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    All Forums | Rugby

    AFL Round 22

    12 Next Last»
    Buckleys
    OvalBall
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    12 Next Last»
     
    Buckleys
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 16, 2019 - 9:54 PM ET #1

    I had a small punt last night on the Swans. The stability of their side was the reason. Melb over performed last year and under performed this year. They have no form or structure and want the season to be over. 

    Thoughts for Round 22 Saturday

    Saints v Blues... lean to Saints. Again, with their FB out, they will struggle with the Saints talls. At MCG so it is more about the midfield. With Hannebury and Stevens, they should get lots of run. Blues already locked in their coach so Ratten would be hoping for the same. Saints have more to play for.

    Lions v Cats... away game for Cats so Lions will win. Plus, the Cats finish top if they lose to the Lions then win against the Blues.

    Crows v Pies... must win game for Crows if they want finals... but it is the Crows. At home, they should win but they are very unreliable this year. I don't trust them to win, only lose. 

    Roos v Port... with Scotty retiring and that low score last week, the Roos will put up a good fight. Port have better form but are away. I expect Port to win by 2-3 goals to keep their finals alive. Last round against the dockers at home is free money.

    Dockers v Bombers... even with Sandi and Ballers last home game, I think the Bombers need this game. The last two weeks of horrible results for them have been not an issue considering they need to win the last two against the Dockers and Pies. They have rested a lot of players to get them right for finals... I think they should win their next two and get 7th. It's been raining in Perth but has stopped. The over is also a good option.

     

    Sunday thoughts

    Tigers v Eagles... it will be in the wet so the worst thing for either team is injuries. It will be a great game to watch. Tigers to win in a good game.

    Giants v Dogs... I'm leaning to the dogs. They have the form in the same way they won their premiership. Giants lost Cameron, who is really important for their structure. I think they bring him back next week to take out the Coleman but drop this one.

    Hawks v GC... Hawks send Roughy off with a bag of goals. The line isn't going to matter to either team so no play.

     

    Best bets

    Lions -7.5

    Dockers Bombers O158.5

    Doggies ML

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I had a small punt last night on the Swans. The stability of their side was the reason. Melb over performed last year and under performed this year. They have no form or structure and want the season to be over. 

    Thoughts for Round 22 Saturday

    Saints v Blues... lean to Saints. Again, with their FB out, they will struggle with the Saints talls. At MCG so it is more about the midfield. With Hannebury and Stevens, they should get lots of run. Blues already locked in their coach so Ratten would be hoping for the same. Saints have more to play for.

    Lions v Cats... away game for Cats so Lions will win. Plus, the Cats finish top if they lose to the Lions then win against the Blues.

    Crows v Pies... must win game for Crows if they want finals... but it is the Crows. At home, they should win but they are very unreliable this year. I don't trust them to win, only lose. 

    Roos v Port... with Scotty retiring and that low score last week, the Roos will put up a good fight. Port have better form but are away. I expect Port to win by 2-3 goals to keep their finals alive. Last round against the dockers at home is free money.

    Dockers v Bombers... even with Sandi and Ballers last home game, I think the Bombers need this game. The last two weeks of horrible results for them have been not an issue considering they need to win the last two against the Dockers and Pies. They have rested a lot of players to get them right for finals... I think they should win their next two and get 7th. It's been raining in Perth but has stopped. The over is also a good option.

     

    Sunday thoughts

    Tigers v Eagles... it will be in the wet so the worst thing for either team is injuries. It will be a great game to watch. Tigers to win in a good game.

    Giants v Dogs... I'm leaning to the dogs. They have the form in the same way they won their premiership. Giants lost Cameron, who is really important for their structure. I think they bring him back next week to take out the Coleman but drop this one.

    Hawks v GC... Hawks send Roughy off with a bag of goals. The line isn't going to matter to either team so no play.

     

    Best bets

    Lions -7.5

    Dockers Bombers O158.5

    Doggies ML

     
    OvalBall
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 16, 2019 - 10:58 PM ET #2

    good luck sir, on the brisbane ml so lets lions

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    good luck sir, on the brisbane ml so lets lions

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 16, 2019 - 11:21 PM ET #3

    Cheers OvalBall an_cheers

    You’re doing really well.

     

    adding Saints O80.5 and Saints-2.5

    Both of the Blues key backman are out. Levi and Plow are ok but they have no backup.

     

    A little more rain in Perth but it’s only light. All the websites say no rain but it is. Should clear up before the Freo game starts and have little impact.

     

     

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    Cheers OvalBall an_cheers

    You’re doing really well.

     

    adding Saints O80.5 and Saints-2.5

    Both of the Blues key backman are out. Levi and Plow are ok but they have no backup.

     

    A little more rain in Perth but it’s only light. All the websites say no rain but it is. Should clear up before the Freo game starts and have little impact.

     

     

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 1:38 AM ET #4

    Might regret it but that half time line for Brissy looks too good.

     

    Bris +11.5 BIG

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    Might regret it but that half time line for Brissy looks too good.

     

    Bris +11.5 BIG

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 2:26 AM ET #5

    adding Saints O80.5 and Saints-2.5 an_burningbag

    No reason the Saints only score 22 points in the second half. 

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    adding Saints O80.5 and Saints-2.5 an_burningbag

    No reason the Saints only score 22 points in the second half. 

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 2:55 AM ET #6

    Bris +11.5 BIG moneybag

    Balanced the Saints and missing out on the Lions line.

     

    Will go ahead tonight

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    Bris +11.5 BIG moneybag

    Balanced the Saints and missing out on the Lions line.

     

    Will go ahead tonight

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 4:29 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Bris +11.5 BIG  Balanced the Saints and missing out on the Lions line.   Will go ahead tonight

     

    nice inplay sir , was asleep so missed it , damn

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Bris +11.5 BIG  Balanced the Saints and missing out on the Lions line.   Will go ahead tonight

     

    nice inplay sir , was asleep so missed it , damn

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 4:32 AM ET #8

    4-0 on bets, and 5-0 if had backed manawatu, ,very nice on the itm this week, 

     

    3-1 last week if i remember

     

    love that itm cupnew_heart_eyes3

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    4-0 on bets, and 5-0 if had backed manawatu, ,very nice on the itm this week, 

     

    3-1 last week if i remember

     

    love that itm cupnew_heart_eyes3

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 4:32 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by OvalBall:

    4-0 on bets, and 5-0 if had backed manawatu, ,very nice on the itm this week,    3-1 last week if i remember   love that itm cup

     

    sorry, wrong thread, my sincere apologies

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    Quote Originally Posted by OvalBall:

    4-0 on bets, and 5-0 if had backed manawatu, ,very nice on the itm this week,    3-1 last week if i remember   love that itm cup

     

    sorry, wrong thread, my sincere apologies

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 6:02 AM ET #10

    raw system likes for next week afl, based on the caps when i last looked a coule of days ago

     

    essendon +10.5

    sydeny -11.5

    north mel -15.5

    carlton +34.5

    gold coast +47.5

    west coast -29.5

    bulldogs -11.5

    richmond -18.5

    port ade -23.5

    whats good sir ?

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    raw system likes for next week afl, based on the caps when i last looked a coule of days ago

     

    essendon +10.5

    sydeny -11.5

    north mel -15.5

    carlton +34.5

    gold coast +47.5

    west coast -29.5

    bulldogs -11.5

    richmond -18.5

    port ade -23.5

    whats good sir ?

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 6:10 AM ET #11

    i wasn't expecting the Crows to lose. Now Port don't need to win. 

     

    The doggies are now a better bet for tomorrow. They can make finals.

    Bombers over 73.5 BIG

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    i wasn't expecting the Crows to lose. Now Port don't need to win. 

     

    The doggies are now a better bet for tomorrow. They can make finals.

    Bombers over 73.5 BIG

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 6:17 AM ET #12

    Depends a bit on the results this weekend.

     

    The good ones look like Doggies and Port... but depends on this week's results. 

    I expect the Bombers Freo game to be a high scorer... but then Freo aren't really going to care playing their last game away. 

    If the Doggies win this week, then they win well next week against the Crows.

    North and Sydney should also be good options.

    Bombers next week could be an option but the Pies played well. They will want to win to lock in finals. Woosha needs some support and should have rested players enough to have a full squad. It might be a preview of the firs week of the finals.

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    Depends a bit on the results this weekend.

     

    The good ones look like Doggies and Port... but depends on this week's results. 

    I expect the Bombers Freo game to be a high scorer... but then Freo aren't really going to care playing their last game away. 

    If the Doggies win this week, then they win well next week against the Crows.

    North and Sydney should also be good options.

    Bombers next week could be an option but the Pies played well. They will want to win to lock in finals. Woosha needs some support and should have rested players enough to have a full squad. It might be a preview of the firs week of the finals.

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 6:24 AM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Depends a bit on the results this weekend.   The good ones look like Doggies and Port... but depends on this week's results.  I expect the Bombers Freo game to be a high scorer... but then Freo aren't really going to care playing their last game away.  If the Doggies win this week, then they win well next week against the Crows. North and Sydney should also be good options. Bombers next week could be an option but the Pies played well. They will want to win to lock in finals. Woosha needs some support and should have rested players enough to have a full squad. It might be a preview of the firs week of the finals.

     

    yes totally agree, will only start to properly play with the raw likes once this weeks results all in and i can see the form and the needs of the match ups

    how it work ? top 8 into play offs, all 8 then play in roudn 1 of play offs with top 4 at home ?, do the top2 get home benefit through to semis ?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Depends a bit on the results this weekend.   The good ones look like Doggies and Port... but depends on this week's results.  I expect the Bombers Freo game to be a high scorer... but then Freo aren't really going to care playing their last game away.  If the Doggies win this week, then they win well next week against the Crows. North and Sydney should also be good options. Bombers next week could be an option but the Pies played well. They will want to win to lock in finals. Woosha needs some support and should have rested players enough to have a full squad. It might be a preview of the firs week of the finals.

     

    yes totally agree, will only start to properly play with the raw likes once this weeks results all in and i can see the form and the needs of the match ups

    how it work ? top 8 into play offs, all 8 then play in roudn 1 of play offs with top 4 at home ?, do the top2 get home benefit through to semis ?

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 6:25 AM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Depends a bit on the results this weekend.   The good ones look like Doggies and Port... but depends on this week's results.  I expect the Bombers Freo game to be a high scorer... but then Freo aren't really going to care playing their last game away.  If the Doggies win this week, then they win well next week against the Crows. North and Sydney should also be good options. Bombers next week could be an option but the Pies played well. They will want to win to lock in finals. Woosha needs some support and should have rested players enough to have a full squad. It might be a preview of the firs week of the finals.

    great insight sir, thank you

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Depends a bit on the results this weekend.   The good ones look like Doggies and Port... but depends on this week's results.  I expect the Bombers Freo game to be a high scorer... but then Freo aren't really going to care playing their last game away.  If the Doggies win this week, then they win well next week against the Crows. North and Sydney should also be good options. Bombers next week could be an option but the Pies played well. They will want to win to lock in finals. Woosha needs some support and should have rested players enough to have a full squad. It might be a preview of the firs week of the finals.

    great insight sir, thank you

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 6:31 AM ET #15

    1v4, 2v3 winners get a week off

    elimination finals for 5v8 and 6v7

    Usually 5th seed is best value playing at home against 8th.

    Home field advantage to the higher team with the need to play same games at the MCG due to contractual obligations. 

     

    Geelong will end up playing at MCG instead of their usual home ground. Top 4 should win all of their home games.

    GWS will need Cameron... but that hamstring will be a big concern.

     

    Tigers v WCE is a likely outcome but the Lions will have a good run at the Gabba.

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    1v4, 2v3 winners get a week off

    elimination finals for 5v8 and 6v7

    Usually 5th seed is best value playing at home against 8th.

    Home field advantage to the higher team with the need to play same games at the MCG due to contractual obligations. 

     

    Geelong will end up playing at MCG instead of their usual home ground. Top 4 should win all of their home games.

    GWS will need Cameron... but that hamstring will be a big concern.

     

    Tigers v WCE is a likely outcome but the Lions will have a good run at the Gabba.

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 6:33 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by OvalBall:

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Depends a bit on the results this weekend.   The good ones look like Doggies and Port... but depends on this week's results.  I expect the Bombers Freo game to be a high scorer... but then Freo aren't really going to care playing their last game away.  If the Doggies win this week, then they win well next week against the Crows. North and Sydney should also be good options. Bombers next week could be an option but the Pies played well. They will want to win to lock in finals. Woosha needs some support and should have rested players enough to have a full squad. It might be a preview of the firs week of the finals.
    great insight sir, thank you

     

    Anytime mate. Happy to help.

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    Quote Originally Posted by OvalBall:

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Depends a bit on the results this weekend.   The good ones look like Doggies and Port... but depends on this week's results.  I expect the Bombers Freo game to be a high scorer... but then Freo aren't really going to care playing their last game away.  If the Doggies win this week, then they win well next week against the Crows. North and Sydney should also be good options. Bombers next week could be an option but the Pies played well. They will want to win to lock in finals. Woosha needs some support and should have rested players enough to have a full squad. It might be a preview of the firs week of the finals.
    great insight sir, thank you

     

    Anytime mate. Happy to help.

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 8:36 AM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    i wasn't expecting the Crows to lose. Now Port don't need to win.    The doggies are now a better bet for tomorrow. They can make finals. Bombers over 73.5 BIG

     

    70 points to 3Qtr and took 12 minutes to get the 4 points. 8 minutes early and they then got some momentum. 

    Gonna take a small one on OvalBall's England +3.5

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    i wasn't expecting the Crows to lose. Now Port don't need to win.    The doggies are now a better bet for tomorrow. They can make finals. Bombers over 73.5 BIG

     

    70 points to 3Qtr and took 12 minutes to get the 4 points. 8 minutes early and they then got some momentum. 

    Gonna take a small one on OvalBall's England +3.5

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 17, 2019 - 9:21 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    i wasn't expecting the Crows to lose. Now Port don't need to win.    The doggies are now a better bet for tomorrow. They can make finals. Bombers over 73.5 BIG
      70 points to 3Qtr and took 12 minutes to get the 4 points. 8 minutes early and they then got some momentum.  Gonna take a small one on OvalBall's England +3.5

     

    nice overs sir win

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    i wasn't expecting the Crows to lose. Now Port don't need to win.    The doggies are now a better bet for tomorrow. They can make finals. Bombers over 73.5 BIG
      70 points to 3Qtr and took 12 minutes to get the 4 points. 8 minutes early and they then got some momentum.  Gonna take a small one on OvalBall's England +3.5

     

    nice overs sir win

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2019 - 12:47 AM ET #19

    Gonna take the doggies +5.5 and Roughead to kick 3 goals.

     

    Both are great value from an emotional viewpoint which is my only concern and why the aren’t big bets yet.

     

    There is no reason GWS need to risk anything and the doggies must win. No Cameron means their forward line will struggle.

    I have the Doggies winning by 3 goals and expect Roughy to kick about 4.3

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    Gonna take the doggies +5.5 and Roughead to kick 3 goals.

     

    Both are great value from an emotional viewpoint which is my only concern and why the aren’t big bets yet.

     

    There is no reason GWS need to risk anything and the doggies must win. No Cameron means their forward line will struggle.

    I have the Doggies winning by 3 goals and expect Roughy to kick about 4.3

     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2019 - 12:49 AM ET #20

    Wanted to jump on Richmond at Qtr time and didn’t because I didn’t watch it. +15.5 would have been nice.

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    Wanted to jump on Richmond at Qtr time and didn’t because I didn’t watch it. +15.5 would have been nice.

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2019 - 1:16 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Wanted to jump on Richmond at Qtr time and didn’t because I didn’t watch it. +15.5 would have been nice.

    morning sir from england. dogs +8.5,im on GL

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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    Wanted to jump on Richmond at Qtr time and didn’t because I didn’t watch it. +15.5 would have been nice.

    morning sir from england. dogs +8.5,im on GL

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2019 - 1:28 AM ET #22

    sorry about england +3.5, but for the yellow that would have won, my mistake i didnt relaise wales could get to ranking no1 if they won after nz won by 36-0, havign said that, i watched the game which i enjoyed as i rarely watch rugby these days.  england really battered wales physically, wales looked like they had to really dig deep to contain england, they will be real sore for a few days, eddie jones has sprinkled somethign very special over that england squad this summer, he knows japan weather and culture and its going to add a real edge for england in the rwc.

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    sorry about england +3.5, but for the yellow that would have won, my mistake i didnt relaise wales could get to ranking no1 if they won after nz won by 36-0, havign said that, i watched the game which i enjoyed as i rarely watch rugby these days.  england really battered wales physically, wales looked like they had to really dig deep to contain england, they will be real sore for a few days, eddie jones has sprinkled somethign very special over that england squad this summer, he knows japan weather and culture and its going to add a real edge for england in the rwc.

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2019 - 1:29 AM ET #23

    dogs 18-0 lol, that escalated quickly 

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    dogs 18-0 lol, that escalated quickly 

     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2019 - 1:49 AM ET #24

    love your write ups sir, very succint

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    love your write ups sir, very succint

     
     
    OvalBall
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2019 - 2:48 AM ET #25

    whats ur afl team sir ? 

    i need to choose a team for myself

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    whats ur afl team sir ? 

    i need to choose a team for myself

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