TNF. CINCI -3 Mia O/U 48 Line opened at 1 and is now 3. The peeps will be on the Tua train while ignoring Cinci's better than average defense and an offense which is set to hit high gear sooner rather than later. Miami was a pre season darling (fruition) and the Bengals had the Super Bowl loser curse (fruition). Miami back to back upset wins in dramatic fashion. Will it happen 3 weeks in a row? I'll take the Bengals here at almost any number under 7. 3 is a gift.
Buff -3.5 SHRIMP O/U 52.5 Total opened at 55 at some books and has been bet down almost a field goal. Bills have given up their AFC crown to the Jags but I'm not the least bit concerned about this team. Shrimp are a 2 man offense consisting of the QB and his TE. The defense has been gashed so far. There is value in betting the over but I won't play the side. The fact that the oddsmaker made Buffalo a strong road favorite over a good team speaks to me but not enough to bet it at -3.5.
MINN -2 NO O/U 43.5 First London game of the year. I love the 9:30 AM starts. Bloody Mary with Clamato, celery,olives,and shrimp or crawfish. Just a dash of Worcestershire. There's a lot more to it than this but just understand thru 3 games New Orleans is +150 total yardage, Minnesota is -208. Just saying. Give me the better defense and a worthwhile offense plus the points.
PHIL -7 Jax O/U 48.5 The Eagles truthers are sitting pretty. The best team in the AFC thru 3 games is getting a number you'll never see again this year unless they have a vicious run of injuries. Did I mention that Doug Pederson left Philly on bad terms after winning a Super Bowl?
Cleve -2.5 ATLA O/U 48 The total was hit hard by sharp money running from 45.5 to 48.5. I understand that. 2 fadeable teams with enough offensive juice to play a IDGAF 37-28 type game. Tease the total down.
LACharge -6 HOU O/U 45.5 The cursed Chargers are once again the walking wounded. HC Staley and OC Lombardo are running the team into the ground much like every coach before them. Maybe they whip the Texans maybe they lose outright. I'll gamble on the latter. I just see a team on the collapse while Houston doesn't give a damn either way. They'll just show up and try.
IND -3 Tenn O/U 43 Tennessee's sneaky but expected win last week doesn't change the fact that they're a season long fade. Indy lost both games to Tenny last year which likely kept them out of the playoffs. The win over KC can be viewed as either a fluke or a turning point. I'm leaning on a Colts run to continue after an inauspicious start.