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    All Forums | Other Pro Basketball

    Final Round of NBL

    AussieDownUnder
    kriscar
    RandySee
    Enjoi
    Buckleys
    ...
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    Views: 1021
    Posts: 17
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 14, 2018 - 10:43 PM ET #1

    YTD: 42-27


     Sydney Kings @ Brisbane Bullets: Bullets -1.5

    Bullets being favoured in this game IMO means one thing for me, they win and cover. They have been horrible the past 6 weeks, the Kings so much better yet the bookies are giving the Bullets some kind of love in this game. Who knows why because they were pretty poor last outing but that's ok, I will take the bookies lead on this game and take them. They played well last time at home, Kings played well against the Bullets in Sydney last week. The Bullets have knocked off the Hawks and 36ers at home in their last 2 starts so lets see if they can finish off their home season in a good place before they head to Adelaide for a game which they probably could not care about whilst the Kings head home to face the NZ Breakers.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    YTD: 42-27


     Sydney Kings @ Brisbane Bullets: Bullets -1.5

    Bullets being favoured in this game IMO means one thing for me, they win and cover. They have been horrible the past 6 weeks, the Kings so much better yet the bookies are giving the Bullets some kind of love in this game. Who knows why because they were pretty poor last outing but that's ok, I will take the bookies lead on this game and take them. They played well last time at home, Kings played well against the Bullets in Sydney last week. The Bullets have knocked off the Hawks and 36ers at home in their last 2 starts so lets see if they can finish off their home season in a good place before they head to Adelaide for a game which they probably could not care about whilst the Kings head home to face the NZ Breakers.

     
    kriscar
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2018 - 2:25 AM ET #2

    Bullets now dog side

    Reply

    Bullets now dog side

     
    RandySee
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2018 - 2:42 AM ET #3

    im on the kings aussie
    good luck to any of us
    Reply
    im on the kings aussie
    good luck to any of us
     
    kriscar
    kriscar
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2018 - 4:07 AM ET #4

    Sydeny looks like they fight for the playoff spot

    Reply

    Sydeny looks like they fight for the playoff spot

     
    kriscar
    kriscar
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2018 - 4:12 AM ET #5

    LOL 6TO in 2nd q

    Reply

    LOL 6TO in 2nd q

     
    AussieDownUnder
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2018 - 9:09 PM ET #6

    Absolutely horrible 2Q ruined this game. I guess I got what I deserved betting on a game with no impact on the standings.

    Moving onto tonights games. Back in a few.. 
    Reply
    Absolutely horrible 2Q ruined this game. I guess I got what I deserved betting on a game with no impact on the standings.

    Moving onto tonights games. Back in a few.. 
     
    Enjoi
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2018 - 12:46 AM ET #7

    I'm digging the Perth Wildcats +5.5 tonight my man...

    Reply

    I'm digging the Perth Wildcats +5.5 tonight my man...

     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2018 - 2:54 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by Enjoi:

    I'm digging the Perth Wildcats +5.5 tonight my man...

     

    brother where have you been hiding?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Enjoi:

    I'm digging the Perth Wildcats +5.5 tonight my man...

     

    brother where have you been hiding?

     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2018 - 3:09 AM ET #9

    Perth Wildcats @ Melbourne United: Wildcats +6.5

    Got that line at sportsbet. I haven’t seen a Gleeson coaches team a dog like this for some years. I can’t see them changing the game plan from the thrashing they gave Melbourne last time in Melbourne. NZ are just about to beat Hawks, so Perth need a Win tonight to stay in 3rd for now. 
    Reply
    Perth Wildcats @ Melbourne United: Wildcats +6.5

    Got that line at sportsbet. I haven’t seen a Gleeson coaches team a dog like this for some years. I can’t see them changing the game plan from the thrashing they gave Melbourne last time in Melbourne. NZ are just about to beat Hawks, so Perth need a Win tonight to stay in 3rd for now. 
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2018 - 3:10 AM ET #10

    SORRY CANCEL THAT.. just saw something the caught my attention I wasn’t aware off..
    Reply
    SORRY CANCEL THAT.. just saw something the caught my attention I wasn’t aware off..
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2018 - 3:16 AM ET #11

    OK what i saw was that Prather was back tonight. I was a total work all day and didn’t get too see the injury news. In that’s case, I am taking Melbourne. Melbourne -5.5 and that’s with crownbet.
    Reply
    OK what i saw was that Prather was back tonight. I was a total work all day and didn’t get too see the injury news. In that’s case, I am taking Melbourne. Melbourne -5.5 and that’s with crownbet.
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2018 - 7:27 AM ET #12

    Prather looked good off the bench, not bad for a guy who was out for 8 weeks. 14 points in 16 minutes and just the right time to come back into the game. Playoff time and by the looks of it the top 2 are now decided as they cannot move higher or lower..

    So Melbourne is at 1, Adelaide at 2.

    Now, the battle for 3rd and 4th is really intriguing.. 

    Perth head home after tonight to play Cairns (again) where NZ head to Sydney to play the inform Kings. I have a small theory though...

    NZ are 2-2 against Melbourne, which is a very good record against the top side whereas they are 1-3 vs Adelaide and each time they went to Adelaide they lost by 3 so not blowout losses but still 2 losses in Adelaide compared to going 1-1 in Melbourne.

    Now Perth on the other hand have gone 2-2 as well with Melbourne which again, great result. Against Adelaide, they are 2-2 also but a horrible 0-2 in Adelaide losing both by 12 and 11. 

    Now, what I am getting at is who do the Breakers and Perth really want to play in the semi-finals. Do NZ want to play Melbourne in Melbourne where they went 1-1 this season or do they want to play Adelaide where they went 0-2 this season. The same applies for Perth as they also have those records in the same stadiums.

    The fact is, Game #1 is so crucial in a 3 game series because it puts all the pressure on the home team in Game #2 to win if they lose game 1. Same could be said I guess if the home team losses game 1 and then travels for game 2. Nonetheless, both NZ and Perth would want to avoid Adelaide at home IMHO. Melbourne look good once again but my darkhorse this season is Adelaide to win it because they have great record at home going 8-2 S/U in their last 10 (Melbourne went 9-1 in the last 10) and Adelaide had a winning record on the road this season going 8-6 and Melbourne went 9-5. So both teams very good at home and road. 

    Interesting games coming up if we keep these things in our minds. Adelaide should rest players now for the Brisbane game as well. 
    Reply
    Prather looked good off the bench, not bad for a guy who was out for 8 weeks. 14 points in 16 minutes and just the right time to come back into the game. Playoff time and by the looks of it the top 2 are now decided as they cannot move higher or lower..

    So Melbourne is at 1, Adelaide at 2.

    Now, the battle for 3rd and 4th is really intriguing.. 

    Perth head home after tonight to play Cairns (again) where NZ head to Sydney to play the inform Kings. I have a small theory though...

    NZ are 2-2 against Melbourne, which is a very good record against the top side whereas they are 1-3 vs Adelaide and each time they went to Adelaide they lost by 3 so not blowout losses but still 2 losses in Adelaide compared to going 1-1 in Melbourne.

    Now Perth on the other hand have gone 2-2 as well with Melbourne which again, great result. Against Adelaide, they are 2-2 also but a horrible 0-2 in Adelaide losing both by 12 and 11. 

    Now, what I am getting at is who do the Breakers and Perth really want to play in the semi-finals. Do NZ want to play Melbourne in Melbourne where they went 1-1 this season or do they want to play Adelaide where they went 0-2 this season. The same applies for Perth as they also have those records in the same stadiums.

    The fact is, Game #1 is so crucial in a 3 game series because it puts all the pressure on the home team in Game #2 to win if they lose game 1. Same could be said I guess if the home team losses game 1 and then travels for game 2. Nonetheless, both NZ and Perth would want to avoid Adelaide at home IMHO. Melbourne look good once again but my darkhorse this season is Adelaide to win it because they have great record at home going 8-2 S/U in their last 10 (Melbourne went 9-1 in the last 10) and Adelaide had a winning record on the road this season going 8-6 and Melbourne went 9-5. So both teams very good at home and road. 

    Interesting games coming up if we keep these things in our minds. Adelaide should rest players now for the Brisbane game as well. 
     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2018 - 8:50 PM ET #13

    I think the under is the best option for the Adelaide Brissy game... just because neither team have a reason to push hard. That can also lead to easy baskets so it is a hard one to call.

    I'm still amazed that Adelaide lost to Brissy a couple of weeks ago.
    Reply
    I think the under is the best option for the Adelaide Brissy game... just because neither team have a reason to push hard. That can also lead to easy baskets so it is a hard one to call.

    I'm still amazed that Adelaide lost to Brissy a couple of weeks ago.
     
    AussieDownUnder
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2018 - 12:11 AM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    I think the under is the best option for the Adelaide Brissy game... just because neither team have a reason to push hard. That can also lead to easy baskets so it is a hard one to call.

    I'm still amazed that Adelaide lost to Brissy a couple of weeks ago.

    Possibly but seeing the Bullets are coming off 2 straight unders to the Kings, makes me thing the over might come in but I want to see if any player is resting. I expect Joey to possibly start his squad but then rest throughout the game in this dead rubber game.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Buckleys:

    I think the under is the best option for the Adelaide Brissy game... just because neither team have a reason to push hard. That can also lead to easy baskets so it is a hard one to call.

    I'm still amazed that Adelaide lost to Brissy a couple of weeks ago.

    Possibly but seeing the Bullets are coming off 2 straight unders to the Kings, makes me thing the over might come in but I want to see if any player is resting. I expect Joey to possibly start his squad but then rest throughout the game in this dead rubber game.
     
    Buckleys
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2018 - 5:50 AM ET #15

    Talk about bad beats. 

    I had under 185.5.
    20+ points difference... last 2 minutes, 2 unsportsmanlike fouls.
    Last 14 seconds, 3 baskets. 
    Total ended up at 187.

    I know it is all part of it but that’s pretty average.


    Reply
    Talk about bad beats. 

    I had under 185.5.
    20+ points difference... last 2 minutes, 2 unsportsmanlike fouls.
    Last 14 seconds, 3 baskets. 
    Total ended up at 187.

    I know it is all part of it but that’s pretty average.


     
    Ramanujan
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2018 - 8:53 PM ET #16

    That’s a rough ending especially in a blowout
    Reply
    That’s a rough ending especially in a blowout
     
     
    Ramanujan
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    Posted: Feb. 17, 2018 - 11:49 PM ET #17

    Love the analysis Aussie. For us thickos can you summarise what you think it means for the later games?
    Reply
    Love the analysis Aussie. For us thickos can you summarise what you think it means for the later games?
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