Mexico Open

Really trying to identify guys who can drive the ball a long way, but more importantly quality long iron play. Got 1 put in so far with Pendrith. Others that are intriguing to me include mark hubbard, Austin eckroat, Davis Thompson, brandon wu, Keith Mitchell, and Stephen jaeger. Will add 

Taylor Pendrith (35-1) 1.5u

Gotta love Brandon Wu and Thompson here. Finau is of course a huge bogie and can run away of course. But, I like the value with Reavie here because of his approach play. In the last two years, he has had 3/4 good rounds both years. 

     What a ride the last 8 weeks have been. 4 long shot winners in a row. A college winner. A cancelled tournament after two rounds. A Matsuyama comeback winner. What a treat!

     And we are set up for a fantastic amazing weekend. Let's work together and get some money. This week, there are NO Top 5 players. We also have a large batch of under-valued European players. 

     Strategy: I am going to bet 45 players to win. As players struggle over the next three days, I will add another 25. Of the original 45, I am going to bet 15 top value plays very heavy. I am trying to turn $3,000 this week into $15,000.

    In the last two leaderboards, we have very consistent results. This means our research is a little bit more predictive this week. The top two finishers in the last two years have both been Top 50 approach players. Indeed, 25% of the top 20 both years are top 50 approach players. We also see that the Top 10 Driving Distance players make it top the top of the leaderboard, if they have a good putting/approach week. So I am betting the best approach players over the last year, as well as the top drivers.

Long Shot Bets: Reavie 400, Barjon 300, Dougherty 300,Springer 250, Piercon Coody 250, Crowe 220, Endycott 200, de Chassart 170, Greyserman 170, Silverman 170, Dylan Wu 170, Riley 150, Campillo 150, Schmid 150, Sigg 120, Valimaki 120, Bramlett 120, Whaley 120, Kizzire 120, Higgo 110, Carson Young 110, Spaun 110, Bjork 100, Parker Coody 100.

     --> Best Value: Reavie 400, Springer 250, Piercon Coody 250, Endycott 200, Greyserman 160, Dylan Wu 170, Riley 150, Schmid 150, Bramlett 120, Valimaki 120, Whaley 120, Carsyon Young 110, Bjork 100, Parker Coddy 100. 

Mid- Range Bets: Smalley 90, Gotterup 80, Norrman 80, Vegas 80, Tosti 60, Ghim 60, Miachel Kim 65, Justin Suh 55, Hubbard 55, Champ 50, Hisatsune 45, Brandon Wu 35, Knapp 35, Van Rooyen 35, Thompson 33, Rodgers 33, Olesen 28, Pendrith 25, Jaeger 25

      --> Best Value: Hubbard 55, Champ 50, Hisatsune 45, Bradnon Wu 35, Olesen 28, Pendirth 25, Jaeger 25

Short Odds: N. Hojgaard 16, Finau 6

      --> Best Value: N. Hojgaard 16

I am really excited betting Reavie, the Coody twins, the Europeans Campillo, Schmid, Bjork, Hisatsune, and Olesen, as well as the short odds Hojgaard. 

Important Additional Bets: 1. Finau Wire to Wire 2. Finau, Hojgaard to be in top 5 round 1. 

Can't wait for everyone's picks!

@Rollz

Good luck Rollz, I'm also betting on Taylor Pendrith 28-1

In the Kenya Open I'm betting on Masahiro Kawamura 45-1

I ran my model. I am crossing of de Chassart, Silverman, Dylan Wu, Gotterup, Greyserman, Springer, McNealy, Norrman, Bridgeman, Piercon Coody, Tosti, Barjon, Fox, Whaley, Valimaki, and Lower. Unless I get great odds. I am adding Van Rooyen, Pendrith, Michael Kim, Thompson, Hadley, Whitney, Skinns, Lashley, Detry, Rai, Ghim, Smalley, Kapp, Wallace, Crowe, Sigg, Ramey, and Hoffman depending on prices.

My model CONFIRMED Bjork, Jaeger, Hisatsune, N Hojgaard, Finau, Hubbard, Schmid, and Carson Young as good picks.

Top Long Approach Players: Bjork, Carson Young, Lower, Stevens, Van Rooyen, Finau, Reavie, Bridgeman, Thompson, Yuan, Pendrith, Lashley, Eckroat, Hubbard, Vegas, Smalley, Norrman, Spaun, Jaeger, N. Hojgaard, and Olesen. 

Top Approach in General: Crowe, Bjork, Whitney, Skimms, Hoey, Olesen, Spaun, Reavie, N Hojgaard, Van Rooyen, Parker Coody, Finau, Hubbard, and Hadley.

@PeAceMaKer7690

 Solid info man, definitely like alot of those guys. Liking jaeger a lot, he just seems ready to win one and has played this course well. Suits his game. 

@dusky

 Love it, gl buddy 

Stephan Jaeger (22-1) 1.5u

@Rollz

 Thanks. So I guess my top plays will be: Reavie, Schmid, Bjork, Carson Young, Hubbard, Hisatsune, and Jaeger.

I am looking at DPWT. I like the looks of Connor Syme and Cockerill at 35-1 each. 

With my luck, i might as well draw names from a hat

@Raidernator76

 Tell me what you get. That is how I role. Feeling lucky this week.

Gonna go for a few 6 figure bets by parlaying my favs with some DPWT. Not too many, don't wanna go broke. Just gonna put a few out there.

Krusyswijk 70, van Driel 55, Fritelli 50, Kawamura 35, Syme 35, Cockerill 35, Del Rey 35, Lacroix 25, Langasque 25, A Fitz 22.

If they have bad early rounds, I would love to add Hoshino, Lawrence, and Ferguson, but I don't like them at 14. 

Gonna parlay those three with Bjork, Hubbard, Hisatsune, Olesen, Pendrith, Jaeger,

I am giving it a 5% chance for $100 to bring in $5000. 

Sam Stevens (60-1) 1u

@Rollz

Adding Austin Eckroat to the card. Here’s what I’ve got in 

 Mexico open

Stephen Jaeger (22-1) 1.5u

Taylor Pendrith (35-1) 1.5u

Sam Stevens (60-1) 1u

Austin Eckroat (65-1) 1u

I like Jaeger to have a good opening round and be in contention all week 

I like Eckroat, Didn't have room on my card. Thought about him for First Round Leader too...

BOL!

@PeAceMaKer7690