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    «First Previous 403404405 ... 527528529 Next Last»
    Target2million
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    Target2million
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 5:07 AM ET #10051

    Quote Originally Posted by R3V3R3NT:

    I like Brisbane 1-12 tonight T2 thoughts?
    . Hmmm very tough game man.. well not bad bet.. tough game..Bri is very good team too..good luck..


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    Quote Originally Posted by R3V3R3NT:

    I like Brisbane 1-12 tonight T2 thoughts?
    . Hmmm very tough game man.. well not bad bet.. tough game..Bri is very good team too..good luck..


     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 10:17 PM ET #10052

    10.09.16HCWest CoastEast Coast36 : 30
    26.09.15HCEast CoastWest Coast10 : 22
    21.09.13HCWest CoastEast Coast15 : 11
    25.08.12HCEast CoastWest Coast23 : 16
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    10.09.16HCWest CoastEast Coast36 : 30
    26.09.15HCEast CoastWest Coast10 : 22
    21.09.13HCWest CoastEast Coast15 : 11
    25.08.12HCEast CoastWest Coast23 : 16
     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 10:24 PM ET #10053

    you can get east coast +24.5... i  feel not bad bet.. both teams are shity no doubt..


     TWO  NRC games today too,    i got  mlb win  1.20 only..

    like northand +9.5   feel free money... they can win this game..

    NRL   took mel -5.5    @1.50 and panthers  +11.5  @1.40...

    Essendon (+53.5)

    West Coast (+30.5)

    add  these  AEL  games for parlay..

    lets see more infors...
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    you can get east coast +24.5... i  feel not bad bet.. both teams are shity no doubt..


     TWO  NRC games today too,    i got  mlb win  1.20 only..

    like northand +9.5   feel free money... they can win this game..

    NRL   took mel -5.5    @1.50 and panthers  +11.5  @1.40...

    Essendon (+53.5)

    West Coast (+30.5)

    add  these  AEL  games for parlay..

    lets see more infors...
     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 10:28 PM ET #10054

    sorry  east coast game has started early.. forgive me


    Auckland are feeling the effect of injuries with 11 players unavailable for selection consideration, three of them out for the season while they also have three players on All Blacks duties. Three others have been released for the Jock Hobbs Memorial national Under-19 tournament. Six changes have been made to the starting XV from the weekend. Mid-fielder George Moala has a slight hamstring injury and won't play. Jordan Trainor returns at fullback while first five-eighths Tyrone Elkington-MacDonald has been promoted from the B team to make his fifth appearance. Jerome Kaino's inclusion at No.8 has allowed Blake Gibson to return to the open side flank. Taranaki will be captained by prop Angus Ta'avao who played 38 games for Auckland earlier in his career. He is stepping in for second five-eighths Charlie Ngatai, who is being rested, while the other captaincy option Leighton Price is out with a back injury. Lock Kane Thompson, after initially being called in as injury cover, has been included in the reserves and with Leon Power also unable to lock Fin Hoeata has been promoted to start. Sean Wainui will replaced Ngatai in the mid-field.

    Auckland: 1.Isi Tu'ungafasi, 2.Greg Pleasants-Tate, 3.Marcel Renata, 4.Patrick Tuipulotu (captain), 5.Ben Nee-Nee, 6.Taleni Seu, 7.Blake Gibson, 8.Jerome Kaino, 9.Jono Hickey, 10.Tyrone Elkington-MacDonald, 11.Pryor Collier, 12.TJ Faiane, 13.Malakai Fekitoa, 14.Vince Aso, 15.Jordan Trainor.


    i feel auckland in trouble for this game
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    sorry  east coast game has started early.. forgive me


    Auckland are feeling the effect of injuries with 11 players unavailable for selection consideration, three of them out for the season while they also have three players on All Blacks duties. Three others have been released for the Jock Hobbs Memorial national Under-19 tournament. Six changes have been made to the starting XV from the weekend. Mid-fielder George Moala has a slight hamstring injury and won't play. Jordan Trainor returns at fullback while first five-eighths Tyrone Elkington-MacDonald has been promoted from the B team to make his fifth appearance. Jerome Kaino's inclusion at No.8 has allowed Blake Gibson to return to the open side flank. Taranaki will be captained by prop Angus Ta'avao who played 38 games for Auckland earlier in his career. He is stepping in for second five-eighths Charlie Ngatai, who is being rested, while the other captaincy option Leighton Price is out with a back injury. Lock Kane Thompson, after initially being called in as injury cover, has been included in the reserves and with Leon Power also unable to lock Fin Hoeata has been promoted to start. Sean Wainui will replaced Ngatai in the mid-field.

    Auckland: 1.Isi Tu'ungafasi, 2.Greg Pleasants-Tate, 3.Marcel Renata, 4.Patrick Tuipulotu (captain), 5.Ben Nee-Nee, 6.Taleni Seu, 7.Blake Gibson, 8.Jerome Kaino, 9.Jono Hickey, 10.Tyrone Elkington-MacDonald, 11.Pryor Collier, 12.TJ Faiane, 13.Malakai Fekitoa, 14.Vince Aso, 15.Jordan Trainor.


    i feel auckland in trouble for this game
     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 10:33 PM ET #10055

    Taranaki & Over (52.5) Points(Auckland v Taranaki)More Info
    3.00 
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    Taranaki & Over (52.5) Points(Auckland v Taranaki)More Info
    3.00 
     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 10:52 PM ET #10056

    That's a significantly different Brisbane City side - no Cooper, Douglas or Kerevi. By contrast the Country starting side is 70% Reds and most of the rest are Australian U20s reps.

    City are fairly strong favourites with the bookies but on both the strength of the team sheets and last week's form (where City were very average in the last 20 minutes against a team in their first game) I'm tipping Country as well.

    On the other hand, I did a double take to see who's playing 6 for City. I was supposed to be meeting some mates at 2:30pm tomorrow but I'm going to have to postpone that to 3:30pm now, cause there is no way I'm missing Big Deeks!


    sowm thoughts ausi   NRC


    Tip: I’m tipping the upset here and QLD Country to win their first Andy Purcell Cup. Country by 6

    Tip: I think Fiji’s first win will come at home with Melbourne taking heart from their efforts last round. Rising by 3

    spirited you could say. Perth by 8

    I think the Rams will continue on their winning way in another local derby. Rams by 10
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    That's a significantly different Brisbane City side - no Cooper, Douglas or Kerevi. By contrast the Country starting side is 70% Reds and most of the rest are Australian U20s reps.

    City are fairly strong favourites with the bookies but on both the strength of the team sheets and last week's form (where City were very average in the last 20 minutes against a team in their first game) I'm tipping Country as well.

    On the other hand, I did a double take to see who's playing 6 for City. I was supposed to be meeting some mates at 2:30pm tomorrow but I'm going to have to postpone that to 3:30pm now, cause there is no way I'm missing Big Deeks!


    sowm thoughts ausi   NRC


    Tip: I’m tipping the upset here and QLD Country to win their first Andy Purcell Cup. Country by 6

    Tip: I think Fiji’s first win will come at home with Melbourne taking heart from their efforts last round. Rising by 3

    spirited you could say. Perth by 8

    I think the Rams will continue on their winning way in another local derby. Rams by 10
     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 10:55 PM ET #10057

    If the Wallabies show the rabid commitment and aggression they did against the All Blacks in Dunedin they should account for the Springboks. Punters though can never be quite sure which Wallabies they are going to get, but they should be able to capitalise on the confidence gained back on home soil. Tip: Wallabies @ $1.75
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    If the Wallabies show the rabid commitment and aggression they did against the All Blacks in Dunedin they should account for the Springboks. Punters though can never be quite sure which Wallabies they are going to get, but they should be able to capitalise on the confidence gained back on home soil. Tip: Wallabies @ $1.75
     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 10:56 PM ET #10058

    Country by 6
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    Country by 6
     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 11:04 PM ET #10059

    auckland -4.5 free money gents  live.. they will win naki is f..ed today
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    auckland -4.5 free money gents  live.. they will win naki is f..ed today
     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 11:23 PM ET #10060

    The Wolf is tipping a big response from the Panthers after they were dismantled by the Sea Eagles last week, and they’ll no doubt relish the chance to play Dylan Walker again after a very lippy display in the Sea Eagles win. The neutral ground plays into the Panthers favour and the stats don’t lie, Manly are 7-18 ATS as a favourite away from Brookvale since 2014. Take the Panthers with the +4.5 start and straight up

    i like this thought too.. lots  riding manly for last week home game.. this game is natural ground isnt it.. will be very close..

    mel will kill paramata today... too..
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    The Wolf is tipping a big response from the Panthers after they were dismantled by the Sea Eagles last week, and they’ll no doubt relish the chance to play Dylan Walker again after a very lippy display in the Sea Eagles win. The neutral ground plays into the Panthers favour and the stats don’t lie, Manly are 7-18 ATS as a favourite away from Brookvale since 2014. Take the Panthers with the +4.5 start and straight up

    i like this thought too.. lots  riding manly for last week home game.. this game is natural ground isnt it.. will be very close..

    mel will kill paramata today... too..
     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 11:26 PM ET #10061

    The under in this one is the best of the first week of the finals. There are some huge under angles at play in this one. There is a long history of under clashes between the two teams. Port are a big under side at the Adelaide Oval. West Coast are a huge under side at night. The under is a chips-in play.

    Recommended Bet
    Under 171.5 ($1.90)

    Port Adelaide v West Coast



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    The under in this one is the best of the first week of the finals. There are some huge under angles at play in this one. There is a long history of under clashes between the two teams. Port are a big under side at the Adelaide Oval. West Coast are a huge under side at night. The under is a chips-in play.

    Recommended Bet
    Under 171.5 ($1.90)

    Port Adelaide v West Coast



     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 11:31 PM ET #10062

    Best Bet: Wallabies WIN ($1.70)
    Value Bet: Wallabies 1-12 ($2.70)

    Best Bet: All Blacks -30.5 ($1.90)
    Value Bet: First points NZ penalty goal ($4.25


    if the weather is not good in new pla plymouth..i feel argi will  cover this big capp..   total was 62.5 and now 56.5... may be rain coming..

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    Best Bet: Wallabies WIN ($1.70)
    Value Bet: Wallabies 1-12 ($2.70)

    Best Bet: All Blacks -30.5 ($1.90)
    Value Bet: First points NZ penalty goal ($4.25


    if the weather is not good in new pla plymouth..i feel argi will  cover this big capp..   total was 62.5 and now 56.5... may be rain coming..

     
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2017 - 11:37 PM ET #10063

    10 Day Forecast

    SATURDAY

    9 SEP

    Max13°C Overnight min6°C

    Showers, some heavy. Chance thunderstorms from evening. Strong westerlies.


    for allblacks game in new playmouth

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    10 Day Forecast

    SATURDAY

    9 SEP

    Max13°C Overnight min6°C

    Showers, some heavy. Chance thunderstorms from evening. Strong westerlies.


    for allblacks game in new playmouth

     
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2017 - 1:46 AM ET #10064

    I'm taking Argentina +15.5 at half time. The All Blacks haven't covered this line in the last 6 years of home tests vs them. Add to that all of Hansen's changes, NZ should only start firing later in the game.

    one says like this..


    even i like 2 nd half highest score not bad atall
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    I'm taking Argentina +15.5 at half time. The All Blacks haven't covered this line in the last 6 years of home tests vs them. Add to that all of Hansen's changes, NZ should only start firing later in the game.

    one says like this..


    even i like 2 nd half highest score not bad atall
     
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2017 - 1:52 AM ET #10065

    para -9.5               1.50
    essendon  +50.5   1.40
    west coast +32.5  1.30
    ausi win                       1.75
    allblacks   over  55.5   1.90
    panthers+17.5             1.23

    parlay @11
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    para -9.5               1.50
    essendon  +50.5   1.40
    west coast +32.5  1.30
    ausi win                       1.75
    allblacks   over  55.5   1.90
    panthers+17.5             1.23

    parlay @11
     
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2017 - 2:03 AM ET #10066

    sorry mel -9.5
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    sorry mel -9.5
     
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2017 - 2:05 AM ET #10067

    Quote Originally Posted by Target2million:

     Sydney Roosters finished the year 12-12 ATS with a 15-9 under record while Brisbane are 13-9 ATS with a 17-7 over record.

    – The Roosters and Broncos have split the last eight games evenly with the teams splitting the series this year.

    – The Roosters have won the last four meetings between the sides at the SFS.

    – The last three games between the teams have all tallied 40 or fewer.

    – The Roosters have covered just 4 of their last 10 at Allianz while the Broncos have covered three of four since 2014.

    – The Roosters are 10-16 ATS as a favourite of six points or fewer since 2014.

    – Brisbane are 19-12 ATS as an underdog over that time with a 13-6 ATS record interstate as an underdog.

    – Interstate underdogs of 3.5 or less cover at 71% since 2014 with the under 28-12 when the interstate underdog was a last start winner.

    – Brisbane are 24-12 ATS after conceding 12 points or fewer.


    Love all these stats can I ask where you got them from? Previous stats don't determine what could happen in the game by that are a good indication of what might happen when particular teams are matching up as well as time of day, venue etc.

     Melbourne to win at $1.20 and under 43.5 at $1.47 (last 5 out of 6 games gone under that total. 

    Was tempted to take Parra +20.5 but Melbourne could win by any score one thing to remember is its Finals anything can happen teams don't care how much they win by they just care about wining for & against is irrelevant in Finals so if you see a high line at even money or an alternate line take it while you can
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    Quote Originally Posted by Target2million:

     Sydney Roosters finished the year 12-12 ATS with a 15-9 under record while Brisbane are 13-9 ATS with a 17-7 over record.

    – The Roosters and Broncos have split the last eight games evenly with the teams splitting the series this year.

    – The Roosters have won the last four meetings between the sides at the SFS.

    – The last three games between the teams have all tallied 40 or fewer.

    – The Roosters have covered just 4 of their last 10 at Allianz while the Broncos have covered three of four since 2014.

    – The Roosters are 10-16 ATS as a favourite of six points or fewer since 2014.

    – Brisbane are 19-12 ATS as an underdog over that time with a 13-6 ATS record interstate as an underdog.

    – Interstate underdogs of 3.5 or less cover at 71% since 2014 with the under 28-12 when the interstate underdog was a last start winner.

    – Brisbane are 24-12 ATS after conceding 12 points or fewer.


    Love all these stats can I ask where you got them from? Previous stats don't determine what could happen in the game by that are a good indication of what might happen when particular teams are matching up as well as time of day, venue etc.

     Melbourne to win at $1.20 and under 43.5 at $1.47 (last 5 out of 6 games gone under that total. 

    Was tempted to take Parra +20.5 but Melbourne could win by any score one thing to remember is its Finals anything can happen teams don't care how much they win by they just care about wining for & against is irrelevant in Finals so if you see a high line at even money or an alternate line take it while you can
     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2017 - 2:27 AM ET #10068

    blog.williamhill.com.au

    some times these stats works.. but  i dont normally follow..
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    blog.williamhill.com.au

    some times these stats works.. but  i dont normally follow..
     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2017 - 5:16 AM ET #10069

    Mel vs para +10.5 cover and over
    Rooster vs bris +3.5 cover  and. under
    Manly vs panthers +4.5 cover  and under
    Sharks vs cows +8.5 cover and  under 


    I hope we learn lesson.. all 4 nrl games  plus.. it shows when it comes to semi,q. Or finals.. don't think too much... it will be close games..

    I have noticed last few years any sports. When it comes to do or die game... we can not see history... just the day and always close..


    Good luck coming weekends..
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    Mel vs para +10.5 cover and over
    Rooster vs bris +3.5 cover  and. under
    Manly vs panthers +4.5 cover  and under
    Sharks vs cows +8.5 cover and  under 


    I hope we learn lesson.. all 4 nrl games  plus.. it shows when it comes to semi,q. Or finals.. don't think too much... it will be close games..

    I have noticed last few years any sports. When it comes to do or die game... we can not see history... just the day and always close..


    Good luck coming weekends..
     
    User895254
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2017 - 4:34 PM ET #10070

    Thanks T2 we must commit this to memory!

    Hey this week we got netball nz v england and mitre 10 rugby, ranfurly shield and all blacks game.

    What is your feelings on these games, I like to know your picks please mate?

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    Thanks T2 we must commit this to memory!

    Hey this week we got netball nz v england and mitre 10 rugby, ranfurly shield and all blacks game.

    What is your feelings on these games, I like to know your picks please mate?

     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2017 - 9:51 PM ET #10071

    see  how R99...

    i have forgotton  tell.. last week  all 6 heartland championship games plus..

    you can get east coast +24.5... i  feel not bad bet.. both teams are shity no doubt..  this is the only one i picked 19-32  final..

    keep on eye some NRC AUSI  rugby games too.. last week fijian team was dog and they smashed ausi team home..


    i  wish some ausi  posted us some idears about NRC 


    im bit intersted about guinnes pro rugby games..

    sa kings home +11.5 vs leinster and cheetahs home -26.5

    i think  both NRL  plus must be auto play as well as both AFL  games 

    sa +18.5 vs allblacks and arig +14.5 vs ausi are leaning..

    tomorrow  counties +18.5 is best bet vs canterbury home.. coz  this is shield game... we know always shield games are very close..

    canterbury win 1-12 for me..

     
    mitre 10 cups... so far lots points these games.. keep on eye on  totals and play over is the best.. 
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    see  how R99...

    i have forgotton  tell.. last week  all 6 heartland championship games plus..

    you can get east coast +24.5... i  feel not bad bet.. both teams are shity no doubt..  this is the only one i picked 19-32  final..

    keep on eye some NRC AUSI  rugby games too.. last week fijian team was dog and they smashed ausi team home..


    i  wish some ausi  posted us some idears about NRC 


    im bit intersted about guinnes pro rugby games..

    sa kings home +11.5 vs leinster and cheetahs home -26.5

    i think  both NRL  plus must be auto play as well as both AFL  games 

    sa +18.5 vs allblacks and arig +14.5 vs ausi are leaning..

    tomorrow  counties +18.5 is best bet vs canterbury home.. coz  this is shield game... we know always shield games are very close..

    canterbury win 1-12 for me..

     
    mitre 10 cups... so far lots points these games.. keep on eye on  totals and play over is the best.. 
     
    User895254
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2017 - 3:04 AM ET #10072

    Thanks T2 , really appreciate your input.

    I am going to the All Black game in weekend should be awesome!

    Good luck for weekend 
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    Thanks T2 , really appreciate your input.

    I am going to the All Black game in weekend should be awesome!

    Good luck for weekend 
     
    User895254
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    Posted: Sep. 13, 2017 - 4:11 PM ET #10073

    What happened? Just check my bet Counties no good.

    What next best bet guys?


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    What happened? Just check my bet Counties no good.

    What next best bet guys?


     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Sep. 13, 2017 - 9:37 PM ET #10074

    forgive mate that was crazy result  78-5....


    just because of that result not wellington home +12.5  vs canterbury on sunday game...has  bookies over  reacted.. yes canterbury did well vs two shitty  teams..

    well today game... northland home no lost sofar and north h is hot too...

    just bet over 57.5... thats all..

    one says north harbour over 29.5 good..




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    forgive mate that was crazy result  78-5....


    just because of that result not wellington home +12.5  vs canterbury on sunday game...has  bookies over  reacted.. yes canterbury did well vs two shitty  teams..

    well today game... northland home no lost sofar and north h is hot too...

    just bet over 57.5... thats all..

    one says north harbour over 29.5 good..




     
     
    Target2million
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    Posted: Sep. 13, 2017 - 10:51 PM ET #10075

    There is a remarkable similarity in statistics between the two sides. North Harbour have posted 16 tries to date on the back of 46 clean breaks and 82 defenders beaten. They have made 480 carries but conceded 74 turnovers and missed 65 tackles for a tackle rate of 86.2 percent. Northland have also scored 16 tries and made 48 clean breaks while beating 110 defenders. With 520 carries they have conceded 75 turnovers while their 64 missed tackles have resulted in a tackle rate of 88.8 percent. Northland have shown a greater capacity for beating opponents but have not managed the slightly better execution of chances that North Harbour have achieved. In the comparison between the respective first five-eighths, Dan Hawkins for Northland and Bryn Gatland for North Harbour, Gatland has scored 51 points to 28. Gatland has made more carries with 26-20 but Hawkins has made more metres with 83-72, he has also beaten eight defenders to three by Gatland. Hawkins has made 81 passes to 64 while Gatland has made 40 open play kicks as opposed to 11 by the Northlander. Gatland's tackle success rate is 93.9 percent while Hawkins is on 87.5 percent. They are close in goal-kicking percentages with Hawkins on 70.6 percent and Gatland marginally better on 71.4 percent.

    take rest for this game guys...even total points will very close.. 
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    There is a remarkable similarity in statistics between the two sides. North Harbour have posted 16 tries to date on the back of 46 clean breaks and 82 defenders beaten. They have made 480 carries but conceded 74 turnovers and missed 65 tackles for a tackle rate of 86.2 percent. Northland have also scored 16 tries and made 48 clean breaks while beating 110 defenders. With 520 carries they have conceded 75 turnovers while their 64 missed tackles have resulted in a tackle rate of 88.8 percent. Northland have shown a greater capacity for beating opponents but have not managed the slightly better execution of chances that North Harbour have achieved. In the comparison between the respective first five-eighths, Dan Hawkins for Northland and Bryn Gatland for North Harbour, Gatland has scored 51 points to 28. Gatland has made more carries with 26-20 but Hawkins has made more metres with 83-72, he has also beaten eight defenders to three by Gatland. Hawkins has made 81 passes to 64 while Gatland has made 40 open play kicks as opposed to 11 by the Northlander. Gatland's tackle success rate is 93.9 percent while Hawkins is on 87.5 percent. They are close in goal-kicking percentages with Hawkins on 70.6 percent and Gatland marginally better on 71.4 percent.

    take rest for this game guys...even total points will very close.. 
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