TOUR Championship "to win" odds and matchups

@ William-Hill and Cantor Gaming, Las Vegas

"to win" futures

Jason Day 3-1
Rory McIlroy 6-1
Jordan Spieth 13-2 / 7-1 [cg]
Henrik Stenson 15-2 / 10-1 [cg]
Rickie Fowler 8-1 / 10-1 [cg]
Justin Rose 12-1
Dustin Johnson 15-1 / 18-1 [cg]
Bubba Watson 18-1
Zach Johnson 18-1 /20-1 [cg]
Hideki Matsuyama 25-1 / 28-1 [cg]
Matt Kuchar 30-1
Jim Furyk 40-1 <<< withdrew - wrist injury
Louis Oosthuizen 40-1
Patrick Reed 40-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Brooks Koepka 50-1
JB Holmes 50-1
Robert Streb 50-1 / 50-1 [cg]
Daniel Berger 50-1
Kevin Kisner 50-1
Bill Haas 60-1
Charley Hoffman 60-1
Brandt Snedeker 60-1
Danny Lee 75-1
Scott Piercy 75-1
Jimmy Walker 75-1
Keven Na 75-1
Harris English 75-1
Steven Bowditch -125-1
Sang-Moon Bar 125-1

tourney matchups
Jason Day -145 vs Rory Mcilroy +125
Rory Mcilroy -125 vs Jordan Spieth +105
Jordan Spieth even vs Henrik Stenson -120
Rickie Fowler -110 vs Justin Rose -110
Dustin Johnson -120 vs Bubba Watson even
Zack Johnson -125 vs Hideki Matsuyama +105
Matt Kuchar -115 vs Louis Oosthuizen -105
Patrick Reed -110 vs Paul Casey -110
Brooks Koepka -125 vs JB Holmes +105
Daniel Berger +105 vs Kevin Kisner -125
Robert Streb -125 vs Charley Hoffman +105
Bill Haas -125 vs Danny Lee +105
Brandt Snedeker -125 Kevin Na +105
Scott Piercy even vs Harris English -120
Steven Bowditch -105 vs Sang-Moon Bae -115

1st round matchups
Jason Day -125 vs Jordan Spieth +105
Rickie Fowler even vs Henrik Stenson -120
Bubba Watson -130 vs Zack Johnson +110
Dustin Johnson -170 vs Cahrley Hoffman +150
Daniel Berger -110 vs Patrick Reed -110
Rory McIlroy -140 vs Justin Rose +120
Jimmy Walker even vs Robert stred -120
JB Holmes -110 Kevin Kisner -110
Danny Lee -120 vs Scott Piercy even
Matt Kuchar -110 vs Paul Casey -110
Brandt Snedeker -150 vs Steven Bowditch +130
Brooks Koepka even vs Bill Haas -120
Kevin Na -145 vs Sang-Moon Bae +125
Louis Oosthuizen -130 vs Harris English +110

so far just three bets for me...

Tourney matchups
Henrik Stenson -120 over Jordan Spieth even (60/110)
Bubba Watson even over Dustin Johnson (50/100)

1st round matchup
Jason Day -125 over Jordan Spieth (50/90) @ William -Hill

tempted to chance the "to win the FedEx" future Jason Day +110 for a buck. he loses IF one of the other four other leaders, Spieth, Fowler, Stenson or Watson win BUT can still WIN with a high finish with just about anyone else. way he is playing right now tough to bet against him

Holy SH!T, Jason!!! three birdies out of the box THEN takes TRIPLE on #5? WTF?

Cheese LOU-ese!!! Jason is spraying like a skunk of the tee. just 3 of 7 fairways so far. I think I'm screwed

Henrik Stenson KILLING it. 7 under thru #10. should have played his 1st round -120 over Fowler

well that's that. Day's body language tells me he's FUKKED!!! I just took a $50 dollar bill and set a match to it. these god damn golfers are skittish as race horses. something disturbs them and the wheels come off

THAT is IT!!! I am NOT betting one these FLAKES anymore!!! you don't know WHAT the HELL these skittish baztards are gonna DO tourney to tourney, round to round or even hole to hole. TOTALLY UNPREDICTABLE!!!

I would take Casey over Stenson tomorrow. Always fade the low round. Odds are he won't shoot another 63. Casey loved the way it was set up and the weather. GL

I would tend to agree because Henrik started to "back off" some late round one BUT after Jason's crap today I can't trust ANY of these fukking fukkers 

I was a couple weeks early on Rory. This is the week he reminds everyone who the real #1 is. I now think he's the Fed Ex Cup winner come Sunday Night.

Rory may win, but one guy I expected to back off was J-Day. And to be honest I expected it before this week. The only guy in recent years that won week to week was Tiger. It's just not expected to win 3 out of 4 weeks or whatever Day did. That's why I think he may win player of the year, if not him then Spieth, it's a two horse race for sure.

I was just thinking that after yesterday's finish. Jordan Spieth too. he could have easy been up with Stenson IF he could "straighten out his putz". played excellent tee to green BUT must have rimmed a half a dozen birdie attempts

adjusted "to win" odds after 1st round
Henrik Stenson [-7] 2-1
Paul Casey [-5] 12-1
Zack Johnson [-4] 10-1
Rory McIlroy [-4] 3-1
Kevin Na [-2] 65-1
Brooks Koepka [-2] 35-1
Steven Bowditch [-2] 100-1
Brandt Snedeker [-2] 50-1
JB Holmes [-2] 50-1
Jordan Spieth [-2] 8-1
Danny Lee [-1] 75-1
Hideki Matsuyama [-1] 35-1
Daniel Berger [-1] 75-1
Dustin Johnson[-1] 20-1
Rickie Fowler [-1] 20-1
Jason Day [-1] 8-1
Justin Rose [even] 40-1
Bubba Watson [even] 40-1

just listed those "in range"

2nd round matchups
Kevin Kisner -120 vs Robert Streb even
Scott Piercey -105 vs Charley Hoffman -115
Jimmy Walker -125 vs Sang-Moon Bae +105
Patrick Reed -110 vs Bill Haas -110
Matt Kuchar -125 vs Harris English +115
Bubba Watson even vs Justin Rose -120
Jason Day -150 vs Rickie Fowler +130
Dustin Johnson -145 vs Daniel Berger +125
Hideki Masuyama -150 vs Danny Lee +130
Jordan Spieth -170 vs JB Holmes +150
Steven Bowditch +115 vs Brandt Snedeker -135
Brooks Kopeka -125 vs Kevin Na +105
Rory McIlroy -160 vs Zack Johnson +140
Henrik Stenson -165 vs Paul Casey +145

looks like MORE rain Saturday @ Atlanta. obviously effected play Friday with the scores. only FOUR players under par 2nd round

adjusted "to win" odds after 2nd round

Henrik Stenson [-9] +125
Jordan Spieth [-6] +260
Paul Casey [-5] 10-1
Zack Johnson [-4] 12-1
Rory McIlroy [-3] 8-1
Steven Bowditch [-3] 40-1
Justin Rose [-2] 25-1
Rickie Fowler [-1] 30-1
Jason Day [even] 22-1
JB Holmes [even] 150-1
Brandt Snedeker [even] 150-1
Matt Kuchar [+1] 200-1
Bubba Watson [+1] 150-1
Dustin Johnson [+1] 150-1
Hideki Matsuyama [+1] 150-1
Danny Lee [+1] 300-1
Kevin Na [+1] 300-1

3rd round matchups [2nd round/tourney]

Robert Streb -110 [+5/+10] vs Kevin Kisner -110 [+7/+13]
Hideki Matsuyama -140 [+2/+1] vs Danny Lee +120 [+2/+1]
Daniel Berger -110 +3/+2] vs Kevin Na -110 [+3/+1]
Dustin Johnson -110 [+2/+1] vs Bubba Watson -110 [+1/+1]
Jason Day -170 [+1/even] vs JB Holmes +150 [+2/even]
Justin Rose -120 [-2/-2] vs Rickie Fowler even [even/-1]
Rory McIlroy -200 [+1/-3] vs Steven Bowditch +175 [-1/-3]
Zack Johnson -140 [even/-4] vs Paul Casey +120 [even/-4]
Jordan Spieth -120 [-4/-6] vs Henrik Stenson even [-2/-9]

some insane lines in the daily matchups. is Paul Casey REALLY playing worse than Zack Johnson? just one hole (#6 water shot) bite him Friday. is Rory REALLY playing better than "Blowtorch"? Jason Day still has a LOT to play for. current tied for 9th would probably knock him out of Fed Ex no matter WHO wins. needs to be at least 5th for a chance as long as Stenson or Spieth do NOT win.

is Rory REALLY playing better than "Blowtorch"?

well I found out WHY that line was McIlroy -200 Bowditch +175. it's because that fat slob "Blowtorch" is the golf version of a baseball "gas can" pitcher

looks like Sunday will be "match play" Jordan Speith vs Henrik Stenson. I doubt BOTH would "blow up" and let someone else in the "back door." weather forecast cloudy 20% chance of rain.

3rd round results [3rd round score]

Jordan Spieth [-2] -8
Henrik Stenson [+2] -7
Rickie Fowler [-3] -4
Paul Casey [+1] -4
Rory McIlroy [even] -3
Zack Johnson [+1] -3
JB Holmes [-2] -2
Bubba Watson [-2] -1
Justin Rose [+1] -1

final round "to win"odds  [tourney score]

Spieth win -140 [-8]
Stenson +200 [-7]
Fowler 12-1 [-4]
McIlroy 12-1 [-3]
Paul Casey 18-1 [-4]
Zack Johnson 35-1 [-3]

final round matchups  [3rd round/tourney scores]

Kevin Kisner -110 [+2/+15] vs Patrick Reed -110 [+7/+13]
Scott Piercy +110 [+3/+10] vs Robert Streb -130 [-1/+9]
Jimmy Walker -105 [+4/+8] vs Harris English -115 [+1/+8]
Bill Haas -125 [+2/+7] vs Brandt Snedeker+105 [+5/+5]
Sang-Moon Bae +115 [+2/+5] vs Charley Hoffman -135 [even+5]
Brooks Koepka +120 [+2/+4] vs Dustin Johnson [+1/+2]
Kevin Na -135 [even/+1] vs Steven Bowditch +115 [+3/even]
Jason Day -155 [even/even] vs Matt Kuchar +135 [-1/even]
Hideki Matsuyama -140 [-1/even] vs Danny Lee +120 [-1/even]
Daniel Berger +125 [-2/even] vs Justin Rose -145 [+1/-1]
Bubba Watson -135 [-2/-1] vs JB Holmes +115 [-2/-2]
Zack Johnson +140 [+1/-3] vs Rory McIlroy -160 [even/-3]
Paul Casey +120 {+1/-4] vs Rickie Fowler -140 [-3/-4]
Jordan Spieth -125 [-2/-8] vs Henrik Stenson +105 [+2/-7]

just one play. Jordan Spieth -125 vs Henrik Stenson. Jordan is usually a strong finisher and Henrik seems to bone leads as his 5 2nd place finishes this season show

leaning Streb (usually has a good final rounds), Koepka (more a fade of Dustin), Kuchar (I think Day has lost interest) and Berger (not impressed with Rose play). I don't know HOW you can pick between "Kevin? NAH" and "Bow in the Ditch"

just one play. Jordan Spieth -125 vs Henrik Stenson. WINS [-1/+2]

adjusted "to win" odds after 1st round
Jordan Spieth 8-1 was 5 back of leader Henrik Stenson

adjusted "to win" odds after 2nd round
Jordan Spieth +260 was 3 back of Stenson

final round "to win"odds after 3rd round
Spieth win -140 1 shot ahead of Stenson and 4 on Fowler & Casey

Jordan Spieth WINS the tourney 9 under 4 shots ahead of 2nd Stenson, Rose and Lee. also wins the FedEx for HUGE $$$