Posted:
#601
Quote Originally Posted by atxcojo:
Yo Pitt...was just gonna pick your brain for a hot second.
You obviously have good knowledge of financial management, which is in my opinion the most important part of sports betting. What situational, motivational,statistical, and other angles do you look at when capping your games? I wish you the best of luck, and any knowledge/information that you can share is greatly appreciated.
Yo Pitt...was just gonna pick your brain for a hot second.
You obviously have good knowledge of financial management, which is in my opinion the most important part of sports betting. What situational, motivational,statistical, and other angles do you look at when capping your games? I wish you the best of luck, and any knowledge/information that you can share is greatly appreciated.
First off nice avatar. I like to look for a variety of factors. I'll break it down briefly for each thing you asked:
Situational: I like to bet on a winning team that is in the middle of the pack (with say a few wins in their past five and 6+ in their past ten) who are getting points on the road vs. a good or middle of the pack home team who has been losing recently (like . My reason: The public likes to bet the home team always, of course and love
home fa
I also like hot middle of the pack teams at home against public road favourites (like Memphis tonight at home vs. Lakers). The wrong team is favoured in this game because no matter who the Lakers are playing, if Kobe is playing there will be good money on them. The lakers are physically and emotionally drained from this long road trip and are now on the road for their 8th and, key part, FINAL game. Their next game will be at home and they will be looking forward to it. While Memphis is a up and coming team in the middle of the pack looking for a playoff spot, off a days rest. You need to look for multiple situations like that.
I love betting against teams who are on the road playing a meaningless game, when their previous game was an emotionally and physically draining game such as games vs. the top teams in the league (or ranked teams in college) or division rivals, or games that wen't to overtime or double overtime .. and their next game is against a top tier team or divisional/conference team at home. Remember they have to be on the road (at home they usually still show up for the fans) and this strategy works betting college, when athletes are younger and more susceptible to letdown games like these. In the pro leagues, it works well when the playoff race heats up and the teams play division games or a game against playoff teams at home or on the road, then go on the road for to play a lower tier team (or a middle tier team driving for the playoffs if they are in the opposing conference) and the home team is getting a fair amount of points. Their next game has to be against a playoff team or divisional game as well. These situations occur a lot more then you would expect though, especially in college football where they occur practically every week.
There are lots of winning situations out there but remember just the situation won't win the bet there has to be other factors for making the pick. As for knowing all the situations, the longer you wager, and the more you study and invest your time into learning, the better you are at picking up when teams are in good situations and if they will be physically healthy as well as emotionally healthy. The Gilbert Arenas drama obviously emotionally drained the team. Teams with lots of attention can easily be emotionally drained .. you just need to look outside the box when analyzing games.
There are honestly many good motivational, situational and statistical angles to look at with betting and you could write a book about it in two hours, but the bottom line is that you just need to spend your time watching and reading about sports objectively to learn about the teams chemistry and situational information, watch opening lines and how quickly they move and see if you can find a reason why the line moved and ask yourself why did this line open at this number instead of another number. Things like this you learn, and after years it all kind of comes to you with out much of a thought process.
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