Posted:
#126
Line now down to 9.5 !!! Looking some action on the saints at -9.5.
New Orleans at Seattle (01/08/2011)
Good Luck ALL
Posted:
#131
A list to consider:
Right is the EDGE:
Travel: Seahawks
Quarterback: Saints
Offense: ?
Home: Seattle
Coaching: ? (Carrol might know how to defend Bush)
Kicker: ?
Defense:?
Who wants the game more? This is difficult to explain since both teams want it, but I think Edge goes to Seattle because they are considered the Rodney Dangerfield of playoffs.
Speed?
Defensive line?
Momentum: Seattle
Vegas: Saints
Injuries: Edge to Seattle
Experience under pressure: Saints
Rest:?
Strength of schedule: Saints
Backup quarterback?
Special teams: Saints (Bush)
These are some points to consider...maybe you can fill in the blanks or add some categories that we could use for future games.
And maybe we could use this info' to help us beat the odds.
The Saints aren't the same as last year. Anything is possible with Brees. How long will Hasselback last? Shockey will see more action because of another Saints' injury.
The weird factor: Seattle wins on goofy inexplicable plays like the blocked punt in Arkansas Bowl game that player decided not to run back for touchdown.
Right is the EDGE:
Travel: Seahawks
Quarterback: Saints
Offense: ?
Home: Seattle
Coaching: ? (Carrol might know how to defend Bush)
Kicker: ?
Defense:?
Who wants the game more? This is difficult to explain since both teams want it, but I think Edge goes to Seattle because they are considered the Rodney Dangerfield of playoffs.
Speed?
Defensive line?
Momentum: Seattle
Vegas: Saints
Injuries: Edge to Seattle
Experience under pressure: Saints
Rest:?
Strength of schedule: Saints
Backup quarterback?
Special teams: Saints (Bush)
These are some points to consider...maybe you can fill in the blanks or add some categories that we could use for future games.
And maybe we could use this info' to help us beat the odds.
The Saints aren't the same as last year. Anything is possible with Brees. How long will Hasselback last? Shockey will see more action because of another Saints' injury.
The weird factor: Seattle wins on goofy inexplicable plays like the blocked punt in Arkansas Bowl game that player decided not to run back for touchdown.
Posted:
#132
Quote Originally Posted by payitforward:
FRIGGINWAY you might want to look into some therapy, as you get "way" to excited about arguing and nobody is arguing back--and this is coming from no, not a doctor, a lawyer. Nobody cares what you are writing because you are talking all kinds of nonsense. However, we DO CARE about what VUE, DAWGS, etc. are writing becuase they do great work and it is much appreciated by many, many, people that don't post a lot. Unless, you have a serious man-crush chill out bro. I hope you win. I hope everyone wins. Sometimes we all
FRIGGINWAY you might want to look into some therapy, as you get "way" to excited about arguing and nobody is arguing back--and this is coming from no, not a doctor, a lawyer. Nobody cares what you are writing because you are talking all kinds of nonsense. However, we DO CARE about what VUE, DAWGS, etc. are writing becuase they do great work and it is much appreciated by many, many, people that don't post a lot. Unless, you have a serious man-crush chill out bro. I hope you win. I hope everyone wins. Sometimes we all
Haha I was just thinking the same thing? Never can understand the psychology of someone who feels the need to just post about how bad people are? Its so odd. Probably a result of an insecurity in my humble opinion.
I mean if you think someone is wrong. Pick the other way. We all have been 100% Certain on a game and were completely wrong. So since that is the case.. why belittle people on a pick?
And if you think someone is not a good capper.. why not just FADE them and thir picks and make money instead of wasting your time posting and saying they are stupid? haha. People are tards.
Posted:
#135
Anyone curious as to how this line EVER dropped below the key spot of 10?
When vegas drops this to 9.5 there is A REASON.
Is it they are trying to drive money to the Saints side? Doubt that.. I assume there is plenty on that side.. so that can't be their logic.. so what is it? Why do they now give what looks like a gift at -9.5?
Theories?
When vegas drops this to 9.5 there is A REASON.
Is it they are trying to drive money to the Saints side? Doubt that.. I assume there is plenty on that side.. so that can't be their logic.. so what is it? Why do they now give what looks like a gift at -9.5?
Theories?
Posted:
#136
Quote Originally Posted by PHILLYPHILMS:
Anyone curious as to how this line EVER dropped below the key spot of 10?
When vegas drops this to 9.5 there is A REASON.
Is it they are trying to drive money to the Saints side? Doubt that.. I assume there is plenty on that side.. so that can't be their logic.. so what is it? Why do they now give what looks like a gift at -9.5?
Theories?
Anyone curious as to how this line EVER dropped below the key spot of 10?
When vegas drops this to 9.5 there is A REASON.
Is it they are trying to drive money to the Saints side? Doubt that.. I assume there is plenty on that side.. so that can't be their logic.. so what is it? Why do they now give what looks like a gift at -9.5?
Theories?
maybe hasselbeck....
I got a 4-team tease going as well..... small play just for fun.... it's the playoffs.....
Saints +3
Jets +13
Jets/Colts Over 31.5
Packers +15.5
GL TO ALL!
Posted:
#137
Quote Originally Posted by PHILLYPHILMS:
Anyone curious as to how this line EVER dropped below the key spot of 10?
When vegas drops this to 9.5 there is A REASON.
Is it they are trying to drive money to the Saints side? Doubt that.. I assume there is plenty on that side.. so that can't be their logic.. so what is it? Why do they now give what looks like a gift at -9.5?
Theories?
Anyone curious as to how this line EVER dropped below the key spot of 10?
When vegas drops this to 9.5 there is A REASON.
Is it they are trying to drive money to the Saints side? Doubt that.. I assume there is plenty on that side.. so that can't be their logic.. so what is it? Why do they now give what looks like a gift at -9.5?
Theories?
REVERSE PSYCHOLOGY MAYBE? SOMETIME THINK WHEN VEGAS KNOWS THERE IS NO CHANCE THEY SIMPLY GO THE OTHER WAY TO THROW PEOPLE OFF??? but who knows maybe it means Seattle is going to cover and Vegas is tryng to sucker in some more saints money ?
SAINTS -10
Posted:
#144
Saints will win this handily
Seahawks do not have an offense to compete with Saints
Hawks need to score way more than that Rams game to compete in this game.
Saints defense will show up and put a hurting on Asslefuk, he will throw a pick or two for a score.
Breese will throw precise and manage the Seahawks right out of this game.
35-10 Saints
Posted:
#145
Books want you to think Hawks have a chance cuz they know they lost this one with a Superbowl team from last year who lost the division with a good record playing a team that won a sappy division and backed into the playoffs with a collegeball coach.
This is the NFL which stands for Not For Long if your name is Pete Carroll
Posted:
#146
NO @ SEA +10 O/U 45.5
No longer listening to the noise.(weather, injuries, QBs)
Assumption is now the line is efficient and will try apply quant type analysis to sports betting.
New year with new method based on past line history. Just trying to see if the public is tilted.
This season:
Away teams faved by more than 9 occurred only 3 times
Home team covered 2, Away tm covered 1
Last season 09-10:
Away tms faved by more than 9 occurred 27 times
Hm tm covered 17, Awy tm covered 10
Overall that's 63% Hm tm covers when more than 9 pt dog counting this yr and last.
Taking SEA +10
Secret is how much to wager without reaching gamblers ruin.
For that you need the volatility, and I'm keeping it to myself.
No longer listening to the noise.(weather, injuries, QBs)
Assumption is now the line is efficient and will try apply quant type analysis to sports betting.
New year with new method based on past line history. Just trying to see if the public is tilted.
This season:
Away teams faved by more than 9 occurred only 3 times
Home team covered 2, Away tm covered 1
Last season 09-10:
Away tms faved by more than 9 occurred 27 times
Hm tm covered 17, Awy tm covered 10
Overall that's 63% Hm tm covers when more than 9 pt dog counting this yr and last.
Taking SEA +10
Secret is how much to wager without reaching gamblers ruin.
For that you need the volatility, and I'm keeping it to myself.
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