Posted:
#1
Pool play:
vs NZ: There was no need for France to show up for this one after Ireland had just beaten Australia, evidenced by France putting out their 'B' side to ensure the easier side of the draw.
vs Tonga: No real need for France to show up for this one either, as Tonga not only needed to win, but also score 4 tries without allowing France to score 4 tries, as well as winning the game by 8+. France knew they could play at 50% and still qualify.
Knockout:
vs England: France sure showed up for the first half, leading 16-0 in a dominating performance, before deciding to play defense for the 2nd half and holding on for the win.
vs Wales: Down 3-0, France received the gift of the infamous Warburton red card in the 18th minute, and from then on looked like they went to sleep, seemingly deciding to play defense the whole match, knowing they would eventually wear down the depleted Wales squad. Kicked the ball out often to test the Wales lineout, which the French stole plenty of times. Basically used minimal effort to go through.
Result: public perception of France is extremely low, while perception of NZ is extremely high.
France aren't dumb. This is the most consistantly winning Northern hemisphere side, who have been hearing all week how terrible they are, how Wales deserve to be there, AB's will roll, etc. How do you beat the All Blacks? Keep the ball out of their hands. I expect France to hold on to the ball, and try to maximise their time of possession.
From NZ TAB:
"The Rugby World Cup Final is almost certain to be the biggest betting event in New Zealand's sports betting history, which is currently held by the 2000 Tua-Lewis fight."
TAB got killed in the NZ-France pool game. Rugby is one of the few sports where the TAB are actually the sharp line-setters as oppposed to following the lines from offshore books.
Hard to believe they are setting themselves up to lose on the match with the biggest betting handle they have ever seen, especially with the NZ biased public.
NZ wins, but don't think it will be the blowout everyone seems to think.
Pretty tempted to play France +17.5 ($1.92) or
Combine NZ 1-10 ($5.50) and NZ 11-15 ($6.00) for an average of $2.87.
Thoughts?
vs NZ: There was no need for France to show up for this one after Ireland had just beaten Australia, evidenced by France putting out their 'B' side to ensure the easier side of the draw.
vs Tonga: No real need for France to show up for this one either, as Tonga not only needed to win, but also score 4 tries without allowing France to score 4 tries, as well as winning the game by 8+. France knew they could play at 50% and still qualify.
Knockout:
vs England: France sure showed up for the first half, leading 16-0 in a dominating performance, before deciding to play defense for the 2nd half and holding on for the win.
vs Wales: Down 3-0, France received the gift of the infamous Warburton red card in the 18th minute, and from then on looked like they went to sleep, seemingly deciding to play defense the whole match, knowing they would eventually wear down the depleted Wales squad. Kicked the ball out often to test the Wales lineout, which the French stole plenty of times. Basically used minimal effort to go through.
Result: public perception of France is extremely low, while perception of NZ is extremely high.
France aren't dumb. This is the most consistantly winning Northern hemisphere side, who have been hearing all week how terrible they are, how Wales deserve to be there, AB's will roll, etc. How do you beat the All Blacks? Keep the ball out of their hands. I expect France to hold on to the ball, and try to maximise their time of possession.
From NZ TAB:
"The Rugby World Cup Final is almost certain to be the biggest betting event in New Zealand's sports betting history, which is currently held by the 2000 Tua-Lewis fight."
TAB got killed in the NZ-France pool game. Rugby is one of the few sports where the TAB are actually the sharp line-setters as oppposed to following the lines from offshore books.
Hard to believe they are setting themselves up to lose on the match with the biggest betting handle they have ever seen, especially with the NZ biased public.
NZ wins, but don't think it will be the blowout everyone seems to think.
Pretty tempted to play France +17.5 ($1.92) or
Combine NZ 1-10 ($5.50) and NZ 11-15 ($6.00) for an average of $2.87.
Thoughts?
0
Phatmaori, I have them off -20.5 @ $2.20 and over 3.5 tries, AB's roll tonight
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