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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    Sat 9/29 NJPORKY's 2H NCAA System Plays

    «First Previous 394041 ... 434445 Next Last»
    CatsofNova
    liontri
    Ducati_sj
    BigWaveDave
    NJPorky
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 169977
    Posts: 1110
    «First Previous 394041 ... 434445 Next Last»
     
    CatsofNova
    CatsofNova
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    Posts: 324
    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:19 AM ET #951

    Beavers looking liking Wisky coming out flat in the 2H
    Reply
    Beavers looking liking Wisky coming out flat in the 2H
     
    liontri
    liontri
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:19 AM ET #952

    Quote Originally Posted by NJPorky:

     

    Oregon St @ Arizona
    Full game odds were Arizona -3 and 58
    At the half, 17-7 Oregon St
    2H lines should be Arizona -13 and 34
    2H lines are Arizona -3 and 28
    Thus we have
    Oregon St +3 2H as a play

    I don't understand this system of yours. Whole game, Arizona favoured 3; how do you expect them to be favour 13 for second half? I have never seen a line like that for any sports. If you said the line should be 5 or 6, then I could understand where you're coming from. But, 13?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by NJPorky:

     

    Oregon St @ Arizona
    Full game odds were Arizona -3 and 58
    At the half, 17-7 Oregon St
    2H lines should be Arizona -13 and 34
    2H lines are Arizona -3 and 28
    Thus we have
    Oregon St +3 2H as a play

    I don't understand this system of yours. Whole game, Arizona favoured 3; how do you expect them to be favour 13 for second half? I have never seen a line like that for any sports. If you said the line should be 5 or 6, then I could understand where you're coming from. But, 13?
     
    Ducati_sj
    Ducati_sj
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:19 AM ET #953

    Porky: sorry i look at a wrong team. i look at SDSU @ Freshno St , hahah.  Btw, juice is -130 is too much.  i have juice only -105.  wanna get hook up, let me know.
    Reply
    Porky: sorry i look at a wrong team. i look at SDSU @ Freshno St , hahah.  Btw, juice is -130 is too much.  i have juice only -105.  wanna get hook up, let me know.
     
    BigWaveDave
    BigWaveDave
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:21 AM ET #954

    This always seems to happen to any system when it attracts too much attention.  You don't think the books read these forums??
    Reply
    This always seems to happen to any system when it attracts too much attention.  You don't think the books read these forums??
     
    NJPorky
    NJPorky
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:22 AM ET #955

    less than 4 minutes in TD San Diego ST...
    Reply
    less than 4 minutes in TD San Diego ST...
     
    Fevernova
    Fevernova
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:22 AM ET #956

    stop overthinking the points, vegas super simulation pc is willing to set 2h at 30+, someone there also approved it, the most likely simulated scenario is a number around that spread. It may hit it may not, just because something hit the over at ht doesnt mean the rest will be scoreless, nor does it mean it will continue, its a gamble, pick a side and enjoy the ride. no point 2nd guess porky's selection.


    Reply
    stop overthinking the points, vegas super simulation pc is willing to set 2h at 30+, someone there also approved it, the most likely simulated scenario is a number around that spread. It may hit it may not, just because something hit the over at ht doesnt mean the rest will be scoreless, nor does it mean it will continue, its a gamble, pick a side and enjoy the ride. no point 2nd guess porky's selection.


     
    ManassaMauler
    ManassaMauler
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:23 AM ET #957

    Quote Originally Posted by kake7:


    Yey Manass how's your knee ?? good to see U around!
    hey man! thanks for asking...I kept it wrapped for a couple of weeks and just walked for a couple more weeks.......so far, so good. The less knives in my body, the better.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by kake7:


    Yey Manass how's your knee ?? good to see U around!
    hey man! thanks for asking...I kept it wrapped for a couple of weeks and just walked for a couple more weeks.......so far, so good. The less knives in my body, the better.
     
    NJPorky
    NJPorky
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:23 AM ET #958

    I'm not paying -130 juice...people who are haating trying to say the juice is kilkling you with all these plays and I was just making a point even if you were paying ridiculous juice you still profit...
    Reply
    I'm not paying -130 juice...people who are haating trying to say the juice is kilkling you with all these plays and I was just making a point even if you were paying ridiculous juice you still profit...
     
    ManassaMauler
    ManassaMauler
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:23 AM ET #959

    Quote Originally Posted by NJPorky:

    less than 4 minutes in TD San Diego ST...
    Tailed you on the over, and both TT over for 1K a piece...let's hope you're right
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by NJPorky:

    less than 4 minutes in TD San Diego ST...
    Tailed you on the over, and both TT over for 1K a piece...let's hope you're right
     
    giancarlo12
    giancarlo12
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:24 AM ET #960

    @liontri. arizona is -3 to win the game. they need to score 13 pts or more in 2nd half to cover -3, so -13 2nd half is correct. 
    Reply
    @liontri. arizona is -3 to win the game. they need to score 13 pts or more in 2nd half to cover -3, so -13 2nd half is correct. 
     
    ManassaMauler
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:24 AM ET #961

    Anyone have a link to the Fresno St. game?
    Reply
    Anyone have a link to the Fresno St. game?
     
    ManassaMauler
    ManassaMauler
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:25 AM ET #962

    Reply
     
    capdatazz
    capdatazz
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:25 AM ET #963

    Making a pick based on a "system" or "simulations" is flat out retarded.  I had az big 2nd half based on the fact they're at home and been moving the ball really well.  Also when teams are up or down by a certain margin the play calling becomes more or less aggressive.  For az to lose by More then 10 points at home to an equally matched team is not very likely.  
    Reply
    Making a pick based on a "system" or "simulations" is flat out retarded.  I had az big 2nd half based on the fact they're at home and been moving the ball really well.  Also when teams are up or down by a certain margin the play calling becomes more or less aggressive.  For az to lose by More then 10 points at home to an equally matched team is not very likely.  
     
    jaime2309
    jaime2309
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:26 AM ET #964

    Lol
    All about the chase
    Reply
    Lol
     
    SYSTEM
    SYSTEM
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:26 AM ET #965

    Quote Originally Posted by BigWaveDave:

    This always seems to happen to any system when it attracts too much attention.  You don't think the books read these forums??

    You think the lines have been different than what they would have been because of this system?? 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BigWaveDave:

    This always seems to happen to any system when it attracts too much attention.  You don't think the books read these forums??

    You think the lines have been different than what they would have been because of this system?? 
     
    DJLeft_unheard
    DJLeft_unheard
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:26 AM ET #966

    Anything for Oregon wash.
    Reply
    Anything for Oregon wash.
     
    jaime2309
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:27 AM ET #967

    I doubt books change lines cause a thread has 39 pages lmao
    All about the chase
    Reply
    I doubt books change lines cause a thread has 39 pages lmao
     
    NJPorky
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:27 AM ET #968

    Oregon @ Washington St
    Full game odds were Oregon -31 and 73
    At the half, 23-19 regon
    2H lines should be Oregon -27 and 31
    2H lines areOregon -14 and 35.5
    Thus we have
    Washington St +14 2H as a play
    Reply
    Oregon @ Washington St
    Full game odds were Oregon -31 and 73
    At the half, 23-19 regon
    2H lines should be Oregon -27 and 31
    2H lines areOregon -14 and 35.5
    Thus we have
    Washington St +14 2H as a play
     
    ManassaMauler
    ManassaMauler
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:28 AM ET #969

    Reply
     
    ManassaMauler
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:28 AM ET #970

    Reply
     
    tim562
    tim562
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:29 AM ET #971

    Your system suck
    Reply
    Your system suck
     
    liontri
    liontri
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:29 AM ET #972

    Quote Originally Posted by giancarlo12:

    @liontri. arizona is -3 to win the game. they need to score 13 pts or more in 2nd half to cover -3, so -13 2nd half is correct. 
    I understand that completely, mate. But, if a team is favoured by 3, and are behind at half time, not a single book will make that team a 13 points favourite. But, what do I know, right? They might win when favoured by 3 and lost if favoured by 13?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by giancarlo12:

    @liontri. arizona is -3 to win the game. they need to score 13 pts or more in 2nd half to cover -3, so -13 2nd half is correct. 
    I understand that completely, mate. But, if a team is favoured by 3, and are behind at half time, not a single book will make that team a 13 points favourite. But, what do I know, right? They might win when favoured by 3 and lost if favoured by 13?
     
    SYSTEM
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:29 AM ET #973

    Quote Originally Posted by jaime2309:

    I doubt books change lines cause a thread has 39 pages lmao

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jaime2309:

    I doubt books change lines cause a thread has 39 pages lmao

     
    Fevernova
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:30 AM ET #974

    Thanks Porky (and others who filled in), been an interesting day, looking forward to doing this again tomorrow

    cheers!

    Reply
    Thanks Porky (and others who filled in), been an interesting day, looking forward to doing this again tomorrow

    cheers!

     
     
    TonySonnn
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2012 - 12:30 AM ET #975

    Thanks Porky! I will see you tomorrow!

    BOL to all!
    Reply
    Thanks Porky! I will see you tomorrow!

    BOL to all!
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