Battler's NRL Round 13

before you tell me, my take on the titans' demise is a lot to do with the impending exodus of a number of senior players. I think there's a bit of disillusionment around the way one or two of them have been treated 

I can't remember word-for-word, but it as something like:

'never have I seen a team grow so old and stale so quickly than the Titans. Get some botox to training'

or something like that

Canberra (-3.5) @ $1.85 (2.5)

Canberra TT o20 @ $1.97 (1)

anyone with a luxplod account, they have the Canberra and Cowboys TT's the wrong way around

Melbourne (-6) @ $1.90 (1.5)

Melbourne (1-12) @ $3.10 (0.5)

Gotta love bets that cash midway through the 1st half.

 Cowboys

 

you can't cap injuries

WTF was Robinson doing?

Thurston

Canberra (-3.5) @ $1.85 (2.5) =

Canberra TT o20 @ $1.97 (1) =

OzBat with the jinx of the year

And there goes my under 62.5

I swear on this day, i have never in my existence had fu##ing rotten pathetic luck.

I swear on this day, NEVER.....

3 tries in 4 mins? to F###CK my under,.

F###CK THE NRL and F### GAMBLING

Friday night, i take under second half in the sharks game, they score 2 tries in the final 3 mins of the game.

I take second half over in the panthers game and they dont score any tries in the last 10 mins

Then i take second half under here and they score 3 tries in the last 4 mins including 2 tries in the last 2 mins

F### GAMBLING AND F### THE NRL...

GOOD NIGHT, I AM DONE FOR GOOD.

I am collecting my nice fat profit i have made this year and done.

Enough of this....

The thing is all luck.

Oh hang on, according to Hirschfelder, this is how you cap it.

"I am going to back the cowboys today. I know the raiders are fast starters, they wil jump out to there 22-0 scoreline, then i reckon Dugan and Campese will get injured and wont return. Then the cowboys will come back and win".

The difference is, even when i win i put it down to luck, i am NOT deluded to think that it is any form of skill involved and my skill will always win. One day you lose a bet cause they dont score for 20 mins, the next you lose cause they score 3 tries in 5 mins, the next night u lose cause they score 2 tries int he last 2 mins.

That is why the bookmakers make money, cause when people win they are deluded into thinking that won based on there special talent....

There is a reason why bookmakers make millions a year, it is all luck with the odds favouring the house,.

Dont be deluded 

Even Wayne Bennert puts winning comps down to luck,

he is by far and away the best coach to ever coach at any sport in Australia, furthermore, he has had some of the best sides to ever be assembled in the game, and what he has won 3 comps in the last 18 years?

 

This is why i lose it.

I had under 38.5 in the souths game. A nice EASY win....

All my wins are easy wins. When i say easy, it looks good pretty much the whole way through.

When i lose, my bet either looks bad throughout the whole way (fair enough, that is gambling) OR my bet looks good and i get f###ed on the end.

Friday night, Dragons Eels under, second half, looks comfortable the whole way and i win.

Sharks Broncs, Under, second half, looks good the whole way, then 2 tries in the last 3 mins to f## me. One with 20 secs left where the ref impeded the defender.

Then last night,

I had the Roosters ML, That was pretty much in the balance the whole way, so it was 50/50.

I also backed the Dogs....Now, absolutely no excuses, no losing the plot there, that was just a horrendous pick and get what i deserved. Nothing more, nothing less.

I also backed the over in the second half, well, i lost by 1.5 points. That was fair enough, just a bad pick.

Today i back the second half unders.

The Souths one was comfortable the whole way and i win.

Then the Cows score 18 points in the last 5 mins?

My record is good, however i get furious as i cant recall a time where i ripped the ticket and got a nice surprise at the end.

All the time it is the other way around. Always.......

maybe you are not as good as you think you are

I am striking at about 63% as of now.

Furthermore, i had a very very poor start to the season as my confidence was down, my bets were very very small.

The last 4 weeks i was on a tear and making bets more than 5 times the size of my original bets earlier in the year so i am way way up.

I get upset cause as i said my bets that i win look good the whole way...

The bets that i lose i either was slaughtered at the start (Dogs last night), fair enough, that is just a bad read and a bad pick. But it seems i just cop moose after moose after moose.

Never seemed this year at all to be on the other side, where i pretty much rip my ticket and get a nice surprise at the end.

If i had some luck on my side i have no doubt i would be close to 70%

63%

70%

Only on covers

we should start calling you Hans Christian Andersen

Rnd 1 - 2 wins 4 losses (1 Moose)

Rnd 2 - 3 wins 2 losses (2 mooses)

Rnd 3 - 4 wins 4 losses (1 moose)

Rnd 4 - 3 wins 3 losses (1 moose and 1 somewhat lucky win)

Rnd 5 - 3 wins 4 losses (2 mooses)

Rnd 6 - 5 wins 1 loss

Rnd 7 - 4 wins 0 losses

Rnd 8 - 5 wins 3 losses (1 somewhat moose)

Rnd 9 - 4 wins 1 loss (1 somewhat lucky win)

Rnd 10 - 5 wins 2 losses

Rnd 11 - 3 wins 2 losses (1 moose)

Rnd 12 - 3 wins 3 losses

Rnd 13 - 3 wins 4 losses (2 mooses)

10 wins 1 loss MNF

47 wins 33 losses (12 mooses and 2 somewhat lucky wins)

58.75%.........

However, i will assure you that the first 4 rounds were very small bets.....

From rnd 6 where i gained confidence, my bets increased by about 6-7 times......

I considered a moose where a try was scored with 1 min or less left to murder my bet.

 

 

Melbourne (-6) @ $1.90 (1.5) =

Melbourne (1-12) @ $3.10 (0.5) =

Fuck it...

 

Newcastle (+9.5) @ $2.00 (2)

Newcastle (1-12) @ $5.00 (0.37)