WGC Mexico - (head-to-head + VALUE OUTRIGHTS)

LIKE the Vegas 150-1 and Kizzire 100-1 "to win" plays and on them too, WALL-E

I chanced these
Dylan Frittelli 60-1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125-1
Haotong Li 100-1
Joost Luiten 100-1
Francesco Molinari 100-1
Shubhankar Sharma 150-1
Chris Paisley 150-1
Jorge Campillo 200-1
David Lipsky 250-1

ONLY the 1st round BUT

Shubhankar Sharma 150-1 T-2nd [-6]
Chris Paisley 150-1 T-2nd [-6]
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125-1 T-5th [-5]

There we go @LeRinkRat!! Who says we can't get pumped after Round 1?! Picking that value out of the entire field is insane! 

1. B. Harman 60-1 T8, [-3] 4 back 

so far so good after the 2nd round

Shubhankar Sharma 150-1 leader with a 2nd round [-5] for tourney [-11]

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125-1 T-5th 2nd round [-2] for tourney [-7] 

Chris Paisley 150-1 "blew up" with a [+4] for tourney [-2] FIVE bogies in his round vs ONE birdie

@LeRinkRat right on! Sharma has his eyes on the prize, not looking back! 

WALL-E I chanced these "big dogs" for Saturday

Tony Finau +145 over Jon Rahm
Phil Mickelson even over Rickie Fowler
Charley Hoffman +195 over Jordam Spieth
Brandan Steele +230 over Dustin Johnson

"in contention" adjusted "to win" odds @ Westgate (within 4 shots of the leader) [2nd round/tourney]
Dustin Johnson 5-1 [ -5/-7] T-5th
Sergio Garcia 11-2 [-6/-9] T-2nd
Shubhankar Sharma 7-1 [-5/-11] 1st
Xander Schauffele 9-1 [-3/-9] T-2nd
Rafael Cabrera-Bello 10-1 [-4/-9] T-2nd
Bubba Watson 15-1 [-5/-7] T-5th
Louis Oosthuizen 20-1 [even/-7] T-5th
Brian Harman 25-1 [-4/-7] T-5th
Pat Perez 25-1 [-4/-7] T-5th
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 30-1 [-2/-7] T-5th
Brendan Steele 30-1 [-5/-7] T-5th

add these two 5 shots back

Charley Hoffamn 40-1 [-5/-6] T-12th
Kyle Stanley 50-1 [-6/-6] T-12th

@LeRinkRat, @everyone

it depends HOW the course is playing for me. IF players are shooting "wicked low" then probably 5 or 6 shots going into the final round. IF the course has been tough like last week in Florida then no more than 3 or 4. BUT how many thins have you seen a player shoot a "bomber" low round to WIN on Sunday ??? Sharma did it just this season @ Maybank

well end of the 3rd round the GOOD news is Shubhankar Sharma [-2] for tourney [-13] has a two shot lead. the BAD news is Tyrrell Hatton [-7], Phil Mickelson [-6], Sergio Garcia [-2] and Rafael Cabrera-Bello [-2] ALL at [-11] with Dustin Johnson [-3], Pat Perez [-3] Brian Harman [-3] and "X Schaeffele [-1] ALL [-10]. Justin Thomas shoots a "bomber" round [-9] Saturday for tourney [-9]

Sharma needs to shoot "wicked low" Sunday OR someone gonna catch him. WISH the Las Vegas sportsbooks would put up a "Sharma vs the Field" prop so I could HEDGE

final round adjusted "to win" odds [3rd round/tourney]

Shubhankar Sharma 4-1 [-2/-13]
Dustin Johnson 6-1 [-3/-10]
Sergio Garcia 6-1 [-2/-11]
Phil Mickelson 6-1 [-6/-11]
Tyrrell Hatton 8-1 [-7/-11]
Rafael Cabrera-Bello 9-1 [-2/-11]
Justin Thomas 12-1 [-9/-9]
Xander Schauffele 15-1 [-1/-10]
Pat Perez 18-1 [-3/-10]
Brian Harman 15-1 [-3/-10]
Jordan Spieth 75-1 [-2/-7]
Marc Leishman 100-1 [-2/-7]
Tony Finau 100-1 [-3/-7]
Brendan Steele 150-1 [even/ -7]
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150-1 [even/ -7]
Charly Hoffman 150-1 [-1/-7]
Bubba Watson 100-1 [+1/-6]

"of interest" for me because they shot low Saturday
Dustin Johnson 6-1 [-3/-10]
Phil Mickelson 6-1 [-6/-11]
Tyrrell Hatton 8-1 [-7/-11]
Justin Thomas 12-1 [-9/-9]
Pat Perez 18-1 [-3/-10]

@LeRinkRat thanks for the input! Always love learning new perspectives. 

MOST disappointing golf tourney for me EVER, WALL-E. Sharma falls flat on his butt Sunday AND I had final round "to win" bets on Thomas @ 12-1 Hatton 8-1 and Perez 18-1. all FAIL

the WHOLE final round just SUCKED!!!

@LeRinkRat This one was a tough one to swallow. Taking a lead into Sunday.. the pressure is like no other. It certainly must take awhile to learn how to ride and embrace the pressure Mickelson rather than succumb to it... 

ROUND 4 - Value Top 20 Final Results