points here as a bettor. Market will be all over NZ, and the bookies bursting at the seems holding the line because sharps will slam them when they move off it

Already moved down to 17.5.  Going to stay off the side.

Total is up to 48.5 and being juiced as well.  My book just moved it up minutes after I placed in 47.5.

Going to stick with that. 

Wallabies will try to slow the ball down, but Cooper just won't be able to help himself here.  He's good for at least two deadly turnovers.

Last time Cooper came in against the ABs on NZ soil, the total went into the 50's and NZ romped.

Not worried here.