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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    CD Newsletter week 2

    «First Previous 234 ... 567 Next Last»
    Cyrax
    undermysac
    Biscuiteater1
    bigred84
    djbrow
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 320
    Posts: 163
    «First Previous 234 ... 567 Next Last»
     
    Cyrax
    Cyrax
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2021 - 7:41 PM ET #26

    So far I got:

    Raiders / Steeler over 47 

     

    Reply

    So far I got:

    Raiders / Steeler over 47 

     

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2021 - 11:20 PM ET #27

    NFL picks:

    Bears -3(+100) *2.00

    2.5 at some shops with heavy juice, I'll wait.

    If the Bears lose this one, they are starring at 0-3 after Cleveland. Gotta win here at home.

    I think Burrow will get much more pressure up the middle from Akiem Hicks, and Eddie Goldman might return. The Rams did a lot of play action bootleg to get Stafford outside the pocket. The Bengals don't do that.

    The Bengals played almost an entire OT period to barely squeek by the Vikings. It's early in the season, maybe fatigue won't matter, but it's something. 

    Like Hugh said, the final score of the Rams/Bears game didn't reflect the Bears play on the field(minus their secondary play at times). The Rams are that good.

    The Bears o line held up well. Marquise Goodwin was a nice under the radar acquisition imo. David Montgomery is a beast. He is sneaky good in traffic.

    I watched the Cinci and Bears week 1 games twice now, fwiw.

    Cinci OTR now, the spread is telling us that both teams are even? I think not.

    Eagles +3.5(-110) *1.00/.91

    I don't know, just feels like a sharp play for reasons unknown to me. And I need a dog on my card.

    Chargers -3(-105) *1.00/.95

    Trust in Brandon Staley, this dude is something special. Light years away from Anthony Lynn. Huge fan of Justin Herbert.

    Dak was great in the season opener, will he be enough? The Dallas D is suspect.

    Dallas really brought their A game trying to upset the SB champs, it'll be tough to duplicate that again vs a buttoned up team.

    Packers -10.5(-110) *1.00/.91

    Some things gonna get right, real quick. I hate Aaron Rogers as much as some of his team mates, he'll go to work here.

    Reply

    NFL picks:

    Bears -3(+100) *2.00

    2.5 at some shops with heavy juice, I'll wait.

    If the Bears lose this one, they are starring at 0-3 after Cleveland. Gotta win here at home.

    I think Burrow will get much more pressure up the middle from Akiem Hicks, and Eddie Goldman might return. The Rams did a lot of play action bootleg to get Stafford outside the pocket. The Bengals don't do that.

    The Bengals played almost an entire OT period to barely squeek by the Vikings. It's early in the season, maybe fatigue won't matter, but it's something. 

    Like Hugh said, the final score of the Rams/Bears game didn't reflect the Bears play on the field(minus their secondary play at times). The Rams are that good.

    The Bears o line held up well. Marquise Goodwin was a nice under the radar acquisition imo. David Montgomery is a beast. He is sneaky good in traffic.

    I watched the Cinci and Bears week 1 games twice now, fwiw.

    Cinci OTR now, the spread is telling us that both teams are even? I think not.

    Eagles +3.5(-110) *1.00/.91

    I don't know, just feels like a sharp play for reasons unknown to me. And I need a dog on my card.

    Chargers -3(-105) *1.00/.95

    Trust in Brandon Staley, this dude is something special. Light years away from Anthony Lynn. Huge fan of Justin Herbert.

    Dak was great in the season opener, will he be enough? The Dallas D is suspect.

    Dallas really brought their A game trying to upset the SB champs, it'll be tough to duplicate that again vs a buttoned up team.

    Packers -10.5(-110) *1.00/.91

    Some things gonna get right, real quick. I hate Aaron Rogers as much as some of his team mates, he'll go to work here.

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 4:42 AM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    First wager WFT -3 (15) @tw I lean Indy +4, but need to look further into what happened to them last week. I love Reich, and believe he can get Wentz back to respectable, but wtf happened to their defense??? No opinion on ATL/TB. As I stated in the preseason thread, I feel the Bucs D is overrated, but that offense is special. 12.5 seems like the right number. Should it hit 14 I will be on the Falcons for a small wager
    I'm not sold on Indy's D. I just bout put in WFT yesterday..true story. peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    First wager WFT -3 (15) @tw I lean Indy +4, but need to look further into what happened to them last week. I love Reich, and believe he can get Wentz back to respectable, but wtf happened to their defense??? No opinion on ATL/TB. As I stated in the preseason thread, I feel the Bucs D is overrated, but that offense is special. 12.5 seems like the right number. Should it hit 14 I will be on the Falcons for a small wager
    I'm not sold on Indy's D. I just bout put in WFT yesterday..true story. peace_5

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 4:51 AM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    @undermysac  Clev fans are crazier than a veronica27 thread. Be careful
     an_roll_laugh

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

    @undermysac  Clev fans are crazier than a veronica27 thread. Be careful
     an_roll_laugh

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 5:37 AM ET #30

    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    Aaron Rogers said, "it was just one game".   That's gotta fire up the cheeseheads.   Had he not said that the line would have been 9.5. I lean DET with that whopping 10.5
    If this was on sunday & with a trip to S.F. on deck i suppose Pack would have been content with the W, but with it being a stand alone game and after a week of hearing how they stink, if the Pack gets rolling i dont see them applying the brakes. peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    Aaron Rogers said, "it was just one game".   That's gotta fire up the cheeseheads.   Had he not said that the line would have been 9.5. I lean DET with that whopping 10.5
    If this was on sunday & with a trip to S.F. on deck i suppose Pack would have been content with the W, but with it being a stand alone game and after a week of hearing how they stink, if the Pack gets rolling i dont see them applying the brakes. peace_5

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 6:17 AM ET #31

    6 games lined @ 50 or more and 3 @ 48 cool

    Balty @ 55 may just be a general principal U play and Philly bet up to 50 from 48 may be moving the wrong way imo.

    Reply

    6 games lined @ 50 or more and 3 @ 48 cool

    Balty @ 55 may just be a general principal U play and Philly bet up to 50 from 48 may be moving the wrong way imo.

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 7:18 AM ET #32

    Pats jumped 2 pts to 6 over Jets so i look into it and i think i know why.

    Panthers hold Jets to 45 yds rushing on 17 att.

    Pats hold Miami to 74 yds on 23 att.

    you let that sumbitch get to 7 reallyhappy

    Reply

    Pats jumped 2 pts to 6 over Jets so i look into it and i think i know why.

    Panthers hold Jets to 45 yds rushing on 17 att.

    Pats hold Miami to 74 yds on 23 att.

    you let that sumbitch get to 7 reallyhappy

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 8:12 AM ET #33

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Pats jumped 2 pts to 6 over Jets so i look into it and i think i know why. Panthers hold Jets to 45 yds rushing on 17 att. Pats hold Miami to 74 yds on 23 att. you let that sumbitch get to 7

    Sounds like an under in the making, don't tell Cyrax. 2 rookie qbs as well

    peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Pats jumped 2 pts to 6 over Jets so i look into it and i think i know why. Panthers hold Jets to 45 yds rushing on 17 att. Pats hold Miami to 74 yds on 23 att. you let that sumbitch get to 7

    Sounds like an under in the making, don't tell Cyrax. 2 rookie qbs as well

    peace_5

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 8:37 AM ET #34

    @Biscuiteater1

     no chance Ravens CB's except # 44  are Food Lion employees.....an_beatup

    Reply

    @Biscuiteater1

     no chance Ravens CB's except # 44  are Food Lion employees.....an_beatup

     
    djbrow
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 10:30 AM ET #35

    I like that most pundits give the Vikes no chance. 

     

    I watched that Bengals game and they aren't bad. Plus, they really only had one big play. Our offense was always going to be conservative and struggle. Our D is certainly better than the Titans, who always start slow. 

     

     

    Reply

    I like that most pundits give the Vikes no chance. 

     

    I watched that Bengals game and they aren't bad. Plus, they really only had one big play. Our offense was always going to be conservative and struggle. Our D is certainly better than the Titans, who always start slow. 

     

     

     
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 11:45 AM ET #36

    @djbrow

     I agree completely.  What people don’t realize is that was an absolute flag fest for Arizona that entire game.  Very undisciplined team that you can tell really missed out on a pre season 

    Reply

    @djbrow

     I agree completely.  What people don’t realize is that was an absolute flag fest for Arizona that entire game.  Very undisciplined team that you can tell really missed out on a pre season 

     
    Hugh_Jorgan
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 11:59 AM ET #37

    Similar to last week, I am out of town again until Sunday, so will post my plays now.

    I already posted I'm on WFT tomorrow night. The only cause for concern is history. For whatever reason some teams just seem to have the other teams number. NYG have won 5 straight vs WFT. I went back to 2000, and NY is 29-13 over that span. Those are won/loss stats, not ATS.

    WFT -3 (15)

    N.O. -3 (20) Initial lean was Car, but I'm betting on the dominant D

    Chi -2.5 with my fingers crossed

    Buff -3.5 (05)

    Indy +4, ML

    SF -3.5

    Minn +3.5 betting the line here, no other reason to be on Minny.

    Dal +3 (E), ML not locked in yet because I expect it to hit 3.5

    Might still bet NE, and will def have a pick in the KC-Shrimp game peace_5

     

    bigreds daddy
    Reply

    Similar to last week, I am out of town again until Sunday, so will post my plays now.

    I already posted I'm on WFT tomorrow night. The only cause for concern is history. For whatever reason some teams just seem to have the other teams number. NYG have won 5 straight vs WFT. I went back to 2000, and NY is 29-13 over that span. Those are won/loss stats, not ATS.

    WFT -3 (15)

    N.O. -3 (20) Initial lean was Car, but I'm betting on the dominant D

    Chi -2.5 with my fingers crossed

    Buff -3.5 (05)

    Indy +4, ML

    SF -3.5

    Minn +3.5 betting the line here, no other reason to be on Minny.

    Dal +3 (E), ML not locked in yet because I expect it to hit 3.5

    Might still bet NE, and will def have a pick in the KC-Shrimp game peace_5

     

     
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 1:26 PM ET #38

    first play of the week locked before it moves any more 

     

    Panthers  +3.5

     

    GL

    Reply

    first play of the week locked before it moves any more 

     

    Panthers  +3.5

     

    GL

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 1:46 PM ET #39

    We're going against each other on a lot of picks

    an_nailbiter

    Reply

    We're going against each other on a lot of picks

    an_nailbiter

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 1:57 PM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by djbrow:

    I like that most pundits give the Vikes no chance.    I watched that Bengals game and they aren't bad. Plus, they really only had one big play. Our offense was always going to be conservative and struggle. Our D is certainly better than the Titans, who always start slow.

    I kinda liked the Vikings right when I saw the line, it opened +3 I believe,  then the inevitable happened 

    peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by djbrow:

    I like that most pundits give the Vikes no chance.    I watched that Bengals game and they aren't bad. Plus, they really only had one big play. Our offense was always going to be conservative and struggle. Our D is certainly better than the Titans, who always start slow.

    I kinda liked the Vikings right when I saw the line, it opened +3 I believe,  then the inevitable happened 

    peace_5

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 2:01 PM ET #41

    Ah fuck, Royals play canceled,  pitching change

    Reply

    Ah fuck, Royals play canceled,  pitching change

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 2:58 PM ET #42

    Wednesday :

    Orioles 1st 5 ML(+135) *1/1.35

    Cortes/Means listed

    Red and Biscuit gonna tag along? an_cheers

    Reply

    Wednesday :

    Orioles 1st 5 ML(+135) *1/1.35

    Cortes/Means listed

    Red and Biscuit gonna tag along? an_cheers

     
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 3:23 PM ET #43

    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

    first play of the week locked before it moves any more    Panthers  +3.5   GL

     

    adding

     

    Eagles +3.5 

     

    GL

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

    first play of the week locked before it moves any more    Panthers  +3.5   GL

     

    adding

     

    Eagles +3.5 

     

    GL

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 4:41 PM ET #44

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Wednesday : Orioles 1st 5 ML(+135) *1/1.35 Cortes/Means listed Red and Biscuit gonna tag along?
    No but i likes the play and will be watching.reallyhappy

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Wednesday : Orioles 1st 5 ML(+135) *1/1.35 Cortes/Means listed Red and Biscuit gonna tag along?
    No but i likes the play and will be watching.reallyhappy

     
    packersbackers
    packersbackers
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    Posts: 52975
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 5:13 PM ET #45

    Did you guys see what happened in the Lions/Niners game? Scal took SF -8.5 and The People's Champ win had Detroit +10...the more things change, the more they stay the same...snow in Laramie expected approximately 2 months from now... an_light

     

    Week 2, eyeballing Lions ATS again and the Joe Burrows Football Team ML...anyone have feedback or insight on these two stinkers?

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
    Reply

    Did you guys see what happened in the Lions/Niners game? Scal took SF -8.5 and The People's Champ win had Detroit +10...the more things change, the more they stay the same...snow in Laramie expected approximately 2 months from now... an_light

     

    Week 2, eyeballing Lions ATS again and the Joe Burrows Football Team ML...anyone have feedback or insight on these two stinkers?

     
    BIGDTITLE
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posts: 26914
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 5:45 PM ET #46

    Cows looking to be without D Law and Randy Gregory on Sunday.   Yikes 

    Reply

    Cows looking to be without D Law and Randy Gregory on Sunday.   Yikes 

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posts: 52568
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 6:13 PM ET #47

    @packersbackers

     Yes, all ready on the other side of both. Not sure if that makes you wrong or not.

    Reply

    @packersbackers

     Yes, all ready on the other side of both. Not sure if that makes you wrong or not.

     
    lbcake
    lbcake
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    Posts: 27074
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 7:16 PM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    @packersbackers  Yes, all ready on the other side of both. Not sure if that makes you wrong or not.

    It means the oddmakers have done their job.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    @packersbackers  Yes, all ready on the other side of both. Not sure if that makes you wrong or not.

    It means the oddmakers have done their job.

     
    djbrow
    djbrow
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    Posts: 15761
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 8:36 PM ET #49

    I think people really underestimate Burrows. He went undefeated for a very bad coach. Yes, he had sick talent around him but Ed Orgeron is capable of losing any game with talent. 

    The thing with Joe is he will not lose you games and he is always good for a couple of big plays. That is how they won.

    I am less concerned with that Vikings loss. I actually think Cinci is a better team then Arizona. Cinci's D will surprise people. 

    I'm with you guys on Buffalo. They looked tight after they took the lead. I don't see that happening again. 

    Also, that NE D is legit. They will struggle to score but this is one of Belecheat's best defensive teams in some time. 

    Reply

    I think people really underestimate Burrows. He went undefeated for a very bad coach. Yes, he had sick talent around him but Ed Orgeron is capable of losing any game with talent. 

    The thing with Joe is he will not lose you games and he is always good for a couple of big plays. That is how they won.

    I am less concerned with that Vikings loss. I actually think Cinci is a better team then Arizona. Cinci's D will surprise people. 

    I'm with you guys on Buffalo. They looked tight after they took the lead. I don't see that happening again. 

    Also, that NE D is legit. They will struggle to score but this is one of Belecheat's best defensive teams in some time. 

     
     
    BWS77
    BWS77
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    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 35351
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2021 - 8:44 PM ET #50

    Quote Originally Posted by djbrow:

    I think people really underestimate Burrows. He went undefeated for a very bad coach. Yes, he had sick talent around him but Ed Orgeron is capable of losing any game with talent.  The thing with Joe is he will not lose you games and he is always good for a couple of big plays. That is how they won. I am less concerned with that Vikings loss. I actually think Cinci is a better team then Arizona. Cinci's D will surprise people.  I'm with you guys on Buffalo. They looked tight after they took the lead. I don't see that happening again.  Also, that NE D is legit. They will struggle to score but this is one of Belecheat's best defensive teams in some time.

     

    He's so underestimated that most people don't realize his last name is Burrow.    cool

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by djbrow:

    I think people really underestimate Burrows. He went undefeated for a very bad coach. Yes, he had sick talent around him but Ed Orgeron is capable of losing any game with talent.  The thing with Joe is he will not lose you games and he is always good for a couple of big plays. That is how they won. I am less concerned with that Vikings loss. I actually think Cinci is a better team then Arizona. Cinci's D will surprise people.  I'm with you guys on Buffalo. They looked tight after they took the lead. I don't see that happening again.  Also, that NE D is legit. They will struggle to score but this is one of Belecheat's best defensive teams in some time.

     

    He's so underestimated that most people don't realize his last name is Burrow.    cool

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