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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    Open Championship picks

    alangrrbs
    AJLightning
    LeRinkRat
    bertski
    Dr-Spanimal
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 1650
    Posts: 22
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posts: 4739
    Posted: Jul. 12, 2016 - 3:46 PM ET #1

    Day v Spieth
    Louis Oosthuizen v Justin Rose
    Sergio v Fowler
    Zach Johnson v Matthew Fitzpatrick
    Kuchar v Watson
    Westwood v Willet

    We go into a lot more depth on these on the podcast which should be up tonight or tomorrow morning.  Super busy today so I'll post the write-ups tomorrow.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Day v Spieth
    Louis Oosthuizen v Justin Rose
    Sergio v Fowler
    Zach Johnson v Matthew Fitzpatrick
    Kuchar v Watson
    Westwood v Willet

    We go into a lot more depth on these on the podcast which should be up tonight or tomorrow morning.  Super busy today so I'll post the write-ups tomorrow.
     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
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    Posts: 13879
    Posted: Jul. 12, 2016 - 6:05 PM ET #2

    Good luck! 

    Take a look into Reed over Bubba for the tourny. My biggest play this week! 

    Reply
    Good luck! 

    Take a look into Reed over Bubba for the tourny. My biggest play this week! 

     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jul. 12, 2016 - 9:33 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

    Good luck! 

    Take a look into Reed over Bubba for the tourney. My biggest play this week! 



    Patrick Reed shot well @ Inverness tied for 10th with Graeme McDowell [-9] for the tourney with back to back [-5] Saturday & Sunday

    I found an interesting "to win" FIELD bet @ 50-1 @ South Point sportsbook Las Vegas yesterday. they have a number of players in their FIELD that could surprise @ Troon. thought it was worth a $20 to win $1000 "sprinkle"

    Alex Noren <<< WON Scottish Open [-14]
    Tyrrell Hatton <<< 2nd Scottish Open [-13]
    Nick Colsaerts <<< T-3rd [-6] final round Scottish Open
    Mattio Manassero <<< T-3rd Scottish Open [-12]
    Richie Ramsey <<< T-6th [-5] final round Scottish Open
    James Hahn
    Scott Hend
    Jeunghun Wang
    Rikard Karlberg
    Andy Johnson
    Danial Summerhays
    William McGirt
    Colt Knost
    Fabian Gomez
    Smylie Kaufman
    Patton Kizzire
    Jon Rahm

    also "Kiwi Danny" Lee $5 @ 100-1 T-3rd @ Inverness

    like alangrrbs I am also fading BOTH "Rickey Tickie" AND '"Matthew Mouse" this week along with Matsuyama in their match plays. also have "to miss the cut" props on Rickie Fowler +270 , Shane Lowry +220 Matthew Fitzpatrick +165 & Hideki Matsuyama +190


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

    Good luck! 

    Take a look into Reed over Bubba for the tourney. My biggest play this week! 



    Patrick Reed shot well @ Inverness tied for 10th with Graeme McDowell [-9] for the tourney with back to back [-5] Saturday & Sunday

    I found an interesting "to win" FIELD bet @ 50-1 @ South Point sportsbook Las Vegas yesterday. they have a number of players in their FIELD that could surprise @ Troon. thought it was worth a $20 to win $1000 "sprinkle"

    Alex Noren <<< WON Scottish Open [-14]
    Tyrrell Hatton <<< 2nd Scottish Open [-13]
    Nick Colsaerts <<< T-3rd [-6] final round Scottish Open
    Mattio Manassero <<< T-3rd Scottish Open [-12]
    Richie Ramsey <<< T-6th [-5] final round Scottish Open
    James Hahn
    Scott Hend
    Jeunghun Wang
    Rikard Karlberg
    Andy Johnson
    Danial Summerhays
    William McGirt
    Colt Knost
    Fabian Gomez
    Smylie Kaufman
    Patton Kizzire
    Jon Rahm

    also "Kiwi Danny" Lee $5 @ 100-1 T-3rd @ Inverness

    like alangrrbs I am also fading BOTH "Rickey Tickie" AND '"Matthew Mouse" this week along with Matsuyama in their match plays. also have "to miss the cut" props on Rickie Fowler +270 , Shane Lowry +220 Matthew Fitzpatrick +165 & Hideki Matsuyama +190


     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posts: 4739
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 12:40 AM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

    Good luck! 

    Take a look into Reed over Bubba for the tourny. My biggest play this week! 


    Looked real hard at that matchup and then went with Kuchar over Bubba instead of Reed over Bubba.  Doesn't mean I won't jump on board with you.  All it takes is a couple of cocktails, and I'm in.  Which will probably happen tomorrow night.  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

    Good luck! 

    Take a look into Reed over Bubba for the tourny. My biggest play this week! 


    Looked real hard at that matchup and then went with Kuchar over Bubba instead of Reed over Bubba.  Doesn't mean I won't jump on board with you.  All it takes is a couple of cocktails, and I'm in.  Which will probably happen tomorrow night.  
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posts: 4739
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 12:42 AM ET #5

    LeRink

    I actually really like that wager on the field.  I don't play outright winners, but I think the value is there.  There are 5 guys I see in there that have an outside shot at winning.  BOL 
    Reply
    LeRink

    I actually really like that wager on the field.  I don't play outright winners, but I think the value is there.  There are 5 guys I see in there that have an outside shot at winning.  BOL 
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 1:23 AM ET #6

    just checked the weather forecast for Royal Troon starting Thursday @ https://www.golf.com/tour-and-news/2016-british-open-weather-forecast-rain-royal-troon the opening round should be reasonable partly cloudy with 10% chance of rain and 15 MPH winds from the west. Friday could be a re-run of day one @ Inverness last week. 90% chance of rain and 20 MPH winds from the south as a front moves thru. Saturday and Sunday should be 60% then 70% chance of rain showers with wind southwest @ 30 mph Saturday and west-southwest 20 mph Sunday.

    COULD be a HIGH scoring Open
    Reply
    just checked the weather forecast for Royal Troon starting Thursday @ https://www.golf.com/tour-and-news/2016-british-open-weather-forecast-rain-royal-troon the opening round should be reasonable partly cloudy with 10% chance of rain and 15 MPH winds from the west. Friday could be a re-run of day one @ Inverness last week. 90% chance of rain and 20 MPH winds from the south as a front moves thru. Saturday and Sunday should be 60% then 70% chance of rain showers with wind southwest @ 30 mph Saturday and west-southwest 20 mph Sunday.

    COULD be a HIGH scoring Open
     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
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    Posts: 13879
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 9:31 AM ET #7

    I still think it gets to at least -8 or -10 to win!

    Reply
    I still think it gets to at least -8 or -10 to win!

     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 3:52 PM ET #8

    Adding

    Top 20

    Sergio +105
    Adam Scott -110
    Westwood +180
    Reply
    Adding

    Top 20

    Sergio +105
    Adam Scott -110
    Westwood +180
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posts: 4739
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 3:54 PM ET #9

    Adding

    Top 20

    Sergio +105
    Adam Scott -110
    Westwood +180
    Reply
    Adding

    Top 20

    Sergio +105
    Adam Scott -110
    Westwood +180
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 5:28 PM ET #10

    Side Note:

    Had a blast on the "Fantasy Football style draft" podcast this week.  We were thinking of having someone call in to the podcast and join us.  If any of you are interested in doing that, shoot me a pm.  The podcast is The Golf Betting Guys and we record on Tuesday evenings so you would have to be available on a tuesday evening for about an hour.
    Reply
    Side Note:

    Had a blast on the "Fantasy Football style draft" podcast this week.  We were thinking of having someone call in to the podcast and join us.  If any of you are interested in doing that, shoot me a pm.  The podcast is The Golf Betting Guys and we record on Tuesday evenings so you would have to be available on a tuesday evening for about an hour.
     
    bertski
    bertski
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    Posts: 4557
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 10:11 PM ET #11

    hey  alan   gonna foloow you on a couple  matchups    SRGIO DAY   KUCHAR     gl to us 
    Reply
    hey  alan   gonna foloow you on a couple  matchups    SRGIO DAY   KUCHAR     gl to us 
     
    bertski
    bertski
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    Posts: 4557
    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 10:24 PM ET #12

    cant tail ya   alan  cant get those plays    I GOT

    DAY & DJ    TO WIN   +800

    ROUND 1   DAY ov FOWLER -140

    TOURNEY  GARCIA ov FOWLER  -130

    DAY TOP 5   +175       DAY TOP 10  -125     DJ TOP 10 -125 

    looking for   DAY  7  DJ  to be the class of the tourney  I HOPE.  GL BRO

    Reply

    cant tail ya   alan  cant get those plays    I GOT

    DAY & DJ    TO WIN   +800

    ROUND 1   DAY ov FOWLER -140

    TOURNEY  GARCIA ov FOWLER  -130

    DAY TOP 5   +175       DAY TOP 10  -125     DJ TOP 10 -125 

    looking for   DAY  7  DJ  to be the class of the tourney  I HOPE.  GL BRO

     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 10:54 PM ET #13

    Good to see you in here Bertski!!!

    Love the Day plays!!!  
    Reply
    Good to see you in here Bertski!!!

    Love the Day plays!!!  
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2016 - 12:19 AM ET #14

    Forgot to do the write-ups.  Sorry.  I know some people like reading them.


    Day v Spieth

    I have Day as the best golfer in the world.  Jordan isn't in my top 4 right now.  I'll keep playing this matchup each week.


    Louis v Rose

    There are 2 injuries I think affect golfers the most.  Wrist and back.  And I don't think Rose's back is 100%.  That leads to inconsistency, and he probably isn't going to hold together all tournament.  Louis can be frustrating to be on at times, but I think he will hang around and end up finishing strong on Sunday.


    Sergio v Fowler

    Sergio is playing fantastic right now.  3 top 5's in the last 3 tourneys.  Fowler isn't playing good enough to get in top 5's right now.  I think Sergio can win this tourney.  Wouldn't surprise me if Rickie missed the cut.


    Zach Johnson v Matthew Fitzpatrick

    Zach is coming off of 2 top 10 finishes, and Fitzpatrick is coming off of 2 missed cuts.  Oh, and by the way...Zach won this tournament last year, and has 2 other top 10 finishes.  Fitzpatrick has played in the Open once and finished 44th.


    Kuchar v Watson

    Bubba has missed the cut the last 2 Opens.  Cuter has 5 top 6 finishes in his last 6 tournaments.  Bubba doesn't have a finish that good in a long time.


    Westwood v Willet

    Willet since winning the Masters hasn’t been great.  He has a 3rd, but he also has 4 MC’s, and he is coming off of 2 straight MC’s.  Westwood has 4 top 15’s in his last 5 tourneys, and he just always seems to play good at the majors.


    BONUS PLAY


    First Round only


    Dustin Johnson v Rory McIlroy

    I had a feeling Rory wasn’t terrific in first rounds, and then I found this great stat.  Since the Masters, Dustin Johnson has played 6 1st rounds under 70.  Rory has played 0 first rounds under 70.  Then what does Rory do in round 2?  4 out of 6 tournaments since the Masters he’s shot 69 or lower.  So I’m hoping Rory doesn’t do great in round 1, and then we turn around and play him in round 2.

    Reply

    Forgot to do the write-ups.  Sorry.  I know some people like reading them.


    Day v Spieth

    I have Day as the best golfer in the world.  Jordan isn't in my top 4 right now.  I'll keep playing this matchup each week.


    Louis v Rose

    There are 2 injuries I think affect golfers the most.  Wrist and back.  And I don't think Rose's back is 100%.  That leads to inconsistency, and he probably isn't going to hold together all tournament.  Louis can be frustrating to be on at times, but I think he will hang around and end up finishing strong on Sunday.


    Sergio v Fowler

    Sergio is playing fantastic right now.  3 top 5's in the last 3 tourneys.  Fowler isn't playing good enough to get in top 5's right now.  I think Sergio can win this tourney.  Wouldn't surprise me if Rickie missed the cut.


    Zach Johnson v Matthew Fitzpatrick

    Zach is coming off of 2 top 10 finishes, and Fitzpatrick is coming off of 2 missed cuts.  Oh, and by the way...Zach won this tournament last year, and has 2 other top 10 finishes.  Fitzpatrick has played in the Open once and finished 44th.


    Kuchar v Watson

    Bubba has missed the cut the last 2 Opens.  Cuter has 5 top 6 finishes in his last 6 tournaments.  Bubba doesn't have a finish that good in a long time.


    Westwood v Willet

    Willet since winning the Masters hasn’t been great.  He has a 3rd, but he also has 4 MC’s, and he is coming off of 2 straight MC’s.  Westwood has 4 top 15’s in his last 5 tourneys, and he just always seems to play good at the majors.


    BONUS PLAY


    First Round only


    Dustin Johnson v Rory McIlroy

    I had a feeling Rory wasn’t terrific in first rounds, and then I found this great stat.  Since the Masters, Dustin Johnson has played 6 1st rounds under 70.  Rory has played 0 first rounds under 70.  Then what does Rory do in round 2?  4 out of 6 tournaments since the Masters he’s shot 69 or lower.  So I’m hoping Rory doesn’t do great in round 1, and then we turn around and play him in round 2.

     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2016 - 9:06 AM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Side Note:

    Had a blast on the "Fantasy Football style draft" podcast this week.  We were thinking of having someone call in to the podcast and join us.  If any of you are interested in doing that, shoot me a pm.  The podcast is The Golf Betting Guys and we record on Tuesday evenings so you would have to be available on a tuesday evening for about an hour.


    would LIKE to shoot you a PM BUT you NEVER accepted my FRIENDS request, alangrrbs
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Side Note:

    Had a blast on the "Fantasy Football style draft" podcast this week.  We were thinking of having someone call in to the podcast and join us.  If any of you are interested in doing that, shoot me a pm.  The podcast is The Golf Betting Guys and we record on Tuesday evenings so you would have to be available on a tuesday evening for about an hour.


    would LIKE to shoot you a PM BUT you NEVER accepted my FRIENDS request, alangrrbs
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2016 - 11:09 PM ET #16

    Playing Summerhays v Montgomerie

    I think Montgomerie falls apart tomorrow.
    Reply
    Playing Summerhays v Montgomerie

    I think Montgomerie falls apart tomorrow.
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2016 - 1:08 AM ET #17

    3 guys I bet against made the cut by 1 stroke.  This has 0-3 in those bets written all over it.
    Reply
    3 guys I bet against made the cut by 1 stroke.  This has 0-3 in those bets written all over it.
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2016 - 2:28 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    3 guys I bet against made the cut by 1 stroke.  This has 0-3 in those bets written all over it.


    I know what you mean, I got burned last week when BOTH Mickelson and Stenson "squeeked in" the 2nd round to barely make the cut @ Inverness. I was lucky to get a "putch" with them vs Kaymer in what should have been a "walkover" tourney match play

    I went 3-2 on my "make the cut? NO" bets on Fowler, Willett, Fitzpatrick, Lowry and Maysuyama. pizzed me off that Willett makes a birdie @ #16 today to "squeek in" @ [+4]
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    3 guys I bet against made the cut by 1 stroke.  This has 0-3 in those bets written all over it.


    I know what you mean, I got burned last week when BOTH Mickelson and Stenson "squeeked in" the 2nd round to barely make the cut @ Inverness. I was lucky to get a "putch" with them vs Kaymer in what should have been a "walkover" tourney match play

    I went 3-2 on my "make the cut? NO" bets on Fowler, Willett, Fitzpatrick, Lowry and Maysuyama. pizzed me off that Willett makes a birdie @ #16 today to "squeek in" @ [+4]
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2016 - 2:32 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Playing Summerhays v Montgomerie

    I think Montgomerie falls apart tomorrow.


    well played, alangrrbs. Summerhays +6. Colin Montgomerie +8
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Playing Summerhays v Montgomerie

    I think Montgomerie falls apart tomorrow.


    well played, alangrrbs. Summerhays +6. Colin Montgomerie +8
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2016 - 4:12 PM ET #20

    I was pulling my hair out watching Summerhays fumble his way to the finish.  But in the end it worked out.


    Reply
    I was pulling my hair out watching Summerhays fumble his way to the finish.  But in the end it worked out.


     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2016 - 10:08 PM ET #21

    One play for the final round

    Stricker -110 v Holmes

    Stricker has had one bad hole this tourney.  If he pars that hole instead of his weird quadrouple bogey, he's at -7 for the tourney.  I know it's easy to just eliminate one hole from a guys scorecard and say he's playing well, but what really like about this matchup is how Stricker played on the back 9 today compared to Holmes.  The back 9 is where you can really lose shots, especially if weather bring rain and wind, and Stricker played the back 9 at -1 today...Holmes played it at +2.  
    Reply
    One play for the final round

    Stricker -110 v Holmes

    Stricker has had one bad hole this tourney.  If he pars that hole instead of his weird quadrouple bogey, he's at -7 for the tourney.  I know it's easy to just eliminate one hole from a guys scorecard and say he's playing well, but what really like about this matchup is how Stricker played on the back 9 today compared to Holmes.  The back 9 is where you can really lose shots, especially if weather bring rain and wind, and Stricker played the back 9 at -1 today...Holmes played it at +2.  
     
     
    Dr-Spanimal
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2016 - 8:47 AM ET #22

    great finish for the weekend gents....loved the picks....

    of course I started watching just in time to catch Kuchar fumble to the 7 on the par 3 and then lose to bubba by 1....of course bubba training a 50 footer for eagle on 16 did not help either.  thought that was one in the bag....but going 7-2 on the weekend is what I call great picks!  doubled up on the scott over fowler pick!

    keep it up and thanks.....now just got to get to the mail before my wife keeps opening up all my winnings
      spanimal
    Reply
    great finish for the weekend gents....loved the picks....

    of course I started watching just in time to catch Kuchar fumble to the 7 on the par 3 and then lose to bubba by 1....of course bubba training a 50 footer for eagle on 16 did not help either.  thought that was one in the bag....but going 7-2 on the weekend is what I call great picks!  doubled up on the scott over fowler pick!

    keep it up and thanks.....now just got to get to the mail before my wife keeps opening up all my winnings
      spanimal
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