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    NBA MON 031609 early thoughts - value hunting

    «First Previous 234 ... 192021 Next Last»
    axpiota59
    JCWhy83
    Turc
    Hizay
    Philip_Rivers
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    «First Previous 234 ... 192021 Next Last»
     
    axpiota59
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:09 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by fatdan215:

    Whats going on Ax...Back to reality after a heavy night of drinking and smoking ridiculous...Didnt even make it to the phone today to cakll my local to place bets but hell i would have done shit today....But looking to following your play tomorrow....BOL BRO

    LOL fatdan...we all need a day off.  Let's get back on track for Monday.  We're already looking at our options.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by fatdan215:

    Whats going on Ax...Back to reality after a heavy night of drinking and smoking ridiculous...Didnt even make it to the phone today to cakll my local to place bets but hell i would have done shit today....But looking to following your play tomorrow....BOL BRO

    LOL fatdan...we all need a day off.  Let's get back on track for Monday.  We're already looking at our options.  
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:10 PM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by clutch22:

    i can get 189 right now at loagans on the Sanantonio game. should I take it?

    Chump loves it and I'm still capping...I'm slow on the uptake sometimes  LOL
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    Quote Originally Posted by clutch22:

    i can get 189 right now at loagans on the Sanantonio game. should I take it?

    Chump loves it and I'm still capping...I'm slow on the uptake sometimes  LOL
     
    axpiota59
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:13 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by chi23city:

    hey ax.. been reading a lot of your post lately..
     
    great info man..
     
    if im not mistaken i read that NBA isnt even really your sport.. lol
     
    but yet... YOU KILL IT.. HAHAHA
     
    please tell me BASEBALL is your specialty.. i can not wait until the season gets going..
     
    GO SOX..
     
     
    (WHITE SOX) LMAO

    LOL, I do ok in the NBA, it's just a lot of work.  I'd like to think MLB is my main gig.  It's been profitable in the past and I just love the game.  Thanks for reading my rants.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by chi23city:

    hey ax.. been reading a lot of your post lately..
     
    great info man..
     
    if im not mistaken i read that NBA isnt even really your sport.. lol
     
    but yet... YOU KILL IT.. HAHAHA
     
    please tell me BASEBALL is your specialty.. i can not wait until the season gets going..
     
    GO SOX..
     
     
    (WHITE SOX) LMAO

    LOL, I do ok in the NBA, it's just a lot of work.  I'd like to think MLB is my main gig.  It's been profitable in the past and I just love the game.  Thanks for reading my rants.  
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:14 PM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by chump:

    Durant is somewhat a popinjay ... he likes to hear himself talk and loves to watch himself on ESPN highlights !!!

    Aint that the truth?  These kids...
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    Quote Originally Posted by chump:

    Durant is somewhat a popinjay ... he likes to hear himself talk and loves to watch himself on ESPN highlights !!!

    Aint that the truth?  These kids...
     
    JCWhy83
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:29 PM ET #30

    Well time for me to punch the clock and get my numbers together. Tomorrow's games don't look too attractive at first glance to me.
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    Well time for me to punch the clock and get my numbers together. Tomorrow's games don't look too attractive at first glance to me.
     
    Turc
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:33 PM ET #31

    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    Well, I initially thought that this was an overs play after seeing the number but both times this year these two have met has gone under the number with an avg total of 182 and covering the under by 13 points.

    NO this year when the number is less than 185 O/U 4-8 and again avg line @183 and covers the under by 3.  Take this spot to NO at home and the O/U is 3-3 avg total 184 and under covers by 2

    HOU this year when the number is less than 185  O/U 8-8 with the avg total @181.5 and over covers by 3.  In 2009, O/U 2-4 avg line is 182 and over covers by 3.  Take this spot on the road and the O/U is 6-5 avg line 182 and over covers by 3.

    HOU on the road this year (2009) vs good teams .600+ (O/U 1-3)
    NOH at home this year (2009) vs good teams .600+ (O/U 2-3)

    may have to go to the stats and situational on this one...




    good stuff. to be honest i might take the day off tomorrow, i got my hands full at work, don't know if i ll have time to do adequate research for the lines.

    give 'em something to cash in
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    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    Well, I initially thought that this was an overs play after seeing the number but both times this year these two have met has gone under the number with an avg total of 182 and covering the under by 13 points.

    NO this year when the number is less than 185 O/U 4-8 and again avg line @183 and covers the under by 3.  Take this spot to NO at home and the O/U is 3-3 avg total 184 and under covers by 2

    HOU this year when the number is less than 185  O/U 8-8 with the avg total @181.5 and over covers by 3.  In 2009, O/U 2-4 avg line is 182 and over covers by 3.  Take this spot on the road and the O/U is 6-5 avg line 182 and over covers by 3.

    HOU on the road this year (2009) vs good teams .600+ (O/U 1-3)
    NOH at home this year (2009) vs good teams .600+ (O/U 2-3)

    may have to go to the stats and situational on this one...




    good stuff. to be honest i might take the day off tomorrow, i got my hands full at work, don't know if i ll have time to do adequate research for the lines.

    give 'em something to cash in
     
    Hizay
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:36 PM ET #32

    Ax, i saw you mentioned in one of the threads back the website where you run all the querys that you have shown, but i can't seem to find it can you list that site again.
    Thanks
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    Ax, i saw you mentioned in one of the threads back the website where you run all the querys that you have shown, but i can't seem to find it can you list that site again.
    Thanks
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:45 PM ET #33

    Quote Originally Posted by JCWhy83:

    Well time for me to punch the clock and get my numbers together. Tomorrow's games don't look too attractive at first glance to me.

    TIme to get to work JCW
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    Quote Originally Posted by JCWhy83:

    Well time for me to punch the clock and get my numbers together. Tomorrow's games don't look too attractive at first glance to me.

    TIme to get to work JCW
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:47 PM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by Turc:



    good stuff. to be honest i might take the day off tomorrow, i got my hands full at work, don't know if i ll have time to do adequate research for the lines.

    give 'em something to cash in

    Turc, you've been a capping madman.  you took last Thursday off and that's just not going to do it.  The board doesn't look that great so why not.  If my one game doesn't land the right number...I'm out.  Good night brother, take care of that stuff at work so you can come back and do the stuff you love.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Turc:



    good stuff. to be honest i might take the day off tomorrow, i got my hands full at work, don't know if i ll have time to do adequate research for the lines.

    give 'em something to cash in

    Turc, you've been a capping madman.  you took last Thursday off and that's just not going to do it.  The board doesn't look that great so why not.  If my one game doesn't land the right number...I'm out.  Good night brother, take care of that stuff at work so you can come back and do the stuff you love.  
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2009 - 11:48 PM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by Hizay:

    Ax, i saw you mentioned in one of the threads back the website where you run all the querys that you have shown, but i can't seem to find it can you list that site again.
    Thanks

    sportsdatabase.com or killercappers.com

    GL
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hizay:

    Ax, i saw you mentioned in one of the threads back the website where you run all the querys that you have shown, but i can't seem to find it can you list that site again.
    Thanks

    sportsdatabase.com or killercappers.com

    GL
     
    JCWhy83
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:10 AM ET #36

    Here is what I got minus the Nets/Nuggets:
    Raps/Bobcats 189.5
    Spurs/Thunder 189.5
    Blazers/Grizz 191
    Rockets/Hornets 181.5
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    Here is what I got minus the Nets/Nuggets:
    Raps/Bobcats 189.5
    Spurs/Thunder 189.5
    Blazers/Grizz 191
    Rockets/Hornets 181.5
     
    JCWhy83
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:15 AM ET #37

    I don't see where I'm going to get a play. Maybe the Nets/Nuggets will look better, off to cap it now.
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    I don't see where I'm going to get a play. Maybe the Nets/Nuggets will look better, off to cap it now.
     
    JCWhy83
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:22 AM ET #38

    I'll look at the Nets/Nuggets tomorrow to make sure Devin Harris is out
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    I'll look at the Nets/Nuggets tomorrow to make sure Devin Harris is out
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:34 AM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by JCWhy83:

    Here is what I got minus the Nets/Nuggets:
    Raps/Bobcats 189.5 188
    Spurs/Thunder 189.5 184
    Blazers/Grizz 191 186
    Rockets/Hornets 181.5 177

    now it's time to find a winner but I'm not holding my breath.  The 193 I'm looking for in the POR/MEM game is not happening.  This sucks!  If there are no major line movements, I'm taking the day off.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by JCWhy83:

    Here is what I got minus the Nets/Nuggets:
    Raps/Bobcats 189.5 188
    Spurs/Thunder 189.5 184
    Blazers/Grizz 191 186
    Rockets/Hornets 181.5 177

    now it's time to find a winner but I'm not holding my breath.  The 193 I'm looking for in the POR/MEM game is not happening.  This sucks!  If there are no major line movements, I'm taking the day off.  
     
    Philip_Rivers
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:48 AM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    now it's time to find a winner but I'm not holding my breath.  The 193 I'm looking for in the POR/MEM game is not happening.  This sucks!  If there are no major line movements, I'm taking the day off.  
    If anyone deserves a day off it's you and Turc. I cashed in two weeks in a row thanks to you guys providing these boards as a tool for our success.  

    BOL as always brother.  Hope to see you in dialogue tomorrow.


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    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    now it's time to find a winner but I'm not holding my breath.  The 193 I'm looking for in the POR/MEM game is not happening.  This sucks!  If there are no major line movements, I'm taking the day off.  
    If anyone deserves a day off it's you and Turc. I cashed in two weeks in a row thanks to you guys providing these boards as a tool for our success.  

    BOL as always brother.  Hope to see you in dialogue tomorrow.


     
    JCWhy83
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:49 AM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    now it's time to find a winner but I'm not holding my breath.  The 193 I'm looking for in the POR/MEM game is not happening.  This sucks!  If there are no major line movements, I'm taking the day off.  

    Looks like I won't have a play for tomorrow either and that means no total 4 out of the last 6 days. That usually send me to the sides and thats  time. I think I can withstand the temptation tomorrow in part to a nice day today. I hate the end of the season 
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    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    now it's time to find a winner but I'm not holding my breath.  The 193 I'm looking for in the POR/MEM game is not happening.  This sucks!  If there are no major line movements, I'm taking the day off.  

    Looks like I won't have a play for tomorrow either and that means no total 4 out of the last 6 days. That usually send me to the sides and thats  time. I think I can withstand the temptation tomorrow in part to a nice day today. I hate the end of the season 
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:50 AM ET #42

    I was just thinking that maybe the best value for tomorrow would be NJ+ and I ran into yoyo's thread and I'm almost sold.  Let's face it guys, we're not seeing the totals value we're used to seeing.  I'm going to need serious help if I cap this side but I got great cappers here.  yoyo's been money and that's not a bad capper to support a thought.  

    or...if you think I'm nuts...say so.  LOL  "stick to unders Ax, you nut"
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    I was just thinking that maybe the best value for tomorrow would be NJ+ and I ran into yoyo's thread and I'm almost sold.  Let's face it guys, we're not seeing the totals value we're used to seeing.  I'm going to need serious help if I cap this side but I got great cappers here.  yoyo's been money and that's not a bad capper to support a thought.  

    or...if you think I'm nuts...say so.  LOL  "stick to unders Ax, you nut"
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:51 AM ET #43

    Quote Originally Posted by Philip_Rivers:

    If anyone deserves a day off it's you and Turc. I cashed in two weeks in a row thanks to you guys providing these boards as a tool for our success.  

    BOL as always brother.  Hope to see you in dialogue tomorrow.


    damn, you're cashing nice Phil_Riv!  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Philip_Rivers:

    If anyone deserves a day off it's you and Turc. I cashed in two weeks in a row thanks to you guys providing these boards as a tool for our success.  

    BOL as always brother.  Hope to see you in dialogue tomorrow.


    damn, you're cashing nice Phil_Riv!  
     
    axpiota59
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:52 AM ET #44

    Quote Originally Posted by JCWhy83:


    Looks like I won't have a play for tomorrow either and that means no total 4 out of the last 6 days. That usually send me to the sides and thats  time. I think I can withstand the temptation tomorrow in part to a nice day today. I hate the end of the season 

    We can't start forcing play pal.
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    Quote Originally Posted by JCWhy83:


    Looks like I won't have a play for tomorrow either and that means no total 4 out of the last 6 days. That usually send me to the sides and thats  time. I think I can withstand the temptation tomorrow in part to a nice day today. I hate the end of the season 

    We can't start forcing play pal.
     
    axpiota59
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:55 AM ET #45

    BTW...Does anyone remember who promised me those filet mignons from Cali if we hit that UTA/ORL UNDER?

    I'm hungry...


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    BTW...Does anyone remember who promised me those filet mignons from Cali if we hit that UTA/ORL UNDER?

    I'm hungry...


     
    timemaster
    timemaster
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:57 AM ET #46

    always great work AX
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    always great work AX
     
    axpiota59
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 12:59 AM ET #47

    Quote Originally Posted by timemaster:

    always great work AX

    Thank you sir. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by timemaster:

    always great work AX

    Thank you sir. 
     
    Pick-N-Pop
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 1:10 AM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:

    I was just thinking that maybe the best value for tomorrow would be NJ+ and I ran into yoyo's thread and I'm almost sold.  Let's face it guys, we're not seeing the totals value we're used to seeing.  I'm going to need serious help if I cap this side but I got great cappers here.  yoyo's been money and that's not a bad capper to support a thought.  

    or...if you think I'm nuts...say so.  LOL  "stick to unders Ax, you nut"


    Can the Nets stay competitive without their floor general, Devin Harris? Usually teams will step it up after their star is sidelined but that effort might have but used up in today's gut-wrenching loss which dawn on them as well. Not to mention that the Nets dealt Denver their worst loss of the season back in the Swamp, so revenge will definitely also be a factor. Wince also played 43 minutes tonight.

    But on the other hand, yoyo has been hitting at a ridiculous 70% clip, so it might not be wise to fade him.
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    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:

    I was just thinking that maybe the best value for tomorrow would be NJ+ and I ran into yoyo's thread and I'm almost sold.  Let's face it guys, we're not seeing the totals value we're used to seeing.  I'm going to need serious help if I cap this side but I got great cappers here.  yoyo's been money and that's not a bad capper to support a thought.  

    or...if you think I'm nuts...say so.  LOL  "stick to unders Ax, you nut"


    Can the Nets stay competitive without their floor general, Devin Harris? Usually teams will step it up after their star is sidelined but that effort might have but used up in today's gut-wrenching loss which dawn on them as well. Not to mention that the Nets dealt Denver their worst loss of the season back in the Swamp, so revenge will definitely also be a factor. Wince also played 43 minutes tonight.

    But on the other hand, yoyo has been hitting at a ridiculous 70% clip, so it might not be wise to fade him.
     
    nostradamus168
    nostradamus168
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 1:12 AM ET #49

    i do think that the Houston game have a good chance of getting over as yahoo sports shares this info.

    "New Orleans is allowing 93.5 points per game and Houston 94.8. At some point, however, both clubs are going to need more scoring than they got Saturday night, as Houston lost 88-85 to San Antonio and New Orleans fell 97-79 to Chicago."

    is it me? or does the info shouts OVER all over ?
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    i do think that the Houston game have a good chance of getting over as yahoo sports shares this info.

    "New Orleans is allowing 93.5 points per game and Houston 94.8. At some point, however, both clubs are going to need more scoring than they got Saturday night, as Houston lost 88-85 to San Antonio and New Orleans fell 97-79 to Chicago."

    is it me? or does the info shouts OVER all over ?
     
     
    JCWhy83
    JCWhy83
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2009 - 1:14 AM ET #50

    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    We can't start forcing play pal.

    I think I will just take tomorrow off and gear up for Tuesday's board where I think there could be 3-4 games with nice value.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


    We can't start forcing play pal.

    I think I will just take tomorrow off and gear up for Tuesday's board where I think there could be 3-4 games with nice value.  
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