Accventures Valspar pick thread

Down a few $’s for the week so far due to 1st round leader losses not quite being covered by a decent match up day to the positive side.  All good so far and a few “to win” plays that are in the hunt.

2nd round (all to win $150)

Burns under 69.5 (-115)

Harman under 70.5 (-110)

Xander under 68.5 (+115)

Todd (-110) over Schenk

Taylor Moore (-110) over Glover

Berger (even) over Webb Simpson

Suh 2nd round leader (80-1 for $15)

Chandler Phillips 2nd round leader (45-1 for $20)

Yuan 2nd round leader (35-1 for $25)

Badds 2nd round leader (30-1 for $30)

Hoey 2nd round leader (35-1 for $25)

Buckley 2nd round leader (75-1 for $14)

Power 2nd round leader (55-1 for $18)

Ryder 2nd round leader (80-1 for $12)

Harman killing me today.  Dude is either world class or very middle of the road with no in between.

Power, Badds, Todd all with a shot for 2nd round lead.  Come on one of you!

goddamn........can any of these guys get this shit done?

Frustrating afternoon.  Multiple guys on the leaderboard, PGA scoring not working, golf channel showing every feel good story and their every shot, circle goat fuck.

Cink 2nd round leader (1.25-1 for $100)

Adding:

Nick Taylor to win (200-1 for $8)

Yuan to win (150-1 for $8)

Detry to win (150-1 for $9)

looks like about $1,025 divided five ways or $1,865 divided six ways if Huey can birdie one of these last two holes in the snakebite when they resume at 9:00.

1-5 day on match-ups.  sucks but bouncing back today.  will update rolling total as soon as the 2nd round is resolved.

I think there is an opportunity to have a big hit for the 3rd round leader because there are a ton of guys who are within 4-5 shots of the lead and their odds to be the 3rd round leader are very attractive.  May blanket take everyone over 50-1 to be the 3rd round leader because you can throw $10-20 on each of them and have some nice plays, especially as guys get to 80-100-1+.

3rd round leader:  

Getting these early as these guys are close enough and the odds are attractive:

Reavie 3rd round leader (200-1 for $9)

Bramlett 3rd round leader (125-1 for $11)

KH Lee 3rd round leader (40-1 for $25)

Detry 3rd round leader (225-1 for $9)

Cole 3rd round leader (150-1 for $11)

Wu 3rd round leader (100-1 for $12)

Ben Grifin 3rd round leader (100-1 or $12)

Yuan 3rd round leader (125-1 for $14)

Xiong 3rd round leader (350-1 for $5)

McNealy 3rd round leader (150-1 for $11)

Springer 3rd round leader (450-1 for $6)

Sigg 3rd round leader (500-1 for $5)

$27 worth of plays and big long shots but fuck.....it's $27.

Yuan to win (175-1 for $15)

Nick Taylor to win (225-1 for $6)

Taylor Moore to win (400-1 for $3)

69-48-11 updated match-up record

3rd round match-ups (all to win $150):

Todd (-135) over Hughes 

Yuan (-115) over Champ

Taylor Morre (-110) over Dahmen

KH Lee (-115) over Bramlett 

Xander under 68.5 

Mitchell (-130) over Glover

Todd to win and Pavon to win ($9 to win $1,476)

I enjoy all your posts.  I should have had the 3rd round leader, a lot of guys choking, I hate splitting first.

FanDuel doesn’t have 3rd round leader up, but I like:

Glover, K Lee and Cink.

Good luck today.

71-52-11 overall YTD match up record.  Good record YTD but shit week on picks so far.  Jammed up leader board and a lot of opportunity.  I don't think Mitchell wins this thing but who does is anyone's guess. Tallying up what the week's damage is so far so I have an idea of where things stand going into round 4..  

If I count all "to win" bets as losses, I think I' down around $1,460 for the week.  

Yuan, Todd, KH Lee all in play heading into Sunday.  Will be adding some more here shortly.

4th round match-ups (all to win $150):

Cole (even) over Bezuidenhut

KH Lee (-125) over Streelman

Taylor Moore (-115) over Hisatsune

Mitchell (-110) over Power

Todd over 3.5 birdies (even)

Wu (+115) over Sigg

Todd (-125) over Svennson

Adding to win:

More KH Lee to win (80-1 for $12)

Lee Hodges to win (80-1 for $27)

Bramlett to win (125-1 for $25)

Ryan Moore to win (100-1 for $19)

More Yuan to win (125-1 for $8)

Glover to win (125-1 for $33)

Ben Grifin to win (150-1 for $16)

Matt Wallace to win (200-1 for $13)

Xander to win (200-1 for $9)

Champ to win (50-1 for $33)