Portland's penchant for playing close games is horrible when they give points. However, when they are getting points this is a wonderful thing. I will use their habitual form to my advantage in this game taking the Blazers plus the points and I will also add on my customary 3 points (they are playing Detroit now).
Detroit has gone 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games, winning 3 ats, and losing 2 ats to the Lakers and the Heat of all teams. The Heat played the Pistons close after the Pistons demolished Dallas. A classic case of a let down after a big game. Yes even Detroit is vulnerable at times.
Conversely Portland is 3-2 straight up over their last 5 games wit contests being decided by an average of 2.5 points. Their recent form reveals taht they have alternated wins and losses. The pressure of being the favorite at home during their homestand did not work out too well.
Now they strike out on the road for 4 games with Detroit being their first stop, followed by Indiana, Houston and Dallas.
With the Pistons underacheiving against Miami, I for some reason don't buy the fact that it was a fluke. Detroit is cooling off somewhat, due wholly to the ridiculous size of the spreads they have to cover. Portland is not the kind of team that will be blown off. They are pesky kids with great coaching, and a number of guys that can create their own shots, which by the way gives teams like Detroit fits.
The media types have already moved the Blazers out of the playoff picture without warrant or necessity. They are still clearly a good, but not yet great team. Any time this team is catching more than 2.5 points it is a good value. I am almost certain with Detroit being the team that they are and the team that the linesmakers have made them to be, that the spread for this game will be much more than 2.5. So as I indicated, there is value in taking Portland in this matchup.
Portland+whatever+3 points
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Portland's penchant for playing close games is horrible when they give points. However, when they are getting points this is a wonderful thing. I will use their habitual form to my advantage in this game taking the Blazers plus the points and I will also add on my customary 3 points (they are playing Detroit now).
Detroit has gone 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games, winning 3 ats, and losing 2 ats to the Lakers and the Heat of all teams. The Heat played the Pistons close after the Pistons demolished Dallas. A classic case of a let down after a big game. Yes even Detroit is vulnerable at times.
Conversely Portland is 3-2 straight up over their last 5 games wit contests being decided by an average of 2.5 points. Their recent form reveals taht they have alternated wins and losses. The pressure of being the favorite at home during their homestand did not work out too well.
Now they strike out on the road for 4 games with Detroit being their first stop, followed by Indiana, Houston and Dallas.
With the Pistons underacheiving against Miami, I for some reason don't buy the fact that it was a fluke. Detroit is cooling off somewhat, due wholly to the ridiculous size of the spreads they have to cover. Portland is not the kind of team that will be blown off. They are pesky kids with great coaching, and a number of guys that can create their own shots, which by the way gives teams like Detroit fits.
The media types have already moved the Blazers out of the playoff picture without warrant or necessity. They are still clearly a good, but not yet great team. Any time this team is catching more than 2.5 points it is a good value. I am almost certain with Detroit being the team that they are and the team that the linesmakers have made them to be, that the spread for this game will be much more than 2.5. So as I indicated, there is value in taking Portland in this matchup.
looking up Portland's past games on the road, five of the last six times they actually didn't cover on the road, they would have won for anyone who bought three points. As a matter of fact, if you were just taking portland on the road and buying three over the last 13 road games, they only lost you one play that being against the Hornets. So I like POR +?+3 for game, but I also like POR 1st half. They come out firing on the road and if they don't have the lead, they're really close. It's the second half where they win or lose spreads, but they are consistently close in the first half so I'm taking two plays on this game.
POR +?+3 for game POR 1st half
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looking up Portland's past games on the road, five of the last six times they actually didn't cover on the road, they would have won for anyone who bought three points. As a matter of fact, if you were just taking portland on the road and buying three over the last 13 road games, they only lost you one play that being against the Hornets. So I like POR +?+3 for game, but I also like POR 1st half. They come out firing on the road and if they don't have the lead, they're really close. It's the second half where they win or lose spreads, but they are consistently close in the first half so I'm taking two plays on this game.
Brandon Roy did not travel with the Trail Blazers to Detroit on Thursday and coach Nate McMillan said it is doubtful that the All-Star guard will play in tomorrow's game against the Pistons.
Roy, who has not missed a game this season, is in Seattle attending to a family emergency. If he does not return tomorrow, it is unclear when Roy will rejoin the team -- although McMillan seemed optimistic Thursday night that Roy would be back for Saturday night's game against the Indianapolis Pacers
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Passing on TB........
Brandon Roy did not travel with the Trail Blazers to Detroit on Thursday and coach Nate McMillan said it is doubtful that the All-Star guard will play in tomorrow's game against the Pistons.
Roy, who has not missed a game this season, is in Seattle attending to a family emergency. If he does not return tomorrow, it is unclear when Roy will rejoin the team -- although McMillan seemed optimistic Thursday night that Roy would be back for Saturday night's game against the Indianapolis Pacers
I always take teams when the stars are out. Linemakers want bettors to jump to the other side when the stars are out. But not me. Readers of the threads have long watched me make countless wagers whent he stars are out and cash in.
Martell Webster will start and chip in more than his usual 10.4, and backup Travis Outlaw averages 13.0. Sounds insignificant? Brandon Roy averages 19.7 points. The two aforementioned players combined average is 23.4, and it will go up as the backups go nutty with the extra time. Other guards include Jarrett Jack and Steve Blake. Jack has averaged 17 points over the last two games and has 15 assists. Blake has scored in double figures his last 3 games, and dished out 9 assists against Denver his former team.
Portland is a very deep team, and Roy's abscence will not cause them to fold. All that it will do is make the line much more sweeter.
Amateurs and novices will be afraid to take the Blazers because of Roy not being available. Wise guys and professionals know that his production will be replaced by his teammates and that the value is beyond great as the public's perception will generate more bets for Detroit, causing a lot of arguments in homes across America when after the game people are dumdfounded saying "I can't believe Detroit couldn't beat the number with their best player out."
With all of the guys jumping off ship, I reiterate and strengthen my position of
Portland+14 with a 3 point buy
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I always take teams when the stars are out. Linemakers want bettors to jump to the other side when the stars are out. But not me. Readers of the threads have long watched me make countless wagers whent he stars are out and cash in.
Martell Webster will start and chip in more than his usual 10.4, and backup Travis Outlaw averages 13.0. Sounds insignificant? Brandon Roy averages 19.7 points. The two aforementioned players combined average is 23.4, and it will go up as the backups go nutty with the extra time. Other guards include Jarrett Jack and Steve Blake. Jack has averaged 17 points over the last two games and has 15 assists. Blake has scored in double figures his last 3 games, and dished out 9 assists against Denver his former team.
Portland is a very deep team, and Roy's abscence will not cause them to fold. All that it will do is make the line much more sweeter.
Amateurs and novices will be afraid to take the Blazers because of Roy not being available. Wise guys and professionals know that his production will be replaced by his teammates and that the value is beyond great as the public's perception will generate more bets for Detroit, causing a lot of arguments in homes across America when after the game people are dumdfounded saying "I can't believe Detroit couldn't beat the number with their best player out."
With all of the guys jumping off ship, I reiterate and strengthen my position of
3pt buys are great when they come in for you. But lose just "one" of them, is like winning 4 of them.
Buy 3 points brings the juice to (-180). Could be very dangerous, i know I've been there.
I love Portland here with Roy, but without him, no way. Roy gets to the basket anytime he gets the ball, and gets shots for his boyz. Martell and Travis are jump shooters at this stage in their career's.
laying off
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3pt buys are great when they come in for you. But lose just "one" of them, is like winning 4 of them.
Buy 3 points brings the juice to (-180). Could be very dangerous, i know I've been there.
I love Portland here with Roy, but without him, no way. Roy gets to the basket anytime he gets the ball, and gets shots for his boyz. Martell and Travis are jump shooters at this stage in their career's.
great points n-y-k (funny innitials) but ck has been the one guy i have seen poo poo the injury fade clause and seems to pay off...Bynum and Garnett at times recently.
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great points n-y-k (funny innitials) but ck has been the one guy i have seen poo poo the injury fade clause and seems to pay off...Bynum and Garnett at times recently.
Re injuries and CK's post - a strategy that I have found successful is to take the underdog in a situation where there are key players hurt or not playing. This applies to the team with the injuries as well. For example - if team "A" is the better team, has star players out due to injuries and are now the underdog, they are most likely a good play. If team "B" is still the underdog, they may be a good bet as they would view this as more of a winnable game.
Anyway, just my 2 cents. Also like Portland here due to these factors. Will make my wagers later.
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Re injuries and CK's post - a strategy that I have found successful is to take the underdog in a situation where there are key players hurt or not playing. This applies to the team with the injuries as well. For example - if team "A" is the better team, has star players out due to injuries and are now the underdog, they are most likely a good play. If team "B" is still the underdog, they may be a good bet as they would view this as more of a winnable game.
Anyway, just my 2 cents. Also like Portland here due to these factors. Will make my wagers later.
The Detroit Pistons have won 6 straight games SU, and I like their "revenge" spot here tonight against Portland. The Blazers beat the Pistons 102-94 earlier this season in Portland, and I think this will be on their minds, especially Rasheed Wallace. Portland is currently in a 6 game in 4 night stretch so I look for that to show in the 4th quarter, and the Pistons to pull away late. The Blazers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games, while the Pistons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. "wildcat"
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The Detroit Pistons have won 6 straight games SU, and I like their "revenge" spot here tonight against Portland. The Blazers beat the Pistons 102-94 earlier this season in Portland, and I think this will be on their minds, especially Rasheed Wallace. Portland is currently in a 6 game in 4 night stretch so I look for that to show in the 4th quarter, and the Pistons to pull away late. The Blazers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games, while the Pistons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. "wildcat"
Don't be folled by the Miami game they are always close. Portland has coverd at Detroit lately but they also have gone 0-7 ATS at home and they weren't big lines. One cardinal rule never go against Detroit at home on Friday night. If your on Portland you better get as may as possible. It is to close for me to call with there past history and Portlands shitty streaky play. GL
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Don't be folled by the Miami game they are always close. Portland has coverd at Detroit lately but they also have gone 0-7 ATS at home and they weren't big lines. One cardinal rule never go against Detroit at home on Friday night. If your on Portland you better get as may as possible. It is to close for me to call with there past history and Portlands shitty streaky play. GL
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and coach Nate McMillan said it is doubtful that the All-Star guard will play in tomorrow's game against the Pistons. 
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