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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    CD Newsletter Week 15

    «First Previous 234 ... 161718 Next Last»
    undermysac
    Getty3
    JDD
    bigred84
    dubz4dummyz
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 631
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    «First Previous 234 ... 161718 Next Last»
     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 1:59 PM ET #26

    MNF

    Rams +7.5 @ Packers 40

    I bet the schedule makers thought that they had a gem of a game in the making when they put this one on a prime time slate. 

    For esthetic purposes,  I will write a few things down.

    The Packers are off a bye.

    The Rams on 10 days rest.

    Both quarterbacks are assholes in their own right.

    This game will be on the TV as 75% of us will be working on week 16's games.

    I think that's all of em, good luck guys

    Reply

    MNF

    Rams +7.5 @ Packers 40

    I bet the schedule makers thought that they had a gem of a game in the making when they put this one on a prime time slate. 

    For esthetic purposes,  I will write a few things down.

    The Packers are off a bye.

    The Rams on 10 days rest.

    Both quarterbacks are assholes in their own right.

    This game will be on the TV as 75% of us will be working on week 16's games.

    I think that's all of em, good luck guys

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:00 PM ET #27

    One less post and I would of gotten all of the games onto page 1

    an_arsed

    Reply

    One less post and I would of gotten all of the games onto page 1

    an_arsed

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:03 PM ET #28

    Cowboys RT Terence Steel out for the year

    Reply

    Cowboys RT Terence Steel out for the year

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:12 PM ET #29

    70-56-7 (+22.06)

    Ravens +3(-110) *1.25/1.14

    Ravens ML(+135) *.25/.34

    Bears +8(-110) *2.25/2.05

    Bears ML(+290) *.35/1.02

    Falcons +4.5(-110) *2.50/2.27

    Falcons ML(+175) *.50/.88

    Futures

    AFC:

    Chiefs(+250) *1.00/2.50

    Bengals(+650) *1.00/6.50

    NFC: 

    Cowboys(+300) *1.00/3.00

    Seahawks(+2200) *1.00/22.00

    SB:

    Chiefs(+500) *.50/2.50

    Bengals(+1200) *.50/6.00

    Cowboys(+750) *.50/3.75

    Seahawks(+5000) *.50/25.00

    Reply

    70-56-7 (+22.06)

    Ravens +3(-110) *1.25/1.14

    Ravens ML(+135) *.25/.34

    Bears +8(-110) *2.25/2.05

    Bears ML(+290) *.35/1.02

    Falcons +4.5(-110) *2.50/2.27

    Falcons ML(+175) *.50/.88

    Futures

    AFC:

    Chiefs(+250) *1.00/2.50

    Bengals(+650) *1.00/6.50

    NFC: 

    Cowboys(+300) *1.00/3.00

    Seahawks(+2200) *1.00/22.00

    SB:

    Chiefs(+500) *.50/2.50

    Bengals(+1200) *.50/6.00

    Cowboys(+750) *.50/3.75

    Seahawks(+5000) *.50/25.00

     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:17 PM ET #30

    Deebo Samuel likely out for the remainder of the regular season. Brock Purdy questionable for TNF. If he's a no go the 49ers are down to a 4th string QB who is 56 year old journeyman Josh Johnson. This is Johnson's 4th time as a 49er (is that a record?) .His football history between numerous stints with numerous NFL teams plus his years in the UFL and XFL is fascinating. He has been under contract with 17 different football teams in his career. (definitely a record an_roll_laugh)

    Reply

    Deebo Samuel likely out for the remainder of the regular season. Brock Purdy questionable for TNF. If he's a no go the 49ers are down to a 4th string QB who is 56 year old journeyman Josh Johnson. This is Johnson's 4th time as a 49er (is that a record?) .His football history between numerous stints with numerous NFL teams plus his years in the UFL and XFL is fascinating. He has been under contract with 17 different football teams in his career. (definitely a record an_roll_laugh)

     
    JDD
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:24 PM ET #31

    I think my card this week is pretty much complete.  Lookaheads.  The rest will be teases. 

    Chargers -1.5  @ -112 1 unit  

    Lions +3 @ -112 3 units

    Steelers -1.5 @ -105 1 unit

    Cards +2 @ -105 1 unit

    Bengals -2.5 @ -112 1 units

    Bengals 1 unit -110 to win division.  I bit last week. Only because I don't like them

    Sauce Gardner to win DROY 1 unit @ +1050 odds. 

    I have about 20 other statistical futures, which when they all get graded, based on where they are or look like they will be, should net +0.35 units.  Exciting.  The Lamar Jackson, Zach Wilson, and Matt Stafford yardage unders, plus the Miles Sanders yards and TD props are evening out bad bets like Kyle Pitts yardage over, Kittle yards over, and the Bucs win total .  

    I think that the Bucs, in that division, are the biggest bust of the year.  Who else? Denver? Raiders? Did anyone really expect either of them to do what they hadn't done? These Bucs are a poop pillow.  I can't believe I confidently bet their team total over.

    Reply

    I think my card this week is pretty much complete.  Lookaheads.  The rest will be teases. 

    Chargers -1.5  @ -112 1 unit  

    Lions +3 @ -112 3 units

    Steelers -1.5 @ -105 1 unit

    Cards +2 @ -105 1 unit

    Bengals -2.5 @ -112 1 units

    Bengals 1 unit -110 to win division.  I bit last week. Only because I don't like them

    Sauce Gardner to win DROY 1 unit @ +1050 odds. 

    I have about 20 other statistical futures, which when they all get graded, based on where they are or look like they will be, should net +0.35 units.  Exciting.  The Lamar Jackson, Zach Wilson, and Matt Stafford yardage unders, plus the Miles Sanders yards and TD props are evening out bad bets like Kyle Pitts yardage over, Kittle yards over, and the Bucs win total .  

    I think that the Bucs, in that division, are the biggest bust of the year.  Who else? Denver? Raiders? Did anyone really expect either of them to do what they hadn't done? These Bucs are a poop pillow.  I can't believe I confidently bet their team total over.

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:24 PM ET #32

    Josh Johnson might be  better than Cyrax....peace_5

    Reply

    Josh Johnson might be  better than Cyrax....peace_5

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:25 PM ET #33

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Raven / Browns is the exact type of game Ravens find a way to lose.

    You do not say such things as I all ready bet them. That's 3 weeks in a row I'm on your Ravens, and dag gommit, you're coming with me.

    Red, we need a ride

    an_popcorn

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Biscuiteater1:

    Raven / Browns is the exact type of game Ravens find a way to lose.

    You do not say such things as I all ready bet them. That's 3 weeks in a row I'm on your Ravens, and dag gommit, you're coming with me.

    Red, we need a ride

    an_popcorn

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:29 PM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by JDD:

    I have about 20 other statistical futures, which when they all get graded, based on where they are or look like they will be, should net +0.35 units.  Exciting.

    an_roll_laugh

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by JDD:

    I have about 20 other statistical futures, which when they all get graded, based on where they are or look like they will be, should net +0.35 units.  Exciting.

    an_roll_laugh

     
    dubz4dummyz
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:36 PM ET #35

    Real tough slate this week

     

    Initial gut pit/car under 38.5

     

    Will look for a few props but will have to check on weather in a few 

     

    Reply

    Real tough slate this week

     

    Initial gut pit/car under 38.5

     

    Will look for a few props but will have to check on weather in a few 

     

     
    dubz4dummyz
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:37 PM ET #36

    @undermysac

     Debating Henry prop if they dont set it too high...that or maybe titans + the points...but ya titans not gonna do what Miami did

    Reply

    @undermysac

     Debating Henry prop if they dont set it too high...that or maybe titans + the points...but ya titans not gonna do what Miami did

     
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 2:56 PM ET #37

    nicely done  peace_5

    Reply

    nicely done  peace_5

     
    BWS77
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 3:23 PM ET #38

    Watch those weather reports!

    Reply

    Watch those weather reports!

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 3:36 PM ET #39

    Listening to a podcast with Chris Andrews(bookie).

    Says that their best win yesterday was the Bengals. 

    You heard that right, sharp $ was all over the Browns, and a lot of it.

    You gotta wonder who these people are sometimes. 

    In another thread I heard someone say that a syndicate caught wind of the Bengals having the flu.

    Didn't look like it on Sunday. Nor were there any reports of anyone with the flu before or after the game.

    an_beatup

    Reply

    Listening to a podcast with Chris Andrews(bookie).

    Says that their best win yesterday was the Bengals. 

    You heard that right, sharp $ was all over the Browns, and a lot of it.

    You gotta wonder who these people are sometimes. 

    In another thread I heard someone say that a syndicate caught wind of the Bengals having the flu.

    Didn't look like it on Sunday. Nor were there any reports of anyone with the flu before or after the game.

    an_beatup

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 4:00 PM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Saturday: Ravens +2.5 @ Cleveland 37 Look ahead was +3, and I took it. Do we still think that Watson is an upgrade over Brissett, and that Huntley is a downgrade of Lamar? This is the perfect situation for us as sharp bettors who like dogs. One unforseen caveat before yesterday was that Huntley got hurt. Concussion protocol. He looked pretty sprite running into the locker room though. The Browns dream crusher came yesterday. They're done. Do the players like Watson? He's just an over paid dude that has to play because the Browns organization doesn't want to look like idiots in sitting a guy that they paid so much. The more I think about it, it's too late, they look like idiots. This line tells us that the Ravens would be what +.5 on a neutral, -2.5 in Baltimore? Weird stuff.

    Still on the same podcast. Chris Andrews just said, "the Browns signing DeSean Watson is arguably the worst contract in the history of American sports"

    an_roll_laugh

    He also pointed out that he won only 4 games with the Texans in his final year there. Then the rub n tug scandal 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Saturday: Ravens +2.5 @ Cleveland 37 Look ahead was +3, and I took it. Do we still think that Watson is an upgrade over Brissett, and that Huntley is a downgrade of Lamar? This is the perfect situation for us as sharp bettors who like dogs. One unforseen caveat before yesterday was that Huntley got hurt. Concussion protocol. He looked pretty sprite running into the locker room though. The Browns dream crusher came yesterday. They're done. Do the players like Watson? He's just an over paid dude that has to play because the Browns organization doesn't want to look like idiots in sitting a guy that they paid so much. The more I think about it, it's too late, they look like idiots. This line tells us that the Ravens would be what +.5 on a neutral, -2.5 in Baltimore? Weird stuff.

    Still on the same podcast. Chris Andrews just said, "the Browns signing DeSean Watson is arguably the worst contract in the history of American sports"

    an_roll_laugh

    He also pointed out that he won only 4 games with the Texans in his final year there. Then the rub n tug scandal 

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 4:18 PM ET #41

    https://nypost.com/2022/12/11/quinnen-williams-leaves-jets-bills-game-in-major-injury-concern/

    This may be the single most important injury going into week 15, since the playoff implications are huge between Detroit and the Jets.

    When Williams left the game, the Bills scored on 4 straight drives.

    Not to downplay Mike White's injury, but the Jets hang their hat on defense. 

    Reply

    https://nypost.com/2022/12/11/quinnen-williams-leaves-jets-bills-game-in-major-injury-concern/

    This may be the single most important injury going into week 15, since the playoff implications are huge between Detroit and the Jets.

    When Williams left the game, the Bills scored on 4 straight drives.

    Not to downplay Mike White's injury, but the Jets hang their hat on defense. 

     
    BWS77
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 5:21 PM ET #42

    It makes me physically ill to think I'll be hoping the Browns win this weekend to help my Bengals division future.  With that said, I'm sitting out the remaining few weeks as my regular season futures/props are all looking good except for the Lions Under 6.5 wins.   No need to hurt those winnings and with all these injuries, weird game days and teams quitting I'm not messing with it.  

    Reply

    It makes me physically ill to think I'll be hoping the Browns win this weekend to help my Bengals division future.  With that said, I'm sitting out the remaining few weeks as my regular season futures/props are all looking good except for the Lions Under 6.5 wins.   No need to hurt those winnings and with all these injuries, weird game days and teams quitting I'm not messing with it.  

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 5:28 PM ET #43

    Phuck the Browns....peace_5

    Reply

    Phuck the Browns....peace_5

     
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 5:30 PM ET #44

    @bigred84

     

     

    Watch the fucking language ....some of us are christians peace_5

    Reply

    @bigred84

     

     

    Watch the fucking language ....some of us are christians peace_5

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 5:34 PM ET #45

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    @bigred84   Watch the fucking language ....some of us our christians

    Well, he did use ph instead of f at least

    reallyhappy

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    @bigred84   Watch the fucking language ....some of us our christians

    Well, he did use ph instead of f at least

    reallyhappy

     
    bigred84
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 5:40 PM ET #46

    @trainwreck66

     Chester  ....sadly not you though....peace_5

    Reply

    @trainwreck66

     Chester  ....sadly not you though....peace_5

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 5:52 PM ET #47

    Significant move, Cardinals move from pick to -2.5 @ Denver. I'm assuming Russell Wilson will be out for sure...but is that a bad thing?

    The Cardinals vs Pats hasn't kicked off yet. I'm tempted to bet Denver +2.5 now, as the Cardinals could sustain injuries and will be on a short week.

    JDD, you are in a nice middling zone peace_5

    Reply

    Significant move, Cardinals move from pick to -2.5 @ Denver. I'm assuming Russell Wilson will be out for sure...but is that a bad thing?

    The Cardinals vs Pats hasn't kicked off yet. I'm tempted to bet Denver +2.5 now, as the Cardinals could sustain injuries and will be on a short week.

    JDD, you are in a nice middling zone peace_5

     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 5:56 PM ET #48

    As far as the "just pick the winner and don't worry about the spread" goes, there is a glaring exception. In the Mahomes era KC as a divisional road favorite of 7 or more is 8-0 S/U and 1-7 ATS. What does this have to do with this week? Absolutely nothing because even though they're a road favorite of 7+ they are not playing in division. 

    Hugh knows the Jaguars are going to catch the Cowboys sleeping for the 2nd straight week. Dallas has nothing to play for yet and Jax has a path to the playoffs with a win. I see early money is on Jax.

    On a very sad note I realize that college football coach Mike Leach is near death after a cardiac episode. Leach is a character. Pete Prisco shared some stories about him when he was a regular on the Jax sports radio scene. They would always end in a laugh. Very funny, eccentric man.  Prayers to Mike peace

    Reply

    As far as the "just pick the winner and don't worry about the spread" goes, there is a glaring exception. In the Mahomes era KC as a divisional road favorite of 7 or more is 8-0 S/U and 1-7 ATS. What does this have to do with this week? Absolutely nothing because even though they're a road favorite of 7+ they are not playing in division. 

    Hugh knows the Jaguars are going to catch the Cowboys sleeping for the 2nd straight week. Dallas has nothing to play for yet and Jax has a path to the playoffs with a win. I see early money is on Jax.

    On a very sad note I realize that college football coach Mike Leach is near death after a cardiac episode. Leach is a character. Pete Prisco shared some stories about him when he was a regular on the Jax sports radio scene. They would always end in a laugh. Very funny, eccentric man.  Prayers to Mike peace

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 5:58 PM ET #49

    Agreed crazy as a fox...prayers to him....peace

    Reply

    Agreed crazy as a fox...prayers to him....peace

     
     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2022 - 6:03 PM ET #50

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Significant move, Cardinals move from pick to -2.5 @ Denver. I'm assuming Russell Wilson will be out for sure...but is that a bad thing? The Cardinals vs Pats hasn't kicked off yet. I'm tempted to bet Denver +2.5 now, as the Cardinals could sustain injuries and will be on a short week. JDD, you are in a nice middling zone

    What's the total? That game could go under 30. Ugly ass football at Mile High.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Significant move, Cardinals move from pick to -2.5 @ Denver. I'm assuming Russell Wilson will be out for sure...but is that a bad thing? The Cardinals vs Pats hasn't kicked off yet. I'm tempted to bet Denver +2.5 now, as the Cardinals could sustain injuries and will be on a short week. JDD, you are in a nice middling zone

    What's the total? That game could go under 30. Ugly ass football at Mile High.

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