Posted:
#1
Don't know these teams at all, but wanting to use Georgia ML in a parlay. Any thoughts?
Georgia ML?
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Posts: 6
Posted:
#3
G-Mong!
My book doesn't offer ML on Arena league only PS and Totals but I have seen my share of Arena League football. In my opinion it is mostly a coin toss once you get to the playoffs. Take a look at this past weekend's games and a few away team / underdogs upset the home team. Georgia is a good team and from what I have been able to research is that either Cleveland will win the game or get blown out by turnovers. When I see that I see a close game and a Cleveland win or a blowout and Cleveland doesn't score enough to reach the over total.
If you look at Covers AFL print sheet they are almost equal on the matchup. Georgia has them by 16 yds defensively and home field advantage. However, if you look at total pts given and taken home/away it is 116. I like the moving clock in this situation and the fact that it is a playoff game and the teams will not take chances early due to the turn over factor. If the clock plays in our hands they will not reach the 114.5. I feel the majority of the wagering public is on the winning team and not the total. Historically, when Georgia has played big games they like to control the clock anyway.
Basically what I am saying is that it is a "gut" feeling and I didn't play the 6-6.5 Georgia but played the under.
Just something to consider on your parlay.
Good Luck 
Posted:
#4
Thanks Herd
Scares me playing totals in a sport I don't know much. But did see some underdog wins this weekend. I see a few services have Cle. and even cle. ML from one guy. Only one has GA covering. Gonna take my chance with the favorite at home SU. Appreciate the insight, and good luck on the under!
Scares me playing totals in a sport I don't know much. But did see some underdog wins this weekend. I see a few services have Cle. and even cle. ML from one guy. Only one has GA covering. Gonna take my chance with the favorite at home SU. Appreciate the insight, and good luck on the under!
Posted:
#5
Well - We will soon know. I hope your play comes in as well.
Another thing that I have noticed--I have been an Orlando Predators season ticket holder for the past six years and I have noticed that while these guys are far superior athletes than I could ever dream of being I have seen home field take some of the advantage away. Most of the teams have some type of Apartment Lease for the Team and "in town" these guys are The Shi@%&. I have observed teams that travel come in more focused ( less partying). It has been interesting seeing guys on Natl. TV like Edris Price out before and after a local game and then they are playing for a team across the country.
Don't get me wrong Georgia has been a Force to wreckon with ( pun intended ) but I wonder if being home with the locals may take something away from these guys. At least I hope it's a couple of points shy of 114.
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