what I've learned part 2...

Besides my previous topic about betting value this week, I now believe you can be wise to cap players who've played a bad round coming off a good round, and fade players who just had a surprisingly good or bad round...sometimes you have 2 parlay 2 players since the odds are chalked up but Vegas isn't stupid and these aren't public plays...

and the Sergio point in more depth-he will NEVER win a major-he completely lacks the mental ability to finish under pressure, you see this is many similar athletes and like Dwight Howard, and he only does well in Ryder where he can piggyback on others to help him...a waste of talent...

prediction part 3, Manassero comes unglued today...like his second round...it's money day and he's not ready for prime time or consistency at this level...he's not a big dog by accident vs. Scott...my point being that's not public money on that line...

N.a be carefully he beats Scott handily

I learned three things from this tourney

1) never buy the "hype" on either Adam Scott or Justin Rose in a major

2) Rickey Fowler is under-rated. was as high as 40-1 per-tourney

3) "Old Man" Jim Furyk still has it. as high as 60-1 pre-tourney and finishes 4th. was solid all four rounds and shoots 65 Sunday. I will be interested to see what his PGA odds are

Sunday Adam Scott 66 vs Matteo Manassero 72

Scott had a good tourney ex for his 73 Friday. tied for 5th BUT once again disappoints in a major as a co-fav along with Scottish Open winner the week before Justin Rose. both were anywhere from 10-1 to 12-1 pre-tourney. Rory McIlroy was 15-1

solid chalk off bad rounds should be parlayed with other similar solid chalk playing dogs off good prior days...public favs are dangerous...