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Posted: #1
Huge card...we go deep into detail on the podcast..had lots of fun this week especially with the fantasy football draft...but here we go with this weeks picks.  

Day v Spieth


The last 6 tourneys these two have played…Spieth has not finished ahead of Day.  I will keep playing this matchup as long as they post it


Kuchar v Bubba


Bubba has one top 15 finish the last 7 tourneys.  Kuchar has a bunch of top 10’s.

CAUTION:  The last 2 majors Kuchar has finished 46th.  Still love him, but that’s a little bit of a red flag.


Kuchar v Rickie


Continuing to fade trickie Rickie.  His last 3 majors include 2 missed cuts and a 46th.


Zach Johnson v Louis Ooisthuizen


Every time I bet for or against Louis it backfires.  But here we go again!!!!  Zach has 4 straight finishes inside the top 17 including an 8th and a 12th at the last 2 majors.  Louis has missed the cut 3 out of the last 5 tourneys…hasn’t finished inside the top 20 since the Masters…Missed the cut at the Open as well.


1st round picks


DJ vs Rory


I’ve documented Rory’s first round woes.  I expect it to continue here.


Kaymer v Schwartzel


The last 3 tourneys these guys have played together Kaymer has outscored Charl in the first round by 2 strokes or better.


Adam Scott v Keegan Bradley


I don’t believe Keegan is back.  I think these fast greens give his shaky putter problems out of the gate.



And here we go with some crazy picks that I don’t normally do, but I believe in these picks.  I’m looking hard at the make the cut, miss the cut lines, and I see some parlays I like.


Keegan to miss the cut +150


PARLAYS


Day, DJ, Adam Scott, Kuchar  (even money)

0 missed cuts the last 10 weeks combined with these guys (this will be a theme)


Woodland, Kaymer (even money)

0 missed cuts the last 10 weeks combined with these guys except or one missed cut from Woodland months ago.


Sergio, Zach, Stricker (even money)

0 missed cuts the last 10 weeks combined with these guys


Westwood, Dufner, Cabrera Bello (+205)

0 missed cuts the last 10 weeks combined with these guys


And here’s the homerun play…why not.


Dustin, Rory, Day, Sergio, Adam, Kuchar, Kaymer, Zach, Westwood, Stricker

0 missed cuts the last 10 weeks combined with these guys

$40 pays 9-1


 
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Posted: #2
Completely agree with you on Keegan. But don't you think Scott is just as shaky with the putter? I am really liking Finau -115 against Walker. Also liking Horschel +105 against Keegan. Horschel has made 13 of 15 cuts this year while Keegan has made only 10 of 21. I think the favorable draw for Keegan in the British Open has him really overvalued here.
 
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Posted: #3
I bet Kuchar vs Bubba during the Masters and British.
He barely held on during the Masters, and he blew a 4 shot lead in the final round of the British. He was up 7 on Bubba after the 2nd round, Bubba needed a birdie on 18 to make the cut.
Kuchar goes on to piss himself in the final 2 rounds.
Cost me a ton of dough.

I will never bet Kuchar again in a matchup.


 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by RBTrojan:

Completely agree with you on Keegan. But don't you think Scott is just as shaky with the putter? I am really liking Finau -115 against Walker. Also liking Horschel +105 against Keegan. Horschel has made 13 of 15 cuts this year while Keegan has made only 10 of 21. I think the favorable draw for Keegan in the British Open has him really overvalued here.

Horschel v Keegan is interesting...I just didn't like how Billy missed the cut at the Open.  Probably just an outlier though.

No I don't think Scott is just as shaky with the putter.  I think Adam is way better than Keegan.


 
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Posted: #5
Where can I listen to your podcast at?
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by BigRomes916:

Where can I listen to your podcast at?

Itunes and you tube.  It's called "The Golf Betting Guys".  

It's drinking, gambling and partying.  Pretty much what it's like when I actually golf.
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by SkySky:

I bet Kuchar vs Bubba during the Masters and British.
He barely held on during the Masters, and he blew a 4 shot lead in the final round of the British. He was up 7 on Bubba after the 2nd round, Bubba needed a birdie on 18 to make the cut.
Kuchar goes on to piss himself in the final 2 rounds.
Cost me a ton of dough.

I will never bet Kuchar again in a matchup.



Louis Oosthiuizen is that way for me.  It feels like I've bet on him five times in the last two years.  I think he's missed the cut five times in the last two years.  All the same tourneys I've bet on him.  I feel your pain.
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:


Louis Oosthiuizen is that way for me.  It feels like I've bet on him five times in the last two years.  I think he's missed the cut five times in the last two years.  All the same tourneys I've bet on him.  I feel your pain.


thank you for reminding me about Oosthiuizen "make the cut" NO +160 BUT kind of fukked up. the prop opened +195 @ William-Hill
 
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Posted: #9
Adding a play.

JB Holmes v. Willet


 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:



thank you for reminding me about Oosthiuizen "make the cut" NO +160 BUT kind of fukked up. the prop opened +195 @ William-Hill

+200 at bet365, think im taking it, thanks !
 
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Posted: #11
I'm glad to keep cashing bets against Keegan...but man, I felt bad for him today.  He was having a solid round, and then bogey, bogey, bogey to finish.  The look on his face after that last bogey...I just felt bad.  Sigh...can't wait to bet against him tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by Reacharound:


+200 at bet365, think im taking it, thanks !


Ah NUTS!!! "Oosther" decides to play golf this tourney. bugger shoots [-2] 1st round. BUT he also had a decent 1st @ Troon then came back with a "dumpster fire" his 2nd. hopefully he repeats that Friday
 
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Posted: #13
Playing Adam Scott v Keegan 2nd round.
 
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Posted: #14
Playing

Stricker v Toms
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:



Ah NUTS!!! "Oosther" decides to play golf this tourney. bugger shoots [-2] 1st round. BUT he also had a decent 1st @ Troon then came back with a "dumpster fire" his 2nd. hopefully he repeats that Friday


I got absolutely "beat up" on my "to make the cut" NO bets. ONLY one to cash of the four bet was "Fat Baztard" Lowry @ [+5]. Willett "squeeks in" on me yet AGAIN @ [+1] with a birdie-birdie finish Friday, Ooster with a par round for [-2] and freeking Matsuyama [-2] for [-3] early. the Willett finish REALLY pizzed me off. screwed me @ Troon too
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

I'm glad to keep cashing bets against Keegan...but man, I felt bad for him today.  He was having a solid round, and then bogey, bogey, bogey to finish.  The look on his face after that last bogey...I just felt bad.  Sigh...can't wait to bet against him tomorrow.


Going to need a similar finish, he's holed 82+ feet of birdie putts.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

Playing Adam Scott v Keegan 2nd round.
   tailed ya on this one 
 
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Posted: #18
3rd round

Scott v Bourdy
Zach v Hurley
 
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Posted: #19
Adding Reed v Koepka 3rd round
 
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Posted: #20
Awful third round.

4th round

Stricker v Lee
Hatton v Han-Song
 
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Posted: #21
Who you think wins the championship today? GL
 
 
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Posted: #22
big Al,

the pain the pain....I bet big on the kaymer/Matsuyama matchup...it looked great for two rounds.

I watched kaymer blowup then salvage the bogey on 18 to end the 3rd round.  I knew then it would come back to get us...his eagle on 18 to end tournament was just insult to injury....person

while watching I remembered back to the masters whey you said you were going to bet matsuayama to win a major this year...he came close at our expense....to bad he picked the pga to play well.

with Zach following a part, and keegan coming to play, it made for a sunday change for the worst.  seemed like everything went against us.

thought I would be taking home a modest cash, but turned into a modest payout....

you have been on a roll though, and I plan to keep rolling with you.  keep up the good work

are you betting the Olympics?

spanimal
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