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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    European BMW Masters (Singapore)

    billyh
    LeRinkRat
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 734
    Posts: 7
     
    billyh
    billyh
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 503
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2015 - 2:37 PM ET #1

    i have been fortunate to have won betting golf for each of the last 4 years. i abide by the following rules:
    1. don't bet much money. there are usually 150+ players each week. probably 80% have a chance to win. if you play $50 for the weekend and lose you will not be looking for the nearest cliff!
    2. don't bet favorites (under 20/1). they only win 15% of the time.
    3. don't bet top 5, top 10 or first round leader. odds are low and ties kill you.
    if you win 1 tournament every 2 months you will be a big winner! it is fun betting this way and not stressful.
    note: i have found that favorites odds go down and longshots odds go up as the 1st tee time approaches.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    i have been fortunate to have won betting golf for each of the last 4 years. i abide by the following rules:
    1. don't bet much money. there are usually 150+ players each week. probably 80% have a chance to win. if you play $50 for the weekend and lose you will not be looking for the nearest cliff!
    2. don't bet favorites (under 20/1). they only win 15% of the time.
    3. don't bet top 5, top 10 or first round leader. odds are low and ties kill you.
    if you win 1 tournament every 2 months you will be a big winner! it is fun betting this way and not stressful.
    note: i have found that favorites odds go down and longshots odds go up as the 1st tee time approaches.
     
    billyh
    billyh
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 503
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2015 - 2:46 PM ET #2

    thongchai jaidee            55/1
    likes this course. his part of the world.

    thomas pieters               60/1
    might wake up this week.

    soren kjeldson               110/1
    he's due again.long course though.

    unrelated matter: take Virginia Tech thursday night.
    Reply
    thongchai jaidee            55/1
    likes this course. his part of the world.

    thomas pieters               60/1
    might wake up this week.

    soren kjeldson               110/1
    he's due again.long course though.

    unrelated matter: take Virginia Tech thursday night.
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2015 - 2:47 PM ET #3

    BMW Masters "to win" futures @ William-Hill

    Justin Rose 5-1
    Henrik Stenson 10-1
    Branden Grace 15-1
    Patrick Reed 18-1
    Paul Casey 20-1
    Sergio Garcia 20-1
    Danny Willett 20-1
    Victor Dubuisson 25-1 <<<
    Shane Lowry 25-1
    Matthew Fitzpatrick 25-1 <<<
    Martin Kaymer 30-1
    Louis Osthuizen 30-1
    Ian Poulter 30-1
    Bernd Wiesberger 30-1
    Emiliano Grillo 40-1
    Jamie Donaldson 40-1
    Peter Uihlein 40-1
    Byeong-Hun An 40-1
    Kiradech Aphibarnrat 40-1 <<<
    Francesco Molinari 40-1
    Chris Wood 50-1
    Thingchai Jaidee 50-1 <<<
    Ross Fisher 50-1
    Thomas Pieters 50-1
    Hao Tong Li 60-1
    Lucas Bjerregaard 60-1 <<<
    Alexander Levy 60-1
    Jaco Van Zyl 60-1 <<<
    Soren Kjeldsen 60-1
    Andy Sullvan 60-1
    Danny Lee 60-1
    Fabrizio Zanotti 75-1
    Joost Luiten 75-1
    Tommy Fleetwood 75-1
    Stephen Gallacher 75-1
    Rafael Cabrera-Bello 75-1
    Thorbjorn Olesen 75-1 <<<
    Scott Hend 75-1
    Anthony Wall 100-1
    Marcel Siem 100-1
    Tyrrell Hatton 100-1
    Lee Slattery 100-1
    Eddie Pepperell 100-1
    Julien Quesne 125-1
    David Howell 125-1
    Gregory Bourdy 125-1
    Maximilian Kieffer 125-1 <<<
    Rickard Karlberg 125-1 <<<
    Kristoffer Broberg 125-1
    FIELD 13-2

    <<< "looks" but NO bets yet. I do OK on match plays BUT can NOT seem to pick a tourney winner since Jason Day's run

    Reply
    BMW Masters "to win" futures @ William-Hill

    Justin Rose 5-1
    Henrik Stenson 10-1
    Branden Grace 15-1
    Patrick Reed 18-1
    Paul Casey 20-1
    Sergio Garcia 20-1
    Danny Willett 20-1
    Victor Dubuisson 25-1 <<<
    Shane Lowry 25-1
    Matthew Fitzpatrick 25-1 <<<
    Martin Kaymer 30-1
    Louis Osthuizen 30-1
    Ian Poulter 30-1
    Bernd Wiesberger 30-1
    Emiliano Grillo 40-1
    Jamie Donaldson 40-1
    Peter Uihlein 40-1
    Byeong-Hun An 40-1
    Kiradech Aphibarnrat 40-1 <<<
    Francesco Molinari 40-1
    Chris Wood 50-1
    Thingchai Jaidee 50-1 <<<
    Ross Fisher 50-1
    Thomas Pieters 50-1
    Hao Tong Li 60-1
    Lucas Bjerregaard 60-1 <<<
    Alexander Levy 60-1
    Jaco Van Zyl 60-1 <<<
    Soren Kjeldsen 60-1
    Andy Sullvan 60-1
    Danny Lee 60-1
    Fabrizio Zanotti 75-1
    Joost Luiten 75-1
    Tommy Fleetwood 75-1
    Stephen Gallacher 75-1
    Rafael Cabrera-Bello 75-1
    Thorbjorn Olesen 75-1 <<<
    Scott Hend 75-1
    Anthony Wall 100-1
    Marcel Siem 100-1
    Tyrrell Hatton 100-1
    Lee Slattery 100-1
    Eddie Pepperell 100-1
    Julien Quesne 125-1
    David Howell 125-1
    Gregory Bourdy 125-1
    Maximilian Kieffer 125-1 <<<
    Rickard Karlberg 125-1 <<<
    Kristoffer Broberg 125-1
    FIELD 13-2

    <<< "looks" but NO bets yet. I do OK on match plays BUT can NOT seem to pick a tourney winner since Jason Day's run

     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2015 - 9:14 PM ET #4

    btw, I thought the BMW Masters another course in Shanghai, China?

    BMW Masters tourney match play @ William-Hill

    Justin Rose -150 vs Henrik Stenson +130
    Branden Grace -125 vs Paul Casey +105
    Patrick Reed -120 vs Sergio Garcia even
    Danny Willett -125 vs Victor Dubuisson +105
    Shane Lowry -105 vs Matthew Fitzpatrick -115
    Martin Kaymer even vs Louis Oosthuizen -120
    Ian Poulter -110 vs Bernd Wiesberger -110
    Emiliamo Grillo -130 vs Francesco Molinari +110
    Jamie Donaldson -110 vs Peter Uihlein -110
    Byeong-Hun An vs Kiradech Aphibarnrat -115

    leaning Rose, Grace, Reed, "Dubby", Fitz and "Barn Rat"

    need to check Westgate Superbook before any "to win" bets. LOT of times they are higher than Billy-Hill

    Reply
    btw, I thought the BMW Masters another course in Shanghai, China?

    BMW Masters tourney match play @ William-Hill

    Justin Rose -150 vs Henrik Stenson +130
    Branden Grace -125 vs Paul Casey +105
    Patrick Reed -120 vs Sergio Garcia even
    Danny Willett -125 vs Victor Dubuisson +105
    Shane Lowry -105 vs Matthew Fitzpatrick -115
    Martin Kaymer even vs Louis Oosthuizen -120
    Ian Poulter -110 vs Bernd Wiesberger -110
    Emiliamo Grillo -130 vs Francesco Molinari +110
    Jamie Donaldson -110 vs Peter Uihlein -110
    Byeong-Hun An vs Kiradech Aphibarnrat -115

    leaning Rose, Grace, Reed, "Dubby", Fitz and "Barn Rat"

    need to check Westgate Superbook before any "to win" bets. LOT of times they are higher than Billy-Hill

     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 12:31 AM ET #5

    "to win" futures bets
    Victor Dubuisson 25-1 (10/260)
    Matthew Fitzpatrick 25-1 (10/260)
    Kiradech Aphibarnrat 40-1(10/410)
    Thongchai Jaidee 50-1 (5/255)
    Hao Tong Li 60-1 (5/305)
    Lucas Bjerregaard 60-1 (5/305)
    Jaco Van Zyl 60-1 (5/305)
    Thorbjorn Olesen 80-1 (5/405)
    Maximilian Kieffer 125-1 (5/630)
    Rickard Karlberg 125-1 (5/630)

    tourney match play bets
    Patrick Reed even over Sergio Garcia (30/60)
    Victor Dubuisson +125 over Danny Willett (20/45)
    Matthew Fitzpatrick +105 over Shane Lowry (30/63)
    Kiradech Aphibarnrat -115 over Byeong-Hun An (23/43)

    looks like NO round by round match play @ William-Hill


    Reply
    "to win" futures bets
    Victor Dubuisson 25-1 (10/260)
    Matthew Fitzpatrick 25-1 (10/260)
    Kiradech Aphibarnrat 40-1(10/410)
    Thongchai Jaidee 50-1 (5/255)
    Hao Tong Li 60-1 (5/305)
    Lucas Bjerregaard 60-1 (5/305)
    Jaco Van Zyl 60-1 (5/305)
    Thorbjorn Olesen 80-1 (5/405)
    Maximilian Kieffer 125-1 (5/630)
    Rickard Karlberg 125-1 (5/630)

    tourney match play bets
    Patrick Reed even over Sergio Garcia (30/60)
    Victor Dubuisson +125 over Danny Willett (20/45)
    Matthew Fitzpatrick +105 over Shane Lowry (30/63)
    Kiradech Aphibarnrat -115 over Byeong-Hun An (23/43)

    looks like NO round by round match play @ William-Hill


     
    billyh
    billyh
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 503
    Posted: Nov. 13, 2015 - 10:26 AM ET #6

    hope you won some $ on virginia tech.
    Reply
    hope you won some $ on virginia tech.
     
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Nov. 15, 2015 - 12:45 PM ET #7

    well THAT sucked AGAIN. Thongchai Jaidee and Lucas Bjerregaard tied for the 3rd round lead and end up ONE SHOT back tied for 3rd with two others. had the same bullshite with Kevin Kisner @ HSBC Champions and "A Fat Barn Rat" @ Turkish Airline Open

    at least went 3-1 in match plays which gets some money back BUT I think I have to stay away for "to win" future bets in the future. just TOO hard to predict. the winner Kristoffer Broberg (who?) was 150-1 pre-tourney @ the Westgate
    Reply
    well THAT sucked AGAIN. Thongchai Jaidee and Lucas Bjerregaard tied for the 3rd round lead and end up ONE SHOT back tied for 3rd with two others. had the same bullshite with Kevin Kisner @ HSBC Champions and "A Fat Barn Rat" @ Turkish Airline Open

    at least went 3-1 in match plays which gets some money back BUT I think I have to stay away for "to win" future bets in the future. just TOO hard to predict. the winner Kristoffer Broberg (who?) was 150-1 pre-tourney @ the Westgate
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