Week #10 NBL & WNBL

Question

YTD: 28-19WNBL: 14-10NBL 14-9So last weekend was absolutely disgusting. Maybe it was the long break that didn&#x27;t help the NBL teams out, or maybe the favs just aren&#x27;t as good as we think they are and this season is the closest we have seen in years. Thats the same with the WNBL, this season is so tight right now any team could really win it if they put together a nice run. I love these leagues too much to sit on the sidelines but please tread lightly if you do tail my plays because last week was 0-4 and the week before that was 1-2 so 1-6 in the last 7. Looking turn that around.D-Play carved up last weekend and said something that has kept me in the game with these 2 leagues, when he and I agree on a play, we are 100% this season which is pretty amazing. Will chat with him to see what he likes and see if we agree on many.So 3 games tonight across both games. Henare isn&#x27;t happy with his NZ team after dropping 2 straight games and jeopardising their spot at the top of the ladder. They play the Bullets tonight who  just beat them in Brisbane on Sunday. Bullets showed great D the other night, keeping NZ to below 80 points which Henare has said that was that major factor in the loss. No hustle at all, they need to create more spacing for Abercrombie as well. So I am hoping they can do that tonight in this game because when Abercrombie is hot, he is hot. A good clean shooter and I expect a big bounce back game from NZ tonight. Brisbane has had some travel lately. Starting off in Adelaide last week, went home and now across the Tasman where they also played just before the break and they just covered the closing line of &#x2B;8.5 in that game (opened at -7.5 though). Waiting to see where this line goes before making a play.BOL this weekend everyone

AussieDownUnder · Answer

YTD: 28-19WNBL: 14-10NBL 14-9So last weekend was absolutely disgusting. Maybe it was the long break that didn&#x27;t help the NBL teams out, or maybe the favs just aren&#x27;t as good as we think they are and this season is the closest we have seen in years. Thats the same with the WNBL, this season is so tight right now any team could really win it if they put together a nice run. I love these leagues too much to sit on the sidelines but please tread lightly if you do tail my plays because last week was 0-4 and the week before that was 1-2 so 1-6 in the last 7. Looking turn that around.D-Play carved up last weekend and said something that has kept me in the game with these 2 leagues, when he and I agree on a play, we are 100% this season which is pretty amazing. Will chat with him to see what he likes and see if we agree on many.So 3 games tonight across both games. Henare isn&#x27;t happy with his NZ team after dropping 2 straight games and jeopardising their spot at the top of the ladder. They play the Bullets tonight who  just beat them in Brisbane on Sunday. Bullets showed great D the other night, keeping NZ to below 80 points which Henare has said that was that major factor in the loss. No hustle at all, they need to create more spacing for Abercrombie as well. So I am hoping they can do that tonight in this game because when Abercrombie is hot, he is hot. A good clean shooter and I expect a big bounce back game from NZ tonight. Brisbane has had some travel lately. Starting off in Adelaide last week, went home and now across the Tasman where they also played just before the break and they just covered the closing line of &#x2B;8.5 in that game (opened at -7.5 though). Waiting to see where this line goes before making a play.BOL this weekend everyone

Ramanujan · Answer

No play mate? I got lucky on the Breakers which made up for the Celtics

Sareesataka · Answer

Hope you played NZ -6.5. It was a nailbiter, down to the final seconds. Breakers barely covered, 96-89. But, as they say, a win is a win.

D-Play · Answer

Thanks for the kind words bud, it&#x27;s true great minds think alike Been too busy to look into the games for this round. But one or maybe 2 plays that jumps out at me is my favorite angle play.....fading teams that are backing up a few days later from playing in Perth is a perfect 5-0 this season.

D-Play · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by D-Play]  Thanks for the kind words bud, it&#x27;s true great minds think alike Been too busy to look into the games for this round. But one or maybe 2 plays that jumps out at me is my favorite angle play.....fading teams that are backing up a few days later from playing in Perth is a perfect 5-0 this season.     [/Quote]Sunday is that perfect spot where we are looking to fade 2 teams backing up from the Perth game on a Friday night (Perth and Adelaide)

D-Play · Answer

To refresh our memory I&#x2019;ve posted below an&#xD;&#xA;old post I&#x2019;ve made in round 5 where I&#x2019;ve faded the Kings returning home from&#xD;&#xA;Perth 2 days later to play the Hawks and it hit to make my system a perfect 5-0.

D-Play · Answer

"This play is based on a strong trend that I've noticed for teams playing in Perth and then having to fly out to play another game in 2 or 3 days time at a different venue. Teams in this spot have gone 0-4 in their next game after playing in Perth.

Below are the games that support my theory:-

1. Perth defeated Illawarra 89-84 in Perth on 13/10/17.

Illawarra then flew back to Sydney to play the Kings 2 days later and lost 87-103.

2. Perth defeated Melb United 89-84 on 22/10/17.

Melb United flew to New Zealand to play the Breakers 2 days later and lost 76-88.

Perth also flew to Cairns to play the Taipans 2 days later and lost 69-90 (Perth's only loss for the season)

3. Perth defeated Illawarra 105-74 in Perth on 26/10/17.

Illawarra then flew home to play the Kings 3 days later and lost 94-99 in overtime.

We are only into round 5 of the competition but the above teams are 0-4 backing up away from Perth 2 to 3 days later. Teams backing up from such a spot looked really lethargic and out of sync due perhaps to the long flight time and the time zone difference.

Hawks have been the unfortunate victim of this weird scheduling twice and are 0-2 against the Kings as a result. Hawks will be desperate for revenge tomorrow afternoon when the situation is reversed- Sydney returning from home from a 4.5 hour flight from Perth and to a different timezone after playing a late Friday night game.

Hawks will be rested and ready to ambush the Kings in Sydney after a short flight back from Brisbane where they've defeated the Bullets 112-81. It was an impressive all round team performance where they've dominated the glass, protected the ball and got 45 points from the Bench. They will look to carry this momentum over to Sundays game.

Apart from the bad scheduling spot, the Kings are facing a myriad of problems- team chemistry, injuries, leaky defence and undersized at the 4 spot. Travis Leslie has struggled to make an impact on this team. Coach Gaze is unproven at this level.

Bookies have made the Kings a small favorite at home due their 2-0 record over the Hawks.

I'll gladly fade the Kings here and grab the Hawks ML @ 2.15

(got this number on Friday night after the Hawks beat the Bullets)"

D-Play · Answer

Hawks have injury concerns to Olgilvy (need to check his status for this round) & they've lost Mitch Norton for 6 weeks & club is looking for an immediate replacement for him. So no play here yet.

Breakers +2.5 @ Adelaide is a play I've locked in for now.

AussieDownUnder · Answer

My bad.. I got caught up with work and family things last night and wasn't able to post at all. Didn't realise there was 4 WNBL games last night. Half the weekend games in 1 night. Very strange..

Amazing and valuable information D-Play. Very useful mate and outstanding research...

Just the 1 game tonight, Perth vs the 36ers. Adelaide not looking good lately, but seem to play better on the road compared to home.. Perth flying with big wins against Melbourne and NZ lately. Hard to fade them at home on a Friday night.

kriscar · Answer

Hi aussie,  any wnbl thoughts?

AussieDownUnder · Answer

Melbourne Boomers @ Adelaide Lightning: Boomers -2.5

Boomers are literally pulling apart teams right now. Adelaide coming off a nice road win against the Fire who were coming back from 10 days on the road. Adelaide coming back from Townsville which would be around a 3 hour flight which wouldn't be much but against a juggernaut like Boomers with O'Hea and Cambage playing together, I don't like their chances..

AussieDownUnder · Answer

Canberra Capitals @ Dandenong Rangers: Capitals +8.5

Rangers missing Lavey, coming back from Perth isn't a nice flight especially with such a short turn around. Capitals played awesome vs the Flames and blew it down the stretch. This time around, I don't think they blow it against the Rangers and I truly believe they can possibly get a win tonight and break their horrid losing streak.

kriscar · Answer

Bol  aussie,  I have Lynx and Boomers as well. Maybe United

AussieDownUnder · Answer

Thats my next play buddy Melbourne United @ Cairns Taipans: Melbourne -1.5They looked ok, just ok vs Hawks the other night but Hawks had some injury concerns. Melbourne last went up to Cairns and were literally embarrassed. No effort at all. Don&#x27;t see that happening again. Cairns defense at home is rock solid most nights, but I feel as though Melbourne needed that 11 day break to get some things sorted and I said to myself that I would be backing them down the stretch because they have so much quality on the court.. I just can&#x27;t see how Cairns offensively will keep up with Melbourne tonight.

D-Play · Answer

Leaning this way but the jury is still out on this United team, especially on the road where they are 2-7. The keys to this team are Goulding &amp; Ware but far too often they go missing in games. GL bud

kriscar · Answer

No words, I definitely give up already(Melbourne future picks) and I recommend you do the same Aussie.

AussieDownUnder · Answer

Crazy.. Saturday turned out to be a 1-2 day instead of a 2-1 day because Melbourne decided to allow a 8-0 run and won by 2...

Sydney Kings @ Melbourne United: Over 168.5

A Kings game on the road less than 170? What am I missing? The Kings give up points on the road like nothing else. They allowed just 80 against Cairns but we all know that Cairns loves to slow the ball down and play actual defense. The last meeting flew over this total, hit 198 points and the Kings allowed 108 points. Melbourne need to really figure out their rotations and offfense because they stink and I think they can do it against the Kings tonight..

Yomanoriginal · Answer

any insight for 2nd half?

Week #10 NBL & WNBL

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