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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    CD Newsletter week 18(safe house edition)

    «First Previous 456 ... 151617 Next Last»
    bigred84
    undermysac
    JDD
    Getty3
    Cranky_Hank
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 680
    Posts: 418
    «First Previous 456 ... 151617 Next Last»
     
    bigred84
    bigred84
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 4:23 PM ET #76

    Sam Howell starts for Washington...peace_5

    Reply

    Sam Howell starts for Washington...peace_5

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 4:38 PM ET #77

    Damn it, Chargers/Broncos line nearly flipped. 

    What's the news?

    Reply

    Damn it, Chargers/Broncos line nearly flipped. 

    What's the news?

     
    JDD
    JDD
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 4:45 PM ET #78

    @undermysac

     Doesn't it kind of make sense?  What do they really have to play for aside from continuity. Staley has no interest in running/showing any offense.  G-Forbid they play starters too long and someone important gets hurt.  That team is just now getting as healthy as they can be.  

    This game is/was Broncos or pass for me.  Since I would rather light a $100 bill on fire after wiping my ass with it than bet on Russel Wilson, it will be pass.

    Chargers don't even really have a homefield advantage.  Barely.  

    Reply

    @undermysac

     Doesn't it kind of make sense?  What do they really have to play for aside from continuity. Staley has no interest in running/showing any offense.  G-Forbid they play starters too long and someone important gets hurt.  That team is just now getting as healthy as they can be.  

    This game is/was Broncos or pass for me.  Since I would rather light a $100 bill on fire after wiping my ass with it than bet on Russel Wilson, it will be pass.

    Chargers don't even really have a homefield advantage.  Barely.  

     
    JDD
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 4:50 PM ET #79

    I have Chargers +2 still anyway.  +100.  2 books. 

    IDK.  f that game.  

     

    Reply

    I have Chargers +2 still anyway.  +100.  2 books. 

    IDK.  f that game.  

     

     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 4:50 PM ET #80

    Give me the Giants +14. Of course they'll be resting many of their starters but Daboll is the type of coach who makes lemonade out of lemons. He's done it all year. Watch these Giants make some noise this week. 

    Reply

    Give me the Giants +14. Of course they'll be resting many of their starters but Daboll is the type of coach who makes lemonade out of lemons. He's done it all year. Watch these Giants make some noise this week. 

     
    Cranky_Hank
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 4:52 PM ET #81

    @JDD

     Thanks peace_5

    Keep at it.
    Reply

    @JDD

     Thanks peace_5

     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 4:55 PM ET #82

    Conversely no one will lay 14 with SF but I will. I think the Cardinals are in total lay down mode (I thought it last week) but this time I'm right. 

    Reply

    Conversely no one will lay 14 with SF but I will. I think the Cardinals are in total lay down mode (I thought it last week) but this time I'm right. 

     
    JDD
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 5:12 PM ET #83

    These comments are why I doubt I will have anything but a few teases for some fun this weekend. I trust this weeks lines and potential personnel decisions like I should have trusted my ex. 

    Reply

    These comments are why I doubt I will have anything but a few teases for some fun this weekend. I trust this weeks lines and potential personnel decisions like I should have trusted my ex. 

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 5:16 PM ET #84

    Here's a good one.

    Teams who are eliminated in the last 2 weeks of the season, who are playing a team who "needs" to win for a playoff chance...

    62% ats the last 32 years

    peace_5

    Reply

    Here's a good one.

    Teams who are eliminated in the last 2 weeks of the season, who are playing a team who "needs" to win for a playoff chance...

    62% ats the last 32 years

    peace_5

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 5:24 PM ET #85

    im on the 38 pct......an_beatup

    Reply

    im on the 38 pct......an_beatup

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 5:26 PM ET #86

    Quote Originally Posted by bigred84:

    im on the 38 pct......

    an_roll_laugh

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by bigred84:

    im on the 38 pct......

    an_roll_laugh

     
    dubz4dummyz
    dubz4dummyz
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 5:30 PM ET #87

    Quote Originally Posted by JDD:

    These comments are why I doubt I will have anything but a few teases for some fun this weekend. I trust this weeks lines and potential personnel decisions like I should have trusted my ex.

     

    an_light 

    Light week for me as well...maybe 1 maybe 2 at most it looking like...not that I'm a bulk picker anywayan_roll_laugh

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by JDD:

    These comments are why I doubt I will have anything but a few teases for some fun this weekend. I trust this weeks lines and potential personnel decisions like I should have trusted my ex.

     

    an_light 

    Light week for me as well...maybe 1 maybe 2 at most it looking like...not that I'm a bulk picker anywayan_roll_laugh

     
    monkeebooger
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 5:42 PM ET #88

    @undermysac

     If Bengals beat Ravens in the early slot game, Chargers is locked into 5th seed without even playing a down (they are scheduled to play 425pm est). The likelihood of bengals winning against no Lamar is high hence the -7 odds.

    herbert was also on the injury list today…

    Reply

    @undermysac

     If Bengals beat Ravens in the early slot game, Chargers is locked into 5th seed without even playing a down (they are scheduled to play 425pm est). The likelihood of bengals winning against no Lamar is high hence the -7 odds.

    herbert was also on the injury list today…

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 5:49 PM ET #89

    @monkeebooger

     peace_5

    My initial thoughts on this game are still strong. 

    I'm gonna ride with Russell Wilson. 

    Most of you guys don't like a lot of games, I'm digging way too many on the other hand.

    Reply

    @monkeebooger

     peace_5

    My initial thoughts on this game are still strong. 

    I'm gonna ride with Russell Wilson. 

    Most of you guys don't like a lot of games, I'm digging way too many on the other hand.

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 5:53 PM ET #90

    Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

    Give me the Giants +14. Of course they'll be resting many of their starters but Daboll is the type of coach who makes lemonade out of lemons. He's done it all year. Watch these Giants make some noise this week.

    You're on my vibe from post #15.

    One more small push and I'm with you

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

    Give me the Giants +14. Of course they'll be resting many of their starters but Daboll is the type of coach who makes lemonade out of lemons. He's done it all year. Watch these Giants make some noise this week.

    You're on my vibe from post #15.

    One more small push and I'm with you

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 6:05 PM ET #91

    S.o.b. the Broncos are now -2.5

    I snoozed. 

    They still win and cover but I'm gonna pass.

    I'll regret it later.

     

    Reply

    S.o.b. the Broncos are now -2.5

    I snoozed. 

    They still win and cover but I'm gonna pass.

    I'll regret it later.

     

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 6:29 PM ET #92

    Bengals Bills week 19  

    AFC playoffs pushed back 1 week...

    Rumor....confused

    Reply

    Bengals Bills week 19  

    AFC playoffs pushed back 1 week...

    Rumor....confused

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 6:36 PM ET #93

    Quote Originally Posted by bigred84:

    Bengals Bills week 19   AFC playoffs pushed back 1 week... Rumor....

    No way that they fuck every nfl team in the playoffs for one game.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by bigred84:

    Bengals Bills week 19   AFC playoffs pushed back 1 week... Rumor....

    No way that they fuck every nfl team in the playoffs for one game.

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 7:05 PM ET #94

    https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/anchor-baby-a-yknot-betting-concept-103703439/4

    What is going on here?

    Reply

    https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/anchor-baby-a-yknot-betting-concept-103703439/4

    What is going on here?

     
    JDD
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 8:01 PM ET #95

    @undermysac

     There was a guy saying the same stuff about 2 weeks ago. Using the same terminology. Anchor. He got banned I think. Now this guy using word anchor. 
    You know I love teases, but imo it takes away the best uses of them if you back yourself into a corner and use the same team too much. Really…..twice is too much……3x is way too much. Same principal as to why people don’t lay -400 chalk regularly. Works until it doesn’t. 

    Reply

    @undermysac

     There was a guy saying the same stuff about 2 weeks ago. Using the same terminology. Anchor. He got banned I think. Now this guy using word anchor. 
    You know I love teases, but imo it takes away the best uses of them if you back yourself into a corner and use the same team too much. Really…..twice is too much……3x is way too much. Same principal as to why people don’t lay -400 chalk regularly. Works until it doesn’t. 

     
    Cranky_Hank
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 9:52 PM ET #96

    Quote Originally Posted by JDD:

    SFAustin Chattanooga Fordham If anyone betting college hoops take a peek at those games today.  Love all of em.

     

    2-1 a winning day!  an_clap

     

    peace_5

    Keep at it.
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by JDD:

    SFAustin Chattanooga Fordham If anyone betting college hoops take a peek at those games today.  Love all of em.

     

    2-1 a winning day!  an_clap

     

    peace_5

     
    JDD
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 10:16 PM ET #97

    @Cranky_Hank

     Straight bets, yes, by the skin of my balls

    also had some teases with coll of charleston, fordham, SFA.

    wake and drake in tease too.

    and then after looking at UConn/Prov game I added Prov to teaser getting 13.5 at home with Davidson and Indy State.

    Lost on St. Louis outright though.

    Still have the Prov/Wake bets live

    I rarely post my teases.  When I get on a roll you guys would think I was crazy. Usually only bet NCAA 2/3 days a week.  Follow on other days, but it is a fuck-ton of work to keep up with dude.  Truly it is the most profitable sport for me if I were to ever make a calculation of "time spent capping"/"return" but only because of the opportunities there are to invest.  NFL only so many per week.  NCAA.....almost unlimited to some extent.....I end up making short list, then shorter list, for teases and straights.  Sticky Tabs fucking everywhere.

     

    Reply

    @Cranky_Hank

     Straight bets, yes, by the skin of my balls

    also had some teases with coll of charleston, fordham, SFA.

    wake and drake in tease too.

    and then after looking at UConn/Prov game I added Prov to teaser getting 13.5 at home with Davidson and Indy State.

    Lost on St. Louis outright though.

    Still have the Prov/Wake bets live

    I rarely post my teases.  When I get on a roll you guys would think I was crazy. Usually only bet NCAA 2/3 days a week.  Follow on other days, but it is a fuck-ton of work to keep up with dude.  Truly it is the most profitable sport for me if I were to ever make a calculation of "time spent capping"/"return" but only because of the opportunities there are to invest.  NFL only so many per week.  NCAA.....almost unlimited to some extent.....I end up making short list, then shorter list, for teases and straights.  Sticky Tabs fucking everywhere.

     

     
    Cranky_Hank
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 10:25 PM ET #98

    I'm impressed.  peace_5

    Keep at it.
    Reply

    I'm impressed.  peace_5

     
    JDD
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 10:26 PM ET #99

    On a completely unrelated topic......I have been with Geico for my car insurance for as long as I can remember.  Something happened to me today that maybe if I pass on to you guys then you can save some money too.

    I have noticed Geico has been raising my rate nonstop for years now, and I have no infractions, and pay the policy in full.  After speaking to them they just gave me the awww shucks inflation blah blah blah explanation and told me this is as low as it can get.

    I called the insurance company that Costco members get recommended to.  It is called Connect.  Same insurance policy, same limits, everything identical......almost half price.  On one car Geico wanted $1032 for a 6 month policy, Connect wanted $558.  I even called Geico and gave them one last shot, and told them if they came within spitting distance I would keep the business there.  Nope.  $1032 or walk, thanks but no thanks.

    I had never been happier to pay $558 in my life, for anything.  This was for full coverage for a car I own outright just FYI.   So if you are with Geico, I would shop around, because I cannot be the only one they are trying to bluff.  It is actually cheaper to join Costco, and pay insurance through Connect, than be with Geico lol.

    Don't say I never did anything for ya when I have a bad betting day lol.

    Reply

    On a completely unrelated topic......I have been with Geico for my car insurance for as long as I can remember.  Something happened to me today that maybe if I pass on to you guys then you can save some money too.

    I have noticed Geico has been raising my rate nonstop for years now, and I have no infractions, and pay the policy in full.  After speaking to them they just gave me the awww shucks inflation blah blah blah explanation and told me this is as low as it can get.

    I called the insurance company that Costco members get recommended to.  It is called Connect.  Same insurance policy, same limits, everything identical......almost half price.  On one car Geico wanted $1032 for a 6 month policy, Connect wanted $558.  I even called Geico and gave them one last shot, and told them if they came within spitting distance I would keep the business there.  Nope.  $1032 or walk, thanks but no thanks.

    I had never been happier to pay $558 in my life, for anything.  This was for full coverage for a car I own outright just FYI.   So if you are with Geico, I would shop around, because I cannot be the only one they are trying to bluff.  It is actually cheaper to join Costco, and pay insurance through Connect, than be with Geico lol.

    Don't say I never did anything for ya when I have a bad betting day lol.

     
     
    Cyrax
    Cyrax
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2008
    Posts: 26609
    Posted: Jan. 4, 2023 - 10:34 PM ET #100

    Quote Originally Posted by JDD:

    On a completely unrelated topic......I have been with Geico for my car insurance for as long as I can remember.  Something happened to me today that maybe if I pass on to you guys then you can save some money too. I have noticed Geico has been raising my rate nonstop for years now, and I have no infractions, and pay the policy in full.  After speaking to them they just gave me the awww shucks inflation blah blah blah explanation and told me this is as low as it can get. I called the insurance company that Costco members get recommended to.  It is called Connect.  Same insurance policy, same limits, everything identical......almost half price.  On one car Geico wanted $1032 for a 6 month policy, Connect wanted $558.  I even called Geico and gave them one last shot, and told them if they came within spitting distance I would keep the business there.  Nope.  $1032 or walk, thanks but no thanks. I had never been happier to pay $558 in my life, for anything.  This was for full coverage for a car I own outright just FYI.   So if you are with Geico, I would shop around, because I cannot be the only one they are trying to bluff.  It is actually cheaper to join Costco, and pay insurance through Connect, than be with Geico lol. Don't say I never did anything for ya when I have a bad betting day lol.

     

    I was in the same situation like you with Allstate 10 years ago. They charged me $1500 for 6 months on 2 cars. I called AAA and they gave me a better coverage for half the price. I told Allstate effected Immediately that I'm cancelling my policy.an_speak

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by JDD:

    On a completely unrelated topic......I have been with Geico for my car insurance for as long as I can remember.  Something happened to me today that maybe if I pass on to you guys then you can save some money too. I have noticed Geico has been raising my rate nonstop for years now, and I have no infractions, and pay the policy in full.  After speaking to them they just gave me the awww shucks inflation blah blah blah explanation and told me this is as low as it can get. I called the insurance company that Costco members get recommended to.  It is called Connect.  Same insurance policy, same limits, everything identical......almost half price.  On one car Geico wanted $1032 for a 6 month policy, Connect wanted $558.  I even called Geico and gave them one last shot, and told them if they came within spitting distance I would keep the business there.  Nope.  $1032 or walk, thanks but no thanks. I had never been happier to pay $558 in my life, for anything.  This was for full coverage for a car I own outright just FYI.   So if you are with Geico, I would shop around, because I cannot be the only one they are trying to bluff.  It is actually cheaper to join Costco, and pay insurance through Connect, than be with Geico lol. Don't say I never did anything for ya when I have a bad betting day lol.

     

    I was in the same situation like you with Allstate 10 years ago. They charged me $1500 for 6 months on 2 cars. I called AAA and they gave me a better coverage for half the price. I told Allstate effected Immediately that I'm cancelling my policy.an_speak

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