CD Newsletter Week 16

Line looks high.....Watt's status 

Think Ravens finally have them in their sights...

Ok I'll get you started. 

Denver is 4-3 ats as a dog

LAC are 7-2 ats as a fav

Denver is 6-2 ats after a win

LAC are 3-2 ats after a loss

This is high level handicapping right here. 

TW wants to be inside me

Heard some talking head/ex coach chirping that the Steelers should switch back to Justin Fields...

I mean, he has 4 wins in 6 games. Meanwhile Caleb Williams has 4 wins in 14 games.

 

Flex: NFL has moved the Dolphins-Browns game out of Sunday Night Football in Week 17 and replaced it with Falcons vs. Commanders.

Makes total sense to me!

Not his fault

Bears O line is 

 

 

 

 

@bigred84

 But when Fields was the qb, the o line wasn't a problem? Got it.

Also, everyone said that Fields held the ball too long. It's kinda what Caleb also does.

One thing I can agree on, is that both these qb's have had terrible coaching, and a revolving door of OC's. That's not good for anyone 

I’d wait to make any moves involving KC

reading he was listed as a full participant in practice today

medicine has come a long way

unless…..

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

he was faking

 Caleb

By golly, Mahomes was a full participant in practice today. The line has flipped to KC -2.5

This dude might join Broadway after his career is done, the way he limped off the field on Sunday 

Don't trust everything you see

 

I bought out of the Colts bet..I might be looking at the Over instead... so far it's just...

 

Redskins +3

 

 

 

Wont matter who starts it's an L  

What a great week to take Carolina +4, I'll wait for +4.5 possibly 5.

The combination of Will Levis and Mason Rudolph led to 27 points(missed extra pt) vs the vaunted Bengals defense. 

The Browns TT sits at 16.5 vs the Bengals with DTR at qb. You can currently get the over at +145 at bovada. Nick Chub is also out, but he wasn't doing much when playing this year.

I'll wait for the Commanders line to get back to 3.5, it's getting there. But, will the Commanders be another sharp play that gets destroyed by a public fav? It's been a common theme lately. 

Everyone hates the Vikings, just check my thread in the mains. This is a good thing, let their perception be shit. They are a very good team.

Hot damn I'm leaning Jets plus the points at home. First time since week 1, I'm 0-1 on the Jets this year and have avoided them like the plague this year. It feels like they are a team that have figured things out a little too late.

Post of the year right here. And I'm afraid that it's factual 

Took Eagles -3.5 bought down to 2.5...

Should have waited..

Skins oline gave up 8 sacks to the  Saints..

Eagles D line will eat them alive...

off the net...

The Bears and Giants are the only teams in the league without a 50+ passing play this season.

 

All things being somewhat equal gimmie the home team to pull it out.   

This was the only game the Chargers have got their ass whooped this season. The rails fell off in the Steelers game, but both their pro bowl level tackles left the game and that's when the wheels fell off.

There's no way to know for certain, but part of me wonders if the Chargers were looking ahead towards this Broncos game tomorrow. This game is obviously much more important as it relates to playoff seeding (being an in-conference and in-division game). I know that Denzel Perryman -- the team's best run defender -- could have played last week, but beat reporters mentioned that the team wanted to save him for this game and give him that extra time to heal up (groin). Also, the Chargers began derailing last week against the Buccs once starting CB, Cam Hart, left. The team's depth leaves a lot to be desired.

The Broncos are also dealing with some injuries -- the key one being Patrick Surtain, but is looking like a situation in which he might play. (Full participant in practice yesterday.) Riley Moss was limited.

I'll be at the game tomorrow, and perhaps the tailgate section earlier on, so I won't have any thoughts to share after tonight. But you'll read an eyeful form me when I get home.

Another angle I've drummed up in my mind could be an x-factor. Sean Payton really wanted to be the Chargers head coach prior to Staley's last year. There was talk that he had a shot after that 2H meltdown in the Jaguars WC game. The Chargers decided to give Staley one more year and pivoted away from Payton. From what I read at the time, he scoffed at the lack of interest. (Keep in mind, the Chargers would have had to trade for him, like the Broncos did. I sure as hell didn't want him.)

Anyway, the Chargers ended up going with a "big name" head coach this year that he probably wants to remind the Chargers organization that they could've had him instead.

I see that he's already firing up the Broncos fanbase by telling them to be loud. Yeah, I get it, normal stuff that any head coach would want, but I get this feeling it's more personable with him. Especially with the fact that the Chargers beat them *in* Denver earlier this year.

How will Jim Harbaugh and Jesse Minter respond after that drubbing last weekend? (I have no hope for Greg Roman.) We'll find out.

This could go either way, I agree. But momentum wise, the Broncos seem to have it. They've won their last 4 games (granted, their opponents weren't any of the top teams in the NFL -- Colts, Browns, Raiders, Falcons), but momentum has its advantages. The last game they lost was to the Chiefs by 2 points. As they say, you can only play who's on your schedule.

The Chargers have lost 3 of their last four, with the Chiefs game also a loss by 2 points. (F**k the Chiefs, btw.) The way they beat the Falcons wasn't awe-inspiring. I will say that, based on their most recent common opponents, the Chargers kept the Ravens game close, whereas the Broncos got decimated. But with the Falcons, the Broncos won handily whereas the Chargers squeezed one out. Above all else, the Chargers are not the same team without Dobbins. They have no run game without him, and that's in due part to their extremely weak IOL. 

The Broncos are one of the more blitz happy teams in the NFL, so if the Buccs gave that O-line problems, the Broncos surely will too.

"This was the only game the Chargers have got their ass whooped this season. The rails fell off in the Steelers game, but both their pro bowl level tackles left the game and that's when the wheels fell off."

I realized this statement didn't make sense. "The Buccs game was the only game the Chargers have got their ass whooped on this season."

There.

Call me a winner , but I kinda like The Giants+8.5 and ML+320  

@iConsciousness

 Thanks for the thoughts.

What's up with Herbert's ankle? Or is it foot?

Seems like he hasn't been mobile the last few games.

Epa and success rate #"s have been dropping with the Chargers the last 4 to 5 games.

Something isn't right with them.

That being said, there's no way that I'll bet on the Broncos in this game. They've been really good to me lately. But it's on the road, in division, and on a short week. No thanks, these TNF games can get weird fast.

All things point to an UNDER as well imo.

Cy, no Cyrax special here. Eat some pho and watch instead.