Soul VS Cats

The road dogs are 7-3 ATS throughout postseason.

 

The public is 3-6 ATS, coming in off 2 straight losses in con ference finals. They weren't just losses, the publics teams got hammered by 35 and 26 pts. losing to the spread big time.

 

I wouldn't fade the public in this situation. It's likely the public bounces back with a win and they're on Philly.

 

Philly is the better team in every "KEY STAT" that shows "TEAM STRENGTH", and by a fairly wide margin in some.

 

This game has possible mismatch written all over it, high likely Philly wins bigger than expected and many experts will be surprised.

 

Let's look at each teams record VS teams with winning records.

 

Philly --7-2 -- winning by 10.2 pts per game. 

 

San Jose -- 1-4 -- losing by 9.4 pts per game.

 

To make matters worse for SJ 4 of they're 5 games were played at home, they went just 1-3.

 

They're only road game VS winning record was at 9-7 Orlando , they were pounded by 26 pts., losing 61-35.

 

SJ been fortunate, they haven't played a team with a winning record thus far in postseason, in fact, they played 7-9 Columbus in last years title game, this is "BY FAR"  the best team they've faced in past 2 postseasons , turn-out-the-lights folks the party's over for the Sabercats.

The dogs went 8-3 ATS throught the 2008 postseason.

 

The public lost again, going to 3-7 ATS. They were 1-1 with the biggest line moves.

 

Well, the game went pretty much as I suggested, with Philly up by 10 at halftime and controlling the 2cd half up 17 - 19 pts.

 

Philly was clearly the better team, however the crazy, wacky world of Arena Football with rules that encourage craziness saw SJ get very fortunate to score 14 pts in 11 seconds to make the final score much closer than it should of been.