CD Newsletter Week 14

@undermysac

I know how to hedge ...does any one think the Giants win outright?

Most people would hedge with straight gmen ML is all I'm saying. 

I presented a middle. 

Good Luck 

Possibly, but not putting my money on it.

As for the hedge ... what Sac said

@undermysac

I appreciate it and thought about the 6 or the +7. I just dont see it. was wondering if the Pack may have a letdown but are pushing for playoffs 

One play tonight after an eventful but profitable weekend:

Tyreek Hill Under 112.5 rec yards.

My buddy said Oregon St coach left and took 3 assistants with him.

Tough game to cap, Oregon st is mess themselves. 

Dolphins RB Devon Achane has had only 4 games this year where he's had more than 5 total touches. In those 4 games he's accumulated 626 yards of total offense and 9 TDs. Think about that for a second. He and Mostert will be the Miami offense tonight while Hill takes a backseat to Vrabel's defense doubling him all night. (Vrabel is a Belichick disciple of taking away the opponent's best offensive weapon.)

@Getty3

@Getty3

sound reasoning when it comes to a prop play like this.  only problem is Hill is the most unguardable player on any field. ill be rooting for this but shitting my pants on every play    

Thoughts:

1. Never listen to 1129ken when the subject is gambling;

2. I have the Giants ML tonight because I don’t see GB as a particularly good team. I also think they spent all their energy beating KC in a game where the Chiefs were looking ahead to Buffalo. I see the line as an overreaction to that, especially with a mediocre team on the road.

Best of luck.

So the Colts entered the Bengals game with 52 sacks, 2nd in the league behind the Ravens. 

They finished the game with 52 sacks.

I'm re-watching that game now. Entering the 4th quarter they haven't blitzed Jake Browning once.

Browning dislocated his thumb on his throwing hand early in the fourth quarter, had to run back into the locker room. He missed one series and came back. He threw only one pass afterwards(nearly the entire 4th quarter) which was a screen pass.

Next week vs the Vikings and Brian Flores, he will see something completely different. They blitz more than anyone. 

Food for thought 

Giants ML? You are a brave man.

To me, the fact that they are starting Devitto over a healthy Tyrod, who undoubtedly gives them a better chance to win, could be a sign of a team tanking.

The teams argument for playing Devitto is most likely "we want to see what we have in the kid"

That is code for "fuck this season, we are simply trying to figure out who is D Jones backup for next year."

Although I agree with your assessment of there being an overreaction towards the Packers, so the line is a bit inflated

@1129ken

@Hugh_Jorgan

 Was wondering that myself earlier in the week

Tonight I tailed Getty and also that GB can’t stop the run.

Tyreek Hill under 111.5 yards receiving 

S. Barkley over 70.5 yards rushing

@Hugh_Jorgan

 I can’t disagree with any of those thoughts. I know you’re coming around to Love as a legitimate NFL QB but I’m just not there yet. 

Full disclosure: Out of the respect I have had for your handicapping skills, dating back to the days when you engaged Scalabrine in his obnoxious “lose and you must leave Covers” dare, I have been tailing your selections. Five out of six teams yesterday, including two dog money line picks, following a similarly successful week prior, is some nice Christmas spending money. Congratulations and thank you, my friend.

@Getty3

Tyreek 

This is so stupid to have 2 games on at once.

@trainwreck66

 Best of luck 

??

I'm resisting the urge to switch between games.

No clue where the question marks came from.

After 25 mins of this game, I'm not off the Love Train yet, but I am definitely hanging out the window

Thank you for the kind words

You tube multi view FTW 

@BIGDTITLE

 There you go, INT