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NBL GF - Cats and Dawks

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Posted: #1
llIawarra Hawks @ Perth Wildcats Game 1 
Wildcats -6.5

Missing AJ Ogilvy and Harris... Team top rebounder, Team 2nd and 3 rd scoring... against the Cats at home.
I can't see this being within 10. I expect 12 - 17.

I was considering the Hawks TT under 81 as I expect the Cats to lock down the scoring but the game may lose intensity with a 20 point Cats lead going into the last quarter. Still, I don't see the Hawks breaking 80.
 
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Posted: #2
AJ is still on the player betting but doubtful.
https://www.illawarramercury.com.au/story/4490331/harris-to-miss-game-one-as-ogilvy-in-doubt/?cs=302

Tempted by the Wagstaff O9.5 and Norton O8.5
Line movement looks like same cash for AJ U10.5 and Knight O10.5

I think the best player prop is Clarke U17.5.
He's have Martin on him, has little support and averages 15 away from home in both regular season and finals. The wildcard being the number of shots he takes.

Hard day for player props.
 
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Posted: #3
Jameel McKay U8.5 is actually more tempting than Clarke. He only took 2 shots (for 2FT scored) the last game. He may do well on the boards or get rubbish time if it goes to DD.

I'm tempted to have a small parlay with McKay U8.5 and the undefeated Crows to beat (ML) the winless Dockers in the Womens AFL.
 
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Posted: #4
Small on Jameel McKay U8.5 after I saw the game line move to 7.5
 
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Posted: #5
AJ starting. 
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

AJ is still on the player betting but doubtful.
https://www.illawarramercury.com.au/story/4490331/harris-to-miss-game-one-as-ogilvy-in-doubt/?cs=302

Tempted by the Wagstaff O9.5 and Norton O8.5
Line movement looks like same cash for AJ U10.5 and Knight O10.5

I think the best player prop is Clarke U17.5.
He's have Martin on him, has little support and averages 15 away from home in both regular season and finals. The wildcard being the number of shots he takes.

Hard day for player props.

Someone knew more than me... Knight 10 points in the first 8 minutes. 
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

Small on Jameel McKay U8.5 after I saw the game line move to 7.5

0 points in the first half... 7 points in the first half of the 3Q. 
Only 1.5 points to play and he will be lurking on the O boards.
 
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Posted: #8
Good times 
 
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Posted: #9
Harris is back. 

I think the line is a little toward the Cats based on the last game and the total is about right. 

I don't think there is clean value in this game. I hope the Hawks win to keep the finals alive.

There might be some stronger value in the player props.
 
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Posted: #10
Thanks for the info buddy on Harris... 
 
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Posted: #11
I did play the over and then doubled at the half... then that 3Qtr. 

C'mon Hawkies 
 
 
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Posted: #12
Had the total 171 and 2H O84.5

Those 5 missed FTs in the last 2 minutes weren't helpful.

Bugger.
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