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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    CD Newsletter Week 12

    «First Previous 456 ... 8910 Next Last»
    undermysac
    Cyrax
    bigred84
    kidd22
    lbcake
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 563
    Posts: 235
    «First Previous 456 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posts: 52735
    Posted: Nov. 19, 2024 - 9:31 PM ET #76

    @Cyrax

     Balls of steel bet on the Titans. They are 1-9 ats this year. Lost their starting center 2 weeks ago. Will Levis...God help your soul, but the line is 1.5 pts too high.

    peace_5

    Reply

    @Cyrax

     Balls of steel bet on the Titans. They are 1-9 ats this year. Lost their starting center 2 weeks ago. Will Levis...God help your soul, but the line is 1.5 pts too high.

    peace_5

     
    Cyrax
    Cyrax
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2024 - 10:33 PM ET #77

    @undermysac

     I know that it's not a popular pick ( just like your Panther pick )  , but popularity don't always win peace_5

    Reply

    @undermysac

     I know that it's not a popular pick ( just like your Panther pick )  , but popularity don't always win peace_5

     
    bigred84
    bigred84
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    Posted: Nov. 20, 2024 - 7:18 AM ET #78

    Quote Originally Posted by lbcake:

    Ur  best post ever.....peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by lbcake:

    Ur  best post ever.....peace_5

     
    kidd22
    kidd22
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    Posts: 17105
    Posted: Nov. 20, 2024 - 2:13 PM ET #79

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmymcnulity:

    i have yet to bet a tues or weds nite game,,,,but tonite i have no responsibilities, no football or hoops practices or games,,,,so i can sit and watch (shitty mac) football,,,,,toledo/ohio over 46,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
    an_popcorn

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmymcnulity:

    i have yet to bet a tues or weds nite game,,,,but tonite i have no responsibilities, no football or hoops practices or games,,,,so i can sit and watch (shitty mac) football,,,,,toledo/ohio over 46,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
    an_popcorn

     
    kidd22
    kidd22
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    Posted: Nov. 20, 2024 - 2:18 PM ET #80

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmymcnulity:

    @kidd22    stars tonite -490 is the highest line for a hockey game i have ever seen,,,,,and san jose beat them 2 nites ago,,,,,
    I can’t recall either a hockey game that high im not much of a hockey guy but that tells me they are going to win and -1.5 must be -200?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmymcnulity:

    @kidd22    stars tonite -490 is the highest line for a hockey game i have ever seen,,,,,and san jose beat them 2 nites ago,,,,,
    I can’t recall either a hockey game that high im not much of a hockey guy but that tells me they are going to win and -1.5 must be -200?

     
    lbcake
    lbcake
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    Posted: Nov. 20, 2024 - 4:37 PM ET #81

    Quote Originally Posted by kidd22:

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmymcnulity: @kidd22    stars tonite -490 is the highest line for a hockey game i have ever seen,,,,,and san jose beat them 2 nites ago,,,,,I can’t recall either a hockey game that high im not much of a hockey guy but that tells me they are going to win and -1.5 must be -200?

    Jimbo they played the Wings, not the Stars.

    I just witnessed a Wales football match where the fav was -1000ish and the dog +2000ish. The dog just won.
    Also the goal line closed at (4.5). It was 3-1 at half - ended 3-1. Over bettors just blacked out. 

    As for that Sharks/Stars game, the best way to play it(IMO) is the +1.5 (+145).
    Sharks L10, 8 of 10 were decided by 1.
    Sharks v Stars L10, 7 of 10 were decided by 1.  

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by kidd22:

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmymcnulity: @kidd22    stars tonite -490 is the highest line for a hockey game i have ever seen,,,,,and san jose beat them 2 nites ago,,,,,I can’t recall either a hockey game that high im not much of a hockey guy but that tells me they are going to win and -1.5 must be -200?

    Jimbo they played the Wings, not the Stars.

    I just witnessed a Wales football match where the fav was -1000ish and the dog +2000ish. The dog just won.
    Also the goal line closed at (4.5). It was 3-1 at half - ended 3-1. Over bettors just blacked out. 

    As for that Sharks/Stars game, the best way to play it(IMO) is the +1.5 (+145).
    Sharks L10, 8 of 10 were decided by 1.
    Sharks v Stars L10, 7 of 10 were decided by 1.  

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 20, 2024 - 5:07 PM ET #82

    43-44-6 (-0.80) YTD

    Cardinals ML(-105) *1.50/1.43

    Panthers +11.5(-110) *3.30/3.00

    Panthers ML(+490) *.70/3.43

    Texans 1H -4.5(-110) *1.00/.91

    Chargers 1H ML(+115) *1.00/1.15

    Rams +2.5(+102) *1.00/1.02

    Vikings 1Q ML(-130) *2.00/1.54

    Vikings 1Q -0.5(+130) *1.50/1.95

    Vikings 1H -1.5(-110) *1.00/.91

    Did you know, that the Bears are the only team to have not scored first in any given game? They are 0-7-3 in the first quarter this year.

    The Vikings are 8-1-1 in the first quarter this year. Including a 10-0 win vs the Lions.

    The Vikings are #2 on offense epa per play in the 1Q, and the Bears are #27 in the 1Q.

    Defensively the Vikings are #2 in the 1Q, and the Bears are #23 in the 1Q.

    It looks like DeAndre Swift is missing this game. They traded Khalil Herbert to the Bengals 2 weeks ago. That leaves a slow footed(but strong) Roschon Johnson at RB. I can't even name another RB on the roster.

    The best angle here, the Bears OC has only called one game in his career, vs Brian Flores, and Caleb is a rookie who hasn't come close to seeing a really tough defense. Until the Purple People Eaters come to town.

    On the flip side, the Bears have been #1 in blitz rate the last 2 years. Eberflus likes to blitz from everywhere, including the secondary. This is not the way to attack Sam Darnold. He has been the best QB vs the blitz this year. Until recently, teams have stopped blitzing him and his play has fell off some.

    https://youtu.be/_EW1pSPU4ZU?si=HB6RM_-RzXrErU-r

    I'd like to think that the Bears have been watching that tape and noticing it as well. But I know this Bears coaching too well to know that they will continue to be themselves. Absolute idiots.

    Kevin O'Connell>Eberflus 

    Vikings sos #13

    Bears sos #30

    Vikings 1H PR #5(5.5), Bears 1H #24(-3.2)

    Reply

    43-44-6 (-0.80) YTD

    Cardinals ML(-105) *1.50/1.43

    Panthers +11.5(-110) *3.30/3.00

    Panthers ML(+490) *.70/3.43

    Texans 1H -4.5(-110) *1.00/.91

    Chargers 1H ML(+115) *1.00/1.15

    Rams +2.5(+102) *1.00/1.02

    Vikings 1Q ML(-130) *2.00/1.54

    Vikings 1Q -0.5(+130) *1.50/1.95

    Vikings 1H -1.5(-110) *1.00/.91

    Did you know, that the Bears are the only team to have not scored first in any given game? They are 0-7-3 in the first quarter this year.

    The Vikings are 8-1-1 in the first quarter this year. Including a 10-0 win vs the Lions.

    The Vikings are #2 on offense epa per play in the 1Q, and the Bears are #27 in the 1Q.

    Defensively the Vikings are #2 in the 1Q, and the Bears are #23 in the 1Q.

    It looks like DeAndre Swift is missing this game. They traded Khalil Herbert to the Bengals 2 weeks ago. That leaves a slow footed(but strong) Roschon Johnson at RB. I can't even name another RB on the roster.

    The best angle here, the Bears OC has only called one game in his career, vs Brian Flores, and Caleb is a rookie who hasn't come close to seeing a really tough defense. Until the Purple People Eaters come to town.

    On the flip side, the Bears have been #1 in blitz rate the last 2 years. Eberflus likes to blitz from everywhere, including the secondary. This is not the way to attack Sam Darnold. He has been the best QB vs the blitz this year. Until recently, teams have stopped blitzing him and his play has fell off some.

    https://youtu.be/_EW1pSPU4ZU?si=HB6RM_-RzXrErU-r

    I'd like to think that the Bears have been watching that tape and noticing it as well. But I know this Bears coaching too well to know that they will continue to be themselves. Absolute idiots.

    Kevin O'Connell>Eberflus 

    Vikings sos #13

    Bears sos #30

    Vikings 1H PR #5(5.5), Bears 1H #24(-3.2)

     
    yaongingy
    yaongingy
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    Posts: 2019
    Posted: Nov. 20, 2024 - 5:11 PM ET #83

    @lbcake

    TNS just made a killing for the bookies, the amount of degenerates, that took something at HT, must've been staggering.

    Btw, your Pool bet looks good, with the big game coming up next week. Also, finally no more national teams mumbo jumbo breaks, the next 3 weeks are gonna be loaded with games.

     

    Accomplished time-waster
    Reply

    @lbcake

    TNS just made a killing for the bookies, the amount of degenerates, that took something at HT, must've been staggering.

    Btw, your Pool bet looks good, with the big game coming up next week. Also, finally no more national teams mumbo jumbo breaks, the next 3 weeks are gonna be loaded with games.

     

     
    Biscuiteater1
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posts: 33326
    Posted: Nov. 20, 2024 - 8:32 PM ET #84

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    43-44-6 (-0.80) YTD Cardinals ML(-105) *1.50/1.43 Panthers +11.5(-110) *3.30/3.00 Panthers ML(+490) *.70/3.43 Texans 1H -4.5(-110) *1.00/.91 Chargers 1H ML(+115) *1.00/1.15 Rams +2.5(+102) *1.00/1.02 Vikings 1Q ML(-130) *2.00/1.54 Vikings 1Q -0.5(+130) *1.50/1.95 Vikings 1H -1.5(-110) *1.00/.91 Did you know, that the Bears are the only team to have not scored first in any given game? They are 0-7-3 in the first quarter this year. The Vikings are 8-1-1 in the first quarter this year. Including a 10-0 win vs the Lions. The Vikings are #2 on offense epa per play in the 1Q, and the Bears are #27 in the 1Q. Defensively the Vikings are #2 in the 1Q, and the Bears are #23 in the 1Q. It looks like DeAndre Swift is missing this game. They traded Khalil Herbert to the Bengals 2 weeks ago. That leaves a slow footed(but strong) Roschon Johnson at RB. I can't even name another RB on the roster. The best angle here, the Bears OC has only called one game in his career, vs Brian Flores, and Caleb is a rookie who hasn't come close to seeing a really tough defense. Until the Purple People Eaters come to town. On the flip side, the Bears have been #1 in blitz rate the last 2 years. Eberflus likes to blitz from everywhere, including the secondary. This is not the way to attack Sam Darnold. He has been the best QB vs the blitz this year. Until recently, teams have stopped blitzing him and his play has fell off some. https://youtu.be/_EW1pSPU4ZU?si=HB6RM_-RzXrErU-r I'd like to think that the Bears have been watching that tape and noticing it as well. But I know this Bears coaching too well to know that they will continue to be themselves. Absolute idiots. Kevin O'Connell>Eberflus  Vikings sos #13 Bears sos #30 Vikings 1H PR #5(5.5), Bears 1H #24(-3.2)
    Great stuff Sac, I hope the Vikes don't let ya down. an_worship

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    43-44-6 (-0.80) YTD Cardinals ML(-105) *1.50/1.43 Panthers +11.5(-110) *3.30/3.00 Panthers ML(+490) *.70/3.43 Texans 1H -4.5(-110) *1.00/.91 Chargers 1H ML(+115) *1.00/1.15 Rams +2.5(+102) *1.00/1.02 Vikings 1Q ML(-130) *2.00/1.54 Vikings 1Q -0.5(+130) *1.50/1.95 Vikings 1H -1.5(-110) *1.00/.91 Did you know, that the Bears are the only team to have not scored first in any given game? They are 0-7-3 in the first quarter this year. The Vikings are 8-1-1 in the first quarter this year. Including a 10-0 win vs the Lions. The Vikings are #2 on offense epa per play in the 1Q, and the Bears are #27 in the 1Q. Defensively the Vikings are #2 in the 1Q, and the Bears are #23 in the 1Q. It looks like DeAndre Swift is missing this game. They traded Khalil Herbert to the Bengals 2 weeks ago. That leaves a slow footed(but strong) Roschon Johnson at RB. I can't even name another RB on the roster. The best angle here, the Bears OC has only called one game in his career, vs Brian Flores, and Caleb is a rookie who hasn't come close to seeing a really tough defense. Until the Purple People Eaters come to town. On the flip side, the Bears have been #1 in blitz rate the last 2 years. Eberflus likes to blitz from everywhere, including the secondary. This is not the way to attack Sam Darnold. He has been the best QB vs the blitz this year. Until recently, teams have stopped blitzing him and his play has fell off some. https://youtu.be/_EW1pSPU4ZU?si=HB6RM_-RzXrErU-r I'd like to think that the Bears have been watching that tape and noticing it as well. But I know this Bears coaching too well to know that they will continue to be themselves. Absolute idiots. Kevin O'Connell>Eberflus  Vikings sos #13 Bears sos #30 Vikings 1H PR #5(5.5), Bears 1H #24(-3.2)
    Great stuff Sac, I hope the Vikes don't let ya down. an_worship

     
    Biscuiteater1
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 6:42 AM ET #85

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

    @undermysac  I know that it's not a popular pick ( just like your Panther pick )  , but popularity don't always win
      peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Cyrax:

    @undermysac  I know that it's not a popular pick ( just like your Panther pick )  , but popularity don't always win
      peace_5

     
    lbcake
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 11:38 AM ET #86

    @yaongingy

    They have Real on the Wednesday before. Energy will be expended. A draw would be a massive result. 

     

    Tonite's barn burner. I smell lots of punting/fg attempts. 

    FGs made  O3.5  (2.20)

    Reply

    @yaongingy

    They have Real on the Wednesday before. Energy will be expended. A draw would be a massive result. 

     

    Tonite's barn burner. I smell lots of punting/fg attempts. 

    FGs made  O3.5  (2.20)

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 3:54 PM ET #87

    Got to thinking a little bit while looking at some look ahead lines.

    There are 3 Thanksgiving games. Bears/Lions, Giants/Cowboys(gross), and Dolphins/Packers(7:20 pm central time, cold cold cold)

    Will there be any looking ahead for these squads this week?

    Also, as fate may have it, the Raiders play at KC on Friday. Maybe my fade of KC this week just got better?

    an_timeout

    Reply

    Got to thinking a little bit while looking at some look ahead lines.

    There are 3 Thanksgiving games. Bears/Lions, Giants/Cowboys(gross), and Dolphins/Packers(7:20 pm central time, cold cold cold)

    Will there be any looking ahead for these squads this week?

    Also, as fate may have it, the Raiders play at KC on Friday. Maybe my fade of KC this week just got better?

    an_timeout

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 3:56 PM ET #88

    @Cyrax

     Great job stepping up b2b weeks on the Newsletter. I'll do week 13 on Monday after work. There's a lot to navigate, weird schedule and such.

    peace_5

    Reply

    @Cyrax

     Great job stepping up b2b weeks on the Newsletter. I'll do week 13 on Monday after work. There's a lot to navigate, weird schedule and such.

    peace_5

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 4:05 PM ET #89

    Week 13 look ahead bets:

    Packers -3.5(-110) *1.00/.91

    Broncos -7(-110) *1.00/.91

    Locked in an_cheers

    Reply

    Week 13 look ahead bets:

    Packers -3.5(-110) *1.00/.91

    Broncos -7(-110) *1.00/.91

    Locked in an_cheers

     
    bigred84
    bigred84
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    Posts: 24576
    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 5:05 PM ET #90

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Got to thinking a little bit while looking at some look ahead lines. There are 3 Thanksgiving games. Bears/Lions, Giants/Cowboys(gross), and Dolphins/Packers(7:20 pm central time, cold cold cold) Will there be any looking ahead for these squads this week? Also, as fate may have it, the Raiders play at KC on Friday. Maybe my fade of KC this week just got better?

    Raiders beat the Chiefs last year on  Xmas day.....an_wink

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Got to thinking a little bit while looking at some look ahead lines. There are 3 Thanksgiving games. Bears/Lions, Giants/Cowboys(gross), and Dolphins/Packers(7:20 pm central time, cold cold cold) Will there be any looking ahead for these squads this week? Also, as fate may have it, the Raiders play at KC on Friday. Maybe my fade of KC this week just got better?

    Raiders beat the Chiefs last year on  Xmas day.....an_wink

     
    monkeebooger
    monkeebooger
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    Posts: 6406
    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 6:34 PM ET #91

    @undermysac

     How come you aren’t doing Browns 1h?

    Reply

    @undermysac

     How come you aren’t doing Browns 1h?

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 6:40 PM ET #92

    The Titans are 7-26-1 ats in the 2H the last 2 years. 1-9 this year, beating the Bears in week 1

    Reply

    The Titans are 7-26-1 ats in the 2H the last 2 years. 1-9 this year, beating the Bears in week 1

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 6:42 PM ET #93

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

    @undermysac  How come you aren’t doing Browns 1h?

    Fuck them they suck. Not putting a nickel on that team. Nor Pitt tonight, trying to stay away from TNF. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

    @undermysac  How come you aren’t doing Browns 1h?

    Fuck them they suck. Not putting a nickel on that team. Nor Pitt tonight, trying to stay away from TNF. 

     
    Cyrax
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 7:25 PM ET #94

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    @Cyrax  Great job stepping up b2b weeks on the Newsletter. I'll do week 13 on Monday after work. There's a lot to navigate, weird schedule and such.
     thumbs_up

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    @Cyrax  Great job stepping up b2b weeks on the Newsletter. I'll do week 13 on Monday after work. There's a lot to navigate, weird schedule and such.
     thumbs_up

     
    Cyrax
    Cyrax
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 7:25 PM ET #95

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    @Cyrax  Great job stepping up b2b weeks on the Newsletter. I'll do week 13 on Monday after work. There's a lot to navigate, weird schedule and such.
     thumbs_up

    NC St. / GTech over 51  (5u ) clover

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    @Cyrax  Great job stepping up b2b weeks on the Newsletter. I'll do week 13 on Monday after work. There's a lot to navigate, weird schedule and such.
     thumbs_up

    NC St. / GTech over 51  (5u ) clover

     
    ABooksNightmare
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 7:30 PM ET #96

    Off a 1-1 last week in pro

     

     

     

     

     

    Here is what I am on tonight:

     

    thefootballCleveland +3.5

     

    Thursday Night Potluck Under Jamborre continues today...this is a blind bet with no thought, rhyme or reason so will be looked at all on it's own....


    YTD since week 4 NFL: 3-5

     

     

    thefootballSteelers/Browns Under 37

     

     

    Good luck wankersclover

    COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean
    Reply

    Off a 1-1 last week in pro

     

     

     

     

     

    Here is what I am on tonight:

     

    thefootballCleveland +3.5

     

    Thursday Night Potluck Under Jamborre continues today...this is a blind bet with no thought, rhyme or reason so will be looked at all on it's own....


    YTD since week 4 NFL: 3-5

     

     

    thefootballSteelers/Browns Under 37

     

     

    Good luck wankersclover

     
    Biscuiteater1
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posts: 33326
    Posted: Nov. 21, 2024 - 8:13 PM ET #97

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger: @undermysac  How come you aren’t doing Browns 1h? Fuck them they suck. Not putting a nickel on that team. Nor Pitt tonight, trying to stay away from TNF.
    At least this one peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger: @undermysac  How come you aren’t doing Browns 1h? Fuck them they suck. Not putting a nickel on that team. Nor Pitt tonight, trying to stay away from TNF.
    At least this one peace_5

     
    Biscuiteater1
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posts: 33326
    Posted: Nov. 22, 2024 - 7:15 AM ET #98

    Books got just what they wanted last night and poor U bettors, 16 pts thru 3 and then 27 in the 4th. an_beatup

    Reply

    Books got just what they wanted last night and poor U bettors, 16 pts thru 3 and then 27 in the 4th. an_beatup

     
    kidd22
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    Posts: 17105
    Posted: Nov. 22, 2024 - 7:23 AM ET #99

    @undermysac

     I like that Minn stat I’ll tail some of that  1q 

    Reply

    @undermysac

     I like that Minn stat I’ll tail some of that  1q 

     
     
    Biscuiteater1
    Biscuiteater1
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    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 33326
    Posted: Nov. 22, 2024 - 7:34 AM ET #100

    Now I know its not wise to rush in a bet because of a QB injury but with Brock Purdy not finishing practice because of shoulder ( throwing) issues then having to play in cold weather my guess is he's very doubtful. That - 3 is likely to climb and announced back up though being in league for 8 years or so has barely played more than I have. - 3 it is. peace_5

    Reply

    Now I know its not wise to rush in a bet because of a QB injury but with Brock Purdy not finishing practice because of shoulder ( throwing) issues then having to play in cold weather my guess is he's very doubtful. That - 3 is likely to climb and announced back up though being in league for 8 years or so has barely played more than I have. - 3 it is. peace_5

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