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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    Pricetopher's Picks (7/23/11)

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    Pricetopher
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    Pricetopher
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 11:03 AM ET #1

    Astros/Cubs (Over, 9.5) If you had the "luxury" of watching yesterday's opener between the Houston Astros and Chicago Cubs, you saw close to 1,846,902 runners left stranded on base. Ok, so maybe I rounded up a little. Anyway, the next time there are no outs, bases loaded and Hunter Pence draws a 0-3 count after 3 straight walks were issued and he swings at the next pitch is the last time I will ever consider watching him or any team he plays on again! You're not Pujols,ya' dick... you don't get the green light! Ok, now that I'm calm I'll say that both pitchers today, Astros starter Wandy Rodriguez (6-6, 3.67 ERA) and Cubs starter Randy Wells (1-3, 6.71 ERA) both have ERA's well over 7.00 in their last 3 starts a piece, each being in losing fashion. Pair that with the wind blowing out in Wrigley today and the fact that these two clubs just love running totals up on one another and you've got yourself a winner.

    Philadelphia Phillies
     (-140) Although there's a bit of juice to give up, I'm surprised the Philadelphia Phillies aren't already at -160 or greater, given the recent struggles with the San Diego Padres' offense together with the fact the the ML-leading Phillies (62-36) have a home an amazing home record of 35-15 on the season. With both starters pitching rather well of late, Padres starter Mat Latos (5-10, 4.02 ERA) and Kyle Kendrick (5-4, 3.34 ERA) both with ERA's in the 3's throughout their last three starts, I can see the under being a good play again in this series, as well - making all 6 games between these two clubs all under 6 runs.

    Atlanta Braves (+110) I didn't understand it yesterday and I don't get it again today - the Cincinnati Reds, a team who can't seem to find the .500 mark in a sub-par division (at best), are once again favored over the Atlanta Braves. Regardless of either mediocre starter in today's game, I think the big news is the fact that both Dan Uggla and Jordan Schafer are expected to make their return to the line-up today while Reds star Scott Rolen was just placed on the 15-day DL and Jay Bruce may not return today after suffering "dizzy spells" before the game yesterday. Atlanta has won their last 3 games against Cincy - look for them to make it 4-straight after today's value play!

    St. Louis Cardinals (-130) St. Louis Cardinals star and 3-time NL MVP Albert Pujols is hitting .393 at PNC Park, which opened the same year as Pujols' rookie season in 2001. Pujols' 127 hits, 27 HR's and 79 RBI's are the most he has recorded at any stadium outside of St. Louis. Along with Pujols, the Cardinals are starting Jaime Garcia (9-4, 3.11 ERA) who has been dominant this season, putting up a 1.89 ERA over his last 3 starts. However, the last time Pittsburgh Pirates starter Kevin Correia (11-7, 4.04 ERA) faced the Cards, he held them to only 5 hits in 7 scoreless innings. I still like the Cardinals to finish this one strong, needing to regain valuable position in the NL Central. Oh, I think the under looks good, too - as long as the Cards don't decide to put 5 runs on the board in the 1st inning like they did yesterday!


    Rays/Royals (Under, 9) Not counting last night's game, the last time the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals faced off in a game that went over the 9-run mark was back in April... 2010! Add that to the fact that Rays starter Jeff Niemann (4-4, 3.94 ERA) has gone 2-1 with an ERA of 0.84 in over 21 innings pitched, while Royals lefty starter Jeff Francis has a 3.72 ERA over his last 3 games, giving his team an 0-3 record due to the lack of offense, and you have a beautiful recipe for the under. Also, a thought to keep in mind - out of the last 20 games (10 Rays, 10 Royals) a 9-run over has only been broken 5 times.
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    Astros/Cubs (Over, 9.5) If you had the "luxury" of watching yesterday's opener between the Houston Astros and Chicago Cubs, you saw close to 1,846,902 runners left stranded on base. Ok, so maybe I rounded up a little. Anyway, the next time there are no outs, bases loaded and Hunter Pence draws a 0-3 count after 3 straight walks were issued and he swings at the next pitch is the last time I will ever consider watching him or any team he plays on again! You're not Pujols,ya' dick... you don't get the green light! Ok, now that I'm calm I'll say that both pitchers today, Astros starter Wandy Rodriguez (6-6, 3.67 ERA) and Cubs starter Randy Wells (1-3, 6.71 ERA) both have ERA's well over 7.00 in their last 3 starts a piece, each being in losing fashion. Pair that with the wind blowing out in Wrigley today and the fact that these two clubs just love running totals up on one another and you've got yourself a winner.

    Philadelphia Phillies
     (-140) Although there's a bit of juice to give up, I'm surprised the Philadelphia Phillies aren't already at -160 or greater, given the recent struggles with the San Diego Padres' offense together with the fact the the ML-leading Phillies (62-36) have a home an amazing home record of 35-15 on the season. With both starters pitching rather well of late, Padres starter Mat Latos (5-10, 4.02 ERA) and Kyle Kendrick (5-4, 3.34 ERA) both with ERA's in the 3's throughout their last three starts, I can see the under being a good play again in this series, as well - making all 6 games between these two clubs all under 6 runs.

    Atlanta Braves (+110) I didn't understand it yesterday and I don't get it again today - the Cincinnati Reds, a team who can't seem to find the .500 mark in a sub-par division (at best), are once again favored over the Atlanta Braves. Regardless of either mediocre starter in today's game, I think the big news is the fact that both Dan Uggla and Jordan Schafer are expected to make their return to the line-up today while Reds star Scott Rolen was just placed on the 15-day DL and Jay Bruce may not return today after suffering "dizzy spells" before the game yesterday. Atlanta has won their last 3 games against Cincy - look for them to make it 4-straight after today's value play!

    St. Louis Cardinals (-130) St. Louis Cardinals star and 3-time NL MVP Albert Pujols is hitting .393 at PNC Park, which opened the same year as Pujols' rookie season in 2001. Pujols' 127 hits, 27 HR's and 79 RBI's are the most he has recorded at any stadium outside of St. Louis. Along with Pujols, the Cardinals are starting Jaime Garcia (9-4, 3.11 ERA) who has been dominant this season, putting up a 1.89 ERA over his last 3 starts. However, the last time Pittsburgh Pirates starter Kevin Correia (11-7, 4.04 ERA) faced the Cards, he held them to only 5 hits in 7 scoreless innings. I still like the Cardinals to finish this one strong, needing to regain valuable position in the NL Central. Oh, I think the under looks good, too - as long as the Cards don't decide to put 5 runs on the board in the 1st inning like they did yesterday!


    Rays/Royals (Under, 9) Not counting last night's game, the last time the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals faced off in a game that went over the 9-run mark was back in April... 2010! Add that to the fact that Rays starter Jeff Niemann (4-4, 3.94 ERA) has gone 2-1 with an ERA of 0.84 in over 21 innings pitched, while Royals lefty starter Jeff Francis has a 3.72 ERA over his last 3 games, giving his team an 0-3 record due to the lack of offense, and you have a beautiful recipe for the under. Also, a thought to keep in mind - out of the last 20 games (10 Rays, 10 Royals) a 9-run over has only been broken 5 times.
     
    npearl
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 11:05 AM ET #2

    BOL
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    BOL
     
    Pricetopher
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 11:11 AM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by npearl:

    BOL

    Thanks, Pearl - what do you have going today?
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    Quote Originally Posted by npearl:

    BOL

    Thanks, Pearl - what do you have going today?
     
    Pricetopher
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 11:43 AM ET #4

    Is anyone paying the juice for the Boston or Yankees ML's?
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    Is anyone paying the juice for the Boston or Yankees ML's?
     
    tinfoils
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 11:50 AM ET #5

    Goodm luck Price, like your write ups!  The price for Boston is too high. Other games can be found.
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    Goodm luck Price, like your write ups!  The price for Boston is too high. Other games can be found.
     
    Pricetopher
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 11:54 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by tinfoils:

    Goodm luck Price, like your write ups!  The price for Boston is too high. Other games can be found.

    Thanks, Tin - I am happy to help anyone with pick and entertainment!    What do you have on the ticket today?
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    Quote Originally Posted by tinfoils:

    Goodm luck Price, like your write ups!  The price for Boston is too high. Other games can be found.

    Thanks, Tin - I am happy to help anyone with pick and entertainment!    What do you have on the ticket today?
     
    apeterson8809
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 12:22 PM ET #7

    Cards !

    My books didn't have the ov/und out on the chicago game when I checked this morning, but I def like overs.  GL sir

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    Cards !

    My books didn't have the ov/und out on the chicago game when I checked this morning, but I def like overs.  GL sir

     
    apeterson8809
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 12:26 PM ET #8

    Why not parlay NYY & Boston..  2teamer is like +120 or maybe a little better

    Just a thought

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    Why not parlay NYY & Boston..  2teamer is like +120 or maybe a little better

    Just a thought

     
    Pricetopher
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 12:29 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by apeterson8809:

    Why not parlay NYY & Boston..  2teamer is like +120 or maybe a little better

    Just a thought


    You may be onto something there, brother!  
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    Quote Originally Posted by apeterson8809:

    Why not parlay NYY & Boston..  2teamer is like +120 or maybe a little better

    Just a thought


    You may be onto something there, brother!  
     
    Denverb
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 12:33 PM ET #10

    GL
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    GL
     
    apeterson8809
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 12:51 PM ET #11

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    bobby007
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 12:52 PM ET #12

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    Pricetopher
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 1:39 PM ET #13

    Personal Picks (7/1 - 7/23): 64-38

    "Pricetopher's Picks" (Since on Covers.com): 19-10

    *Personal picks are the ones that I end up taking either last second or things like that, but I always keep stats at home.

    *The picks I start the day with that I like the most I post under "Pricetopher's Picks", attempting to choose 5/day.

    Also, I generally place a steady $500/gm. on each wager, with all upright ML plays (no parlays, RL's, etc.) At the All-Star break I was up a little over $29k on the season so far.

    I hope this helps and although it could be better, a solid 65% is all we're really shooting for, right?  


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    Personal Picks (7/1 - 7/23): 64-38

    "Pricetopher's Picks" (Since on Covers.com): 19-10

    *Personal picks are the ones that I end up taking either last second or things like that, but I always keep stats at home.

    *The picks I start the day with that I like the most I post under "Pricetopher's Picks", attempting to choose 5/day.

    Also, I generally place a steady $500/gm. on each wager, with all upright ML plays (no parlays, RL's, etc.) At the All-Star break I was up a little over $29k on the season so far.

    I hope this helps and although it could be better, a solid 65% is all we're really shooting for, right?  


     
    PRClemente21
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 1:53 PM ET #14

    Good luck with your picks...I too like to place a staedy $500 -$600 a game depending on what the line is. I wasnt up over $29k after All-star break but I stayed positive. Good job and keep up the good work...I like TB today with Niemann and Giants with Vogelsong. GL
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    Good luck with your picks...I too like to place a staedy $500 -$600 a game depending on what the line is. I wasnt up over $29k after All-star break but I stayed positive. Good job and keep up the good work...I like TB today with Niemann and Giants with Vogelsong. GL
     
    Pricetopher
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 1:56 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by PRClemente21:

    Good luck with your picks...I too like to place a staedy $500 -$600 a game depending on what the line is. I wasnt up over $29k after All-star break but I stayed positive. Good job and keep up the good work...I like TB today with Niemann and Giants with Vogelsong. GL


    Thanks, buddy! It's definitely not for everyone to each their own. But, as long as we all end up in the positive, whether it be $10 or $10k, we're all here for the same reason, right? I just wish people would stay more positive on here than some of these fools, trolling around here just to be pessimist. Optimism makes money, right?! 

    Good luck to you too, brother!  
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    Quote Originally Posted by PRClemente21:

    Good luck with your picks...I too like to place a staedy $500 -$600 a game depending on what the line is. I wasnt up over $29k after All-star break but I stayed positive. Good job and keep up the good work...I like TB today with Niemann and Giants with Vogelsong. GL


    Thanks, buddy! It's definitely not for everyone to each their own. But, as long as we all end up in the positive, whether it be $10 or $10k, we're all here for the same reason, right? I just wish people would stay more positive on here than some of these fools, trolling around here just to be pessimist. Optimism makes money, right?! 

    Good luck to you too, brother!  
     
    BigEv617
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 1:59 PM ET #16

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    EIGHTYpercent
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 2:25 PM ET #17

    Yo, I see you venting about the Cubs/Stros game. This is the only way (only profittable) way to correctly pick O/U during Cubs day game.

    Honestly, for the most part it doesn't even matter who the pitchers are. The wind during the day at Wrigley is prolly the biggest variable in baseball.

    If the O/U opens at 9 or less, you can blindly bet the under no matter who is one the mound. If it opens at 10 or higher, then you can blindly bet the over regardless of matchups.

    This is my theory/angle. I usually lay off it it opens at 9.5, but other than that it seems to always work. I wasn't awake in time to see what it opened at, so this might be a pointless post.

    Playing this angle has worked for years, but I only started keeping track a few weeks ago.

    Its gone 7-1, the only loss coming when I had over 10.5 and the Phillies won thursday 9-1. Worley/Dempster. GL

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    Yo, I see you venting about the Cubs/Stros game. This is the only way (only profittable) way to correctly pick O/U during Cubs day game.

    Honestly, for the most part it doesn't even matter who the pitchers are. The wind during the day at Wrigley is prolly the biggest variable in baseball.

    If the O/U opens at 9 or less, you can blindly bet the under no matter who is one the mound. If it opens at 10 or higher, then you can blindly bet the over regardless of matchups.

    This is my theory/angle. I usually lay off it it opens at 9.5, but other than that it seems to always work. I wasn't awake in time to see what it opened at, so this might be a pointless post.

    Playing this angle has worked for years, but I only started keeping track a few weeks ago.

    Its gone 7-1, the only loss coming when I had over 10.5 and the Phillies won thursday 9-1. Worley/Dempster. GL

     
    cubsin08
    cubsin08
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 2:32 PM ET #18

    SJP's punk brother
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    SJP's punk brother
     
    SportsFreak69
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 2:33 PM ET #19

    Best of Luck 
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    Best of Luck 
     
    Pricetopher
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 2:34 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by EIGHTYpercent:

    Yo, I see you venting about the Cubs/Stros game. This is the only way (only profittable) way to correctly pick O/U during Cubs day game.

    Honestly, for the most part it doesn't even matter who the pitchers are. The wind during the day at Wrigley is prolly the biggest variable in baseball.

    If the O/U opens at 9 or less, you can blindly bet the under no matter who is one the mound. If it opens at 10 or higher, then you can blindly bet the over regardless of matchups.

    This is my theory/angle. I usually lay off it it opens at 9.5, but other than that it seems to always work. I wasn't awake in time to see what it opened at, so this might be a pointless post.

    Playing this angle has worked for years, but I only started keeping track a few weeks ago.

    Its gone 7-1, the only loss coming when I had over 10.5 and the Phillies won thursday 9-1. Worley/Dempster. GL


    Wow, that's beyond impressive! Thanks, man... will definitely watch that!
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    Quote Originally Posted by EIGHTYpercent:

    Yo, I see you venting about the Cubs/Stros game. This is the only way (only profittable) way to correctly pick O/U during Cubs day game.

    Honestly, for the most part it doesn't even matter who the pitchers are. The wind during the day at Wrigley is prolly the biggest variable in baseball.

    If the O/U opens at 9 or less, you can blindly bet the under no matter who is one the mound. If it opens at 10 or higher, then you can blindly bet the over regardless of matchups.

    This is my theory/angle. I usually lay off it it opens at 9.5, but other than that it seems to always work. I wasn't awake in time to see what it opened at, so this might be a pointless post.

    Playing this angle has worked for years, but I only started keeping track a few weeks ago.

    Its gone 7-1, the only loss coming when I had over 10.5 and the Phillies won thursday 9-1. Worley/Dempster. GL


    Wow, that's beyond impressive! Thanks, man... will definitely watch that!
     
    GiLmo574
    GiLmo574
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 2:36 PM ET #21

    I smell a bad, bad day, PRICETPHER . . .

     

    Creating a thread to get views @ this thread ????


     

    You'll learn the hard way.   

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    I smell a bad, bad day, PRICETPHER . . .

     

    Creating a thread to get views @ this thread ????


     

    You'll learn the hard way.   

     
    Pricetopher
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 2:36 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by cubsin08:

    SJP's punk brother

    What?!
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    Quote Originally Posted by cubsin08:

    SJP's punk brother

    What?!
     
    GiLmo574
    GiLmo574
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 2:39 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by EIGHTYpercent:

    Yo, I see you venting about the Cubs/Stros game. This is the only way (only profittable) way to correctly pick O/U during Cubs day game.

    Honestly, for the most part it doesn't even matter who the pitchers are. The wind during the day at Wrigley is prolly the biggest variable in baseball.

    If the O/U opens at 9 or less, you can blindly bet the under no matter who is one the mound. If it opens at 10 or higher, then you can blindly bet the over regardless of matchups.

    This is my theory/angle. I usually lay off it it opens at 9.5, but other than that it seems to always work. I wasn't awake in time to see what it opened at, so this might be a pointless post.

    Playing this angle has worked for years, but I only started keeping track a few weeks ago.

    Its gone 7-1, the only loss coming when I had over 10.5 and the Phillies won thursday 9-1. Worley/Dempster. GL

     

    The opening was 9 at most books.  Very few had the opening @ 9.5

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by EIGHTYpercent:

    Yo, I see you venting about the Cubs/Stros game. This is the only way (only profittable) way to correctly pick O/U during Cubs day game.

    Honestly, for the most part it doesn't even matter who the pitchers are. The wind during the day at Wrigley is prolly the biggest variable in baseball.

    If the O/U opens at 9 or less, you can blindly bet the under no matter who is one the mound. If it opens at 10 or higher, then you can blindly bet the over regardless of matchups.

    This is my theory/angle. I usually lay off it it opens at 9.5, but other than that it seems to always work. I wasn't awake in time to see what it opened at, so this might be a pointless post.

    Playing this angle has worked for years, but I only started keeping track a few weeks ago.

    Its gone 7-1, the only loss coming when I had over 10.5 and the Phillies won thursday 9-1. Worley/Dempster. GL

     

    The opening was 9 at most books.  Very few had the opening @ 9.5

     

     
    Pricetopher
    Pricetopher
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 2:40 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by GiLmo574:

    I smell a bad, bad day, PRICETPHER . . .

     

    Creating a thread to get views @ this thread ????



    I know we're all addicting to breasts, what can I say?!

     

    You'll learn the hard way.   

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    Quote Originally Posted by GiLmo574:

    I smell a bad, bad day, PRICETPHER . . .

     

    Creating a thread to get views @ this thread ????



    I know we're all addicting to breasts, what can I say?!

     

    You'll learn the hard way.   

     
     
    jay10
    jay10
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2011 - 2:43 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by cubsin08:

    SJP's punk brother
    ,,,,,
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    Quote Originally Posted by cubsin08:

    SJP's punk brother
    ,,,,,
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