CD Newsletter week 2

So far I got:

Raiders / Steeler over 47 

NFL picks:

Bears -3(+100) *2.00

2.5 at some shops with heavy juice, I'll wait.

If the Bears lose this one, they are starring at 0-3 after Cleveland. Gotta win here at home.

I think Burrow will get much more pressure up the middle from Akiem Hicks, and Eddie Goldman might return. The Rams did a lot of play action bootleg to get Stafford outside the pocket. The Bengals don't do that.

The Bengals played almost an entire OT period to barely squeek by the Vikings. It's early in the season, maybe fatigue won't matter, but it's something. 

Like Hugh said, the final score of the Rams/Bears game didn't reflect the Bears play on the field(minus their secondary play at times). The Rams are that good.

The Bears o line held up well. Marquise Goodwin was a nice under the radar acquisition imo. David Montgomery is a beast. He is sneaky good in traffic.

I watched the Cinci and Bears week 1 games twice now, fwiw.

Cinci OTR now, the spread is telling us that both teams are even? I think not.

Eagles +3.5(-110) *1.00/.91

I don't know, just feels like a sharp play for reasons unknown to me. And I need a dog on my card.

Chargers -3(-105) *1.00/.95

Trust in Brandon Staley, this dude is something special. Light years away from Anthony Lynn. Huge fan of Justin Herbert.

Dak was great in the season opener, will he be enough? The Dallas D is suspect.

Dallas really brought their A game trying to upset the SB champs, it'll be tough to duplicate that again vs a buttoned up team.

Packers -10.5(-110) *1.00/.91

Some things gonna get right, real quick. I hate Aaron Rogers as much as some of his team mates, he'll go to work here.

6 games lined @ 50 or more and 3 @ 48 

Balty @ 55 may just be a general principal U play and Philly bet up to 50 from 48 may be moving the wrong way imo.

Pats jumped 2 pts to 6 over Jets so i look into it and i think i know why.

Panthers hold Jets to 45 yds rushing on 17 att.

Pats hold Miami to 74 yds on 23 att.

you let that sumbitch get to 7 

Sounds like an under in the making, don't tell Cyrax. 2 rookie qbs as well

@Biscuiteater1

 no chance Ravens CB's except # 44  are Food Lion employees.....

I like that most pundits give the Vikes no chance. 

I watched that Bengals game and they aren't bad. Plus, they really only had one big play. Our offense was always going to be conservative and struggle. Our D is certainly better than the Titans, who always start slow. 

@djbrow

 I agree completely.  What people don’t realize is that was an absolute flag fest for Arizona that entire game.  Very undisciplined team that you can tell really missed out on a pre season 

Similar to last week, I am out of town again until Sunday, so will post my plays now.

I already posted I'm on WFT tomorrow night. The only cause for concern is history. For whatever reason some teams just seem to have the other teams number. NYG have won 5 straight vs WFT. I went back to 2000, and NY is 29-13 over that span. Those are won/loss stats, not ATS.

WFT -3 (15)

N.O. -3 (20) Initial lean was Car, but I'm betting on the dominant D

Chi -2.5 with my fingers crossed

Buff -3.5 (05)

Indy +4, ML

SF -3.5

Minn +3.5 betting the line here, no other reason to be on Minny.

Dal +3 (E), ML not locked in yet because I expect it to hit 3.5

Might still bet NE, and will def have a pick in the KC-Shrimp game

first play of the week locked before it moves any more 

Panthers  +3.5

GL

We're going against each other on a lot of picks

I kinda liked the Vikings right when I saw the line, it opened +3 I believe,  then the inevitable happened 

Ah fuck, Royals play canceled,  pitching change

Wednesday :

Orioles 1st 5 ML(+135) *1/1.35

Cortes/Means listed

Red and Biscuit gonna tag along? 

adding

Eagles +3.5 

GL

Did you guys see what happened in the Lions/Niners game? Scal took SF -8.5 and The People's Champ  had Detroit +10...the more things change, the more they stay the same...snow in Laramie expected approximately 2 months from now... 

Week 2, eyeballing Lions ATS again and the Joe Burrows Football Team ML...anyone have feedback or insight on these two stinkers?

Cows looking to be without D Law and Randy Gregory on Sunday.   Yikes 

@packersbackers

 Yes, all ready on the other side of both. Not sure if that makes you wrong or not.

It means the oddmakers have done their job.

I think people really underestimate Burrows. He went undefeated for a very bad coach. Yes, he had sick talent around him but Ed Orgeron is capable of losing any game with talent. 

The thing with Joe is he will not lose you games and he is always good for a couple of big plays. That is how they won.

I am less concerned with that Vikings loss. I actually think Cinci is a better team then Arizona. Cinci's D will surprise people. 

I'm with you guys on Buffalo. They looked tight after they took the lead. I don't see that happening again. 

Also, that NE D is legit. They will struggle to score but this is one of Belecheat's best defensive teams in some time. 

He's so underestimated that most people don't realize his last name is Burrow.