Ok theres Steelers r my squad and I'm telling u right now if you don't buy a pt or wait and have it drop don't cry when you loose your money by a .5....Many many times i could care about the .5 but on this particular game I made it a point to make sure i got em at -2.5. Im also liking the under due to both meeting this yr not even coming close to it and the weather this Saturday in Pitt will be 10 times worse then it was in eather of there first 2 games. Either way good luck to all
Ok theres Steelers r my squad and I'm telling u right now if you don't buy a pt or wait and have it drop don't cry when you loose your money by a .5....Many many times i could care about the .5 but on this particular game I made it a point to make sure i got em at -2.5. Im also liking the under due to both meeting this yr not even coming close to it and the weather this Saturday in Pitt will be 10 times worse then it was in eather of there first 2 games. Either way good luck to all
PIT -3.5 (.5units): another close game, i'll feel better if the hook was gone, but since Flacco has never beaten Big Ben, i'll gamble on a 6-point margin and Palamalu's super-Flacco sacks. SCORE: Ravens 21-Steelers 28
OVER 37 (1units)
Ewillie, I respect your capping as I have read your stuff many a time although I rarely post. Everything in this game points to the under, and I am assuming that most of the public would be on the under (at least folks with some "assumed" knowledge of football) Most of the total plays here on this thread are on the under as well.
And my first thought as I watched the Baltimore game last week, was indeed, the under in the Balt/pitt game. I am still planning on taking it, I am wondering though why you think that it will go over, and why by so much. If you could elaborate it would be appreciated.
Quote Originally Posted by ewillie169:
PIT -3.5 (.5units): another close game, i'll feel better if the hook was gone, but since Flacco has never beaten Big Ben, i'll gamble on a 6-point margin and Palamalu's super-Flacco sacks. SCORE: Ravens 21-Steelers 28
OVER 37 (1units)
Ewillie, I respect your capping as I have read your stuff many a time although I rarely post. Everything in this game points to the under, and I am assuming that most of the public would be on the under (at least folks with some "assumed" knowledge of football) Most of the total plays here on this thread are on the under as well.
And my first thought as I watched the Baltimore game last week, was indeed, the under in the Balt/pitt game. I am still planning on taking it, I am wondering though why you think that it will go over, and why by so much. If you could elaborate it would be appreciated.
after looking at the numbers, here are some interesting facts.
baltimore 5-1 in their last 6 games. (only loss coming to pit in a game that if troy palomalu doesnt swat and cause a fumble in the tail end of the 4th qtr, BAL wins.
baltimore is averaging 25.4 ppg in their last 5 and the offense seems to finally have found their identity and are beginning to roll.
baltimore has 4 losses the entire season and they were...
WK 2 @ CIN by 5
WK 6 @ NE in OT by 3
WK 9 @ ATL by 5
WK 13 vs PIT by 3
that means on average when baltimore does lose it is by an average of about 4 points.
one good trend for baltimore, is that they will always keep it close. so if they are getting points in what i believe will be a close match up that they could win straight up, it is almost a no brainer for me. they just don't lose big, plain and simple.
typically, in a defensive battle like this i would find it a prime spot to play the under. but with baltimores offense finally rolling along with the fact that PIT is averaging 23.4 ppg on the season and 27 ppg in their last 4 games, i feel like the offenses will for once overshadow the defenses in this rivalry. not saying this will be a shoot out. but i do believe it will exceed the total of 37.
BAL 27 PIT 24
BAL +3.5 OVER 37
BoL
after looking at the numbers, here are some interesting facts.
baltimore 5-1 in their last 6 games. (only loss coming to pit in a game that if troy palomalu doesnt swat and cause a fumble in the tail end of the 4th qtr, BAL wins.
baltimore is averaging 25.4 ppg in their last 5 and the offense seems to finally have found their identity and are beginning to roll.
baltimore has 4 losses the entire season and they were...
WK 2 @ CIN by 5
WK 6 @ NE in OT by 3
WK 9 @ ATL by 5
WK 13 vs PIT by 3
that means on average when baltimore does lose it is by an average of about 4 points.
one good trend for baltimore, is that they will always keep it close. so if they are getting points in what i believe will be a close match up that they could win straight up, it is almost a no brainer for me. they just don't lose big, plain and simple.
typically, in a defensive battle like this i would find it a prime spot to play the under. but with baltimores offense finally rolling along with the fact that PIT is averaging 23.4 ppg on the season and 27 ppg in their last 4 games, i feel like the offenses will for once overshadow the defenses in this rivalry. not saying this will be a shoot out. but i do believe it will exceed the total of 37.
lets not forget the weather: cloudy,70 percent chance light snow...winds 8-13 mph temperature 31......this could very well be a game of 3pt kicks and as dr.dogs pointed out a lot of their games have been decided by 3 pts.(pitt winning more than balt.)this beening said, (i know it is not much of middle at all) but i will buy up and down pitt-2.5 and balt +3.5....of course pitt has to win by 3pts to win my, ahem, middle......i will bet dime both sides...if it hits i win 2 dimes, if it loses i lose 200....done good on middles this year(college and pro)thats the only reason i am taking gamble on such a ridiculous bet.....if it hits i am a genius, if not then an idiot(lol) anyways gl all
lets not forget the weather: cloudy,70 percent chance light snow...winds 8-13 mph temperature 31......this could very well be a game of 3pt kicks and as dr.dogs pointed out a lot of their games have been decided by 3 pts.(pitt winning more than balt.)this beening said, (i know it is not much of middle at all) but i will buy up and down pitt-2.5 and balt +3.5....of course pitt has to win by 3pts to win my, ahem, middle......i will bet dime both sides...if it hits i win 2 dimes, if it loses i lose 200....done good on middles this year(college and pro)thats the only reason i am taking gamble on such a ridiculous bet.....if it hits i am a genius, if not then an idiot(lol) anyways gl all
Everybody says defense - I say offense. Big Ben is 8-2 against Baltimore and winner of 6 straight against this Balt squad and in his final two games of this season he has thrown over 600 through the air. Don't buy into the close game scenario, this will be a larger gap than the books think and it will be slightly higher than most think, It is Pitt in the playoffs as usual. With that said Pitt 27-13!!!!!!!!!!!!
Good Luck my freinds
Well guys here it is:
Everybody says defense - I say offense. Big Ben is 8-2 against Baltimore and winner of 6 straight against this Balt squad and in his final two games of this season he has thrown over 600 through the air. Don't buy into the close game scenario, this will be a larger gap than the books think and it will be slightly higher than most think, It is Pitt in the playoffs as usual. With that said Pitt 27-13!!!!!!!!!!!!
Ewillie, I respect your capping as I have read your stuff many a time although I rarely post. Everything in this game points to the under, and I am assuming that most of the public would be on the under (at least folks with some "assumed" knowledge of football) Most of the total plays here on this thread are on the under as well.
And my first thought as I watched the Baltimore game last week, was indeed, the under in the Balt/pitt game. I am still planning on taking it, I am wondering though why you think that it will go over, and why by so much. If you could elaborate it would be appreciated.
I
know everyone is saying it will be a "defensive battle" but with the key number at 37, I'm going against the tide... The Ravens' D is not what it used to be in previous years, Ray Lewis is a step slower, i'm betting the Steelers will get at least 28 points. The Ravens are my concern, their O-line is banged up and may not give Flacco good pass protections, but getting at least 10 points is my prediction... GL with your play.
Quote Originally Posted by Wattleman:
Ewillie, I respect your capping as I have read your stuff many a time although I rarely post. Everything in this game points to the under, and I am assuming that most of the public would be on the under (at least folks with some "assumed" knowledge of football) Most of the total plays here on this thread are on the under as well.
And my first thought as I watched the Baltimore game last week, was indeed, the under in the Balt/pitt game. I am still planning on taking it, I am wondering though why you think that it will go over, and why by so much. If you could elaborate it would be appreciated.
I
know everyone is saying it will be a "defensive battle" but with the key number at 37, I'm going against the tide... The Ravens' D is not what it used to be in previous years, Ray Lewis is a step slower, i'm betting the Steelers will get at least 28 points. The Ravens are my concern, their O-line is banged up and may not give Flacco good pass protections, but getting at least 10 points is my prediction... GL with your play.
These teams have play each other a lot. This is as even of a match-up as you're going to get in the play-offs. 23 points scored last time these two met. 15 mph winds, frigid wind chill, & an inch of snow will fall during this game.
UNDER
These teams have play each other a lot. This is as even of a match-up as you're going to get in the play-offs. 23 points scored last time these two met. 15 mph winds, frigid wind chill, & an inch of snow will fall during this game.
This is a tough one to cap but the Under looks very attractive. I don't see either team hitting 20 in this match up.
There are some very good looking props for this game, though. Over 11.5 accepted penalties for both team combined is going off at even money right now and I think in this physical battle we'll see some personal fouls as the refs try to keep control of the game to go along with the usual penalty calls. I'll probably put a unit on this just for fun.
This is a tough one to cap but the Under looks very attractive. I don't see either team hitting 20 in this match up.
There are some very good looking props for this game, though. Over 11.5 accepted penalties for both team combined is going off at even money right now and I think in this physical battle we'll see some personal fouls as the refs try to keep control of the game to go along with the usual penalty calls. I'll probably put a unit on this just for fun.
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