Robin Hoods: PLAY OF THE DAY

I posted this in the NFL section but i'll re-post it, hope it helps someone.

Thanks for the great post ldub04.

I'm sorry if it came off that I was trying to preach my handicapping approach onto everybody and that my way of handicapping is the only way to win long term. That is not the case, and not what I was trying to imply.

If you have an approach that wins for you longterm than you can live off your handicapping, no matter what that approach is (1 play per day, 6 plays per day etc.). What you do need though is patience, confidence in your plan, a strong handicapping approach (that includes flat betting all bets and never risking more than 3% of your bankroll) but more importantly TIME! TIME EQUALS MONEY!

What I mean is that advice is like assholes, everyone has one .. but they only have their own. They ony have their own assholes and they only have advice that implies to themself.

In every walk of life this is true: in comedy, music, art, handicapping etc. For example in comedy, if you're Dane Cook, a headlining stand-up comic, sure you can give someone advice to Joe Schmoe on how to become a stand-up comic to; but really Dane Cook is telling Joe Schmoe how to become like Dane Cook. There are thousands of different styles of stand-up comics and each one is individual, different, unique and that's what makes them good. You can't tell someone how to become like yourself, they need to go through their own life experiences until they become their own character or figure things all out. There may be 50 stan-up comics that are making as much money as Dane Cook is as popular as him, but really who's better when they all have a different approach to comedy.

The same thing applies to handicapping, it doesn't matter how you get that money .. just get that damn money. Whatever works for you, works for you but it it may not work for someone else.

So, i'll never tell anybody to follow my selections because really you need to wager on all of my selections and follow the guidelines that i've put in place for MYSELF. If you have a different approach that works for you then good! If my plays can help your approach then thats also good!

Everyone needs to go through the struggles, losing your bankroll from greed and lack of self-discipline if they wan't to live off of their own handicapping.

UNFORTUNATELY, lots of handicappers wan't to live off their own handicapping but never put a system of action into place. They lose their bankroll, then lose their bankroll again and so forth. Stop giving your money to the sportsbooks without thinking. Stop analyse your OWN situation. If you have 1000$ don't think in your head, "if I had 50,000$ right now I could live off of my wagers so i'll just bet a little crazy until I get to 50,000$ and then i'll start betting smart".

NO! Start betting smart with that 1000$. Put together a weekly goal, monthly goal and yearly goal (make it realistic to your own abilities). More importantly put together a ten year goal. Back to stand-up comedy, which i'm clearly a big enthusiast of, most stand-up comics suck for their first 10 years of performing .. but then they get to a comfortable place and things become easy. Look at handicapping the same way, don't look it as a way to get you out of your debt or a way to make some quick cash.

If you follow your own plan for ten years, the amount of knowledge you'll unknowingly absorb over those ten years is astonishing. By the time those ten years come, you'll have more than enough to invest in yourself and live off of your handicapping. Like I mentioned in the first post. I've been doing this 16 years now, but only professionaly for 6 years .. as I too took 10 years to figure my shit out. I had to work odd jobs and to be honest I was not a very happy person during those 10 years of learning process. Then again if you ask Dane Cook if he was happy during his first 10 years of stand-up comedy he'll tell you HELL NO!

Think longterm boys, put a plan into action or follow my plan (if it works for you).

Remember:

MAN MAKES THE MONEY, MONEY DOESN'T MAKE THE MAN!

NY Yankees win 6-1.

Robin Hoods Posting Record: 2-2 +0.08 units

Every wager is to win 2.5 units: which is equal to 2.5% of my starting bankroll.

Wednesday September 29th, 2010

I mentioned before that I divide my year into ten sections of 35 days. I also divide the 35 days into 7 sections of 5 days with a goal of 3-2 per 5 day section to keep my mind thinking in the present. So i'm finding the best bet on the board for Wednesday and will post it later tonight after i've placed it. I don't bet games with juice higher than -120.

'Taking from the rich and giving to the poor'

Robin Hood 

Robin Hoods Posting Record: 2-2 +0.08 units

Every wager is to win 2.5 units: which is equal to 2.5% of my starting bankroll.

Wednesday September 29th, 2010

Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-110)

Atlanta is currently leading in a fight for the Wild Card with San Diego, but not by much. Florida is knocked out of the playoffs and have looked terrible in the past couple weeks (scoring more than 4 runs just twice in their past ten games). Both Florida and Atlanta's offenses have been non-apparent the past ten games but Florida starts pitcher Andrew Miller who has looked awful in his six starts this season allowing 25 runs, 43 hits, 18 walks in 23.2 innings of work (never making it past the 5th inning). Derek Lowe gets the start for Atlanta who need this win. Lowe has allowed 2 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts and his numbers are better at home (he has only allowed 2 runs total in his past three starts). Florida's bullpen has been below average this year and terrible as of late while Atlanta's bullpen (in combination with their starting pitching) is why Atlanta is in postion for the Wild Card this late in the season [they've been possibly the leagues best bullpen].

Too much at stake for Atlanta to lose and with Miller pitching for Florida it doesn't bother me taking the Runline on a home team.

'Taking from the rich and giving to the poor'

Robin Hood 

Hey man, I wasn't really sure how to do it (I wish there was just one All Sports section) so i'm currently posting my play each day in the MLB, CFB and NFL section as well as in my playbook in the Covers Myspace thing. When the NBA and the NHL start it will be annoying posting my plays in all four sections but I guess that's what i'll do. It only takes me 30 seconds to post in all sections and i'm sure it makes things easier for you guys. If you've got a better idea let me know.

No I don't change my bets and all my MLB bets are listed pitchers so no worries there. Well I hope I can help scar, thanks for the nice words.

Papasarpin, when you put everything into consideration most days I spend between 6 and 9 hours researching sports, reading sports news, watching highlights, the lines and videos and at some point during that time span I pick my wager for the day. I try to always stay one day ahead as I am watching yesterdays highlights now, but when I wake up i'll start handicapping for Thursday.

To answer your second question, NO. I flat bet all of my wagers and at the end of the year I re-evaluate.

Goodluck