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    All Forums | Other

    Stevie Wonder's AFL picks - Round 2

    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
    ecoute
    HeadOverHeart
    Hendy
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    Views: 1030
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    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 8:25 PM ET #26

    DT
    Didak over Peebles

    $100 @ $1.95

    Purely about positional play. Pies will get it in quick. Dees will take a long time to work it out of defense trying to play keep offs....... that is what I think will happen anyway.
    Reply
    DT
    Didak over Peebles

    $100 @ $1.95

    Purely about positional play. Pies will get it in quick. Dees will take a long time to work it out of defense trying to play keep offs....... that is what I think will happen anyway.
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 8:26 PM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

    well done over backers, the weather gods were certainly kind on that one. Turned out to be a perfect, clear, still night for football.



    Thanks for the info Jive. We all make money when we help each other like you did for us
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:

    well done over backers, the weather gods were certainly kind on that one. Turned out to be a perfect, clear, still night for football.



    Thanks for the info Jive. We all make money when we help each other like you did for us
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 8:57 PM ET #28

    I actually consider the following a risky play. I don't like wagering an over with such a big spread and it doesn't who is playing or how good or how bad they are. I expect the Dees to do enough to help this over hit.

    Dees O187.5
    $100 @ $1.90
    Reply
    I actually consider the following a risky play. I don't like wagering an over with such a big spread and it doesn't who is playing or how good or how bad they are. I expect the Dees to do enough to help this over hit.

    Dees O187.5
    $100 @ $1.90
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 9:02 PM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    DT
    Didak over Peebles

    $100 @ $1.95

    Purely about positional play. Pies will get it in quick. Dees will take a long time to work it out of defense trying to play keep offs....... that is what I think will happen anyway.


    I can't believe they would even offer such a prop in what should be a one-sided bloodbath.  At $1.95 yet?

    Wow.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    DT
    Didak over Peebles

    $100 @ $1.95

    Purely about positional play. Pies will get it in quick. Dees will take a long time to work it out of defense trying to play keep offs....... that is what I think will happen anyway.


    I can't believe they would even offer such a prop in what should be a one-sided bloodbath.  At $1.95 yet?

    Wow.
     
    Hendy
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    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 9:12 PM ET #30

    I think Pendles is a solid bet but not easy money.

    Last year Dids averaged 4 more... but Pendles had one game of 0 (Sydney Round 12) plus a game of 10 (Saints QF).

    The odds are about right but Dids might get their best tagger... oh, wait... it's Melbourne. ALL the DT scores are going to be huge.  
    Reply
    I think Pendles is a solid bet but not easy money.

    Last year Dids averaged 4 more... but Pendles had one game of 0 (Sydney Round 12) plus a game of 10 (Saints QF).

    The odds are about right but Dids might get their best tagger... oh, wait... it's Melbourne. ALL the DT scores are going to be huge.  
     
    Hendy
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    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 11:09 PM ET #31

    Mate... you don't like an over 170 at the Dome? I'm worried now because I expected it to be a $300 game for you.
    Reply
    Mate... you don't like an over 170 at the Dome? I'm worried now because I expected it to be a $300 game for you.
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 3, 2010 - 1:45 AM ET #32

    Hendy. This game has been a BIG FUCKING all around.
    Reply
    Hendy. This game has been a BIG FUCKING all around.
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 3, 2010 - 4:17 AM ET #33

    Weagles OVER 180.5
    $500 @ $1.75

    Really really like this to go over. I know about the outs but I also know that both teams are capable of bursts.
    Reply
    Weagles OVER 180.5
    $500 @ $1.75

    Really really like this to go over. I know about the outs but I also know that both teams are capable of bursts.
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 3, 2010 - 7:48 PM ET #34

    I should really stop at this point and try again next week

    Freo +15.5
    $200 @ $1.91

    Adelaide Lead Quarter Time
    $200 @ $1.77



    Reply
    I should really stop at this point and try again next week

    Freo +15.5
    $200 @ $1.91

    Adelaide Lead Quarter Time
    $200 @ $1.77



     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 3, 2010 - 7:50 PM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by Hendy:

    Mate... you don't like an over 170 at the Dome? I'm worried now because I expected it to be a $300 game for you.


    Hendy I did not actually see that one. Well done on that win. Having a terrible weekend this end and should not have chased with the Weagles game and well as should not have gone against my own advice with picking an over on a game with such a hard line............ lessons learnt.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Hendy:

    Mate... you don't like an over 170 at the Dome? I'm worried now because I expected it to be a $300 game for you.


    Hendy I did not actually see that one. Well done on that win. Having a terrible weekend this end and should not have chased with the Weagles game and well as should not have gone against my own advice with picking an over on a game with such a hard line............ lessons learnt.
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 3, 2010 - 7:54 PM ET #36

    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    DT
    Didak over Peebles

    $100 @ $1.95

    Purely about positional play. Pies will get it in quick. Dees will take a long time to work it out of defense trying to play keep offs....... that is what I think will happen anyway.


    That is just fucking Didak isn't it. Happy to get 140 and rotate that with a 40 the next week. Piece of shit can't handle the tag and gets a tag from an inexperienced and underage dees player and can't handle it. Where is the emoticon for the single finger.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    DT
    Didak over Peebles

    $100 @ $1.95

    Purely about positional play. Pies will get it in quick. Dees will take a long time to work it out of defense trying to play keep offs....... that is what I think will happen anyway.


    That is just fucking Didak isn't it. Happy to get 140 and rotate that with a 40 the next week. Piece of shit can't handle the tag and gets a tag from an inexperienced and underage dees player and can't handle it. Where is the emoticon for the single finger.
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Apr. 3, 2010 - 8:36 PM ET #37

    Didak is a lazy prick
    Reply
    Didak is a lazy prick
     
    Hendy
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    Posted: Apr. 3, 2010 - 9:39 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:



    Piece of shit can't handle the tag and gets a tag from an inexperienced and underage dees player and can't handle it. 

    Yeah... but the coaching in that game left a lot to be desired. If a player like Dids isn't getting the ball up forward, drop him on the half back line and let him touch it a couple of times. It was done with Leon on the ball in the last couple of minutes and that is what won the game. Dids gets the number 1 tagger most weeks.  

    Didak still had a better game than Brent Harvey... but so did Adam Pattison.

    I find it hard to expect a game to fall under 170 at the Dome... but without that big 1Q, it would have been damn close. 


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:



    Piece of shit can't handle the tag and gets a tag from an inexperienced and underage dees player and can't handle it. 

    Yeah... but the coaching in that game left a lot to be desired. If a player like Dids isn't getting the ball up forward, drop him on the half back line and let him touch it a couple of times. It was done with Leon on the ball in the last couple of minutes and that is what won the game. Dids gets the number 1 tagger most weeks.  

    Didak still had a better game than Brent Harvey... but so did Adam Pattison.

    I find it hard to expect a game to fall under 170 at the Dome... but without that big 1Q, it would have been damn close. 


     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 2:15 AM ET #39

    Live
    Freo H2H
    $500 @ $1.53

    Yep I am chasing again :(
    Reply
    Live
    Freo H2H
    $500 @ $1.53

    Yep I am chasing again :(
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 2:19 AM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by Hendy:


    Yeah... but the coaching in that game left a lot to be desired. If a player like Dids isn't getting the ball up forward, drop him on the half back line and let him touch it a couple of times. It was done with Leon on the ball in the last couple of minutes and that is what won the game. Dids gets the number 1 tagger most weeks.  

    Didak still had a better game than Brent Harvey... but so did Adam Pattison.

    I find it hard to expect a game to fall under 170 at the Dome... but without that big 1Q, it would have been damn close. 




    Some absolute DT shockers this round. I mean seriously I am going rip Tippett another one. Better of with Gumby and save $230k to split between on or more premiums elsewhere.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Hendy:


    Yeah... but the coaching in that game left a lot to be desired. If a player like Dids isn't getting the ball up forward, drop him on the half back line and let him touch it a couple of times. It was done with Leon on the ball in the last couple of minutes and that is what won the game. Dids gets the number 1 tagger most weeks.  

    Didak still had a better game than Brent Harvey... but so did Adam Pattison.

    I find it hard to expect a game to fall under 170 at the Dome... but without that big 1Q, it would have been damn close. 




    Some absolute DT shockers this round. I mean seriously I am going rip Tippett another one. Better of with Gumby and save $230k to split between on or more premiums elsewhere.
     
    Hendy
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 3:00 AM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:



    Some absolute DT shockers this round. I mean seriously I am going rip Tippett another one. Better of with Gumby and save $230k to split between on or more premiums elsewhere.

    Better they do it this week before the head to head starts.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:



    Some absolute DT shockers this round. I mean seriously I am going rip Tippett another one. Better of with Gumby and save $230k to split between on or more premiums elsewhere.

    Better they do it this week before the head to head starts.
     
    Hendy
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 3:03 AM ET #42

    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:



    Some absolute DT shockers this round. I mean seriously I am going rip Tippett another one. Better of with Gumby and save $230k to split between on or more premiums elsewhere.

    Best they get it out of their system this week before the head to head. This should inspire Boomer.

    Gumby will be hit and miss all year... he'll play so it's better than a zero... but I wouldn't count on him scoring over 40.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:



    Some absolute DT shockers this round. I mean seriously I am going rip Tippett another one. Better of with Gumby and save $230k to split between on or more premiums elsewhere.

    Best they get it out of their system this week before the head to head. This should inspire Boomer.

    Gumby will be hit and miss all year... he'll play so it's better than a zero... but I wouldn't count on him scoring over 40.
     
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 3:13 AM ET #43

    Live - second quarter

    $200 @ $3.45
    WBdgs (-13.5)/Over 49.5

    $200 @ $3.45
    WBdgs (-13.5)/Under 49.5

    $200 @ $3.45
    Richmond (+13.5)/Over 49.5
    Reply
    Live - second quarter

    $200 @ $3.45
    WBdgs (-13.5)/Over 49.5

    $200 @ $3.45
    WBdgs (-13.5)/Under 49.5

    $200 @ $3.45
    Richmond (+13.5)/Over 49.5
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 3:26 AM ET #44

    Live

    Richmond +73.5
    $200 @ $1.85
    Reply
    Live

    Richmond +73.5
    $200 @ $1.85
     
    Hendy
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 3:59 AM ET #45

    I wish I could trust Richmond. +73.5 is a nice line.
    Reply
    I wish I could trust Richmond. +73.5 is a nice line.
     
    Hendy
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 5:12 AM ET #46

    ON THE SIREN 
    Reply
    ON THE SIREN 
     
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 5:19 AM ET #47

    Terrible weekend Hendy. I'm almost tempted to go against my own picks so I can get some wins in
    Reply
    Terrible weekend Hendy. I'm almost tempted to go against my own picks so I can get some wins in
     
    Hendy
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 5:26 AM ET #48

    I'm happy that I broke even. The trick is to last through these weekends... which I didn't do last season. My bad money management saw me drop away real early.

    I'm just going to watch tomorrow... too many random events this weekend.
    Reply
    I'm happy that I broke even. The trick is to last through these weekends... which I didn't do last season. My bad money management saw me drop away real early.

    I'm just going to watch tomorrow... too many random events this weekend.
     
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 10:07 PM ET #49

    I'm bringing in another grand for the Cats game.

    Cats OVER 187.5
    $1200 @ $1.85

    Last three out of four games these teams have played at the G have gone OVER.
    • The average of those last four games is 195.
    • Although meaning little the MCG average is 193.
    • Average O/U total for the MCG games from Sportstab is 194.
    • Weather is fine apparently.
    • The Hawks inclusions mean more firepower. Milburn being out means nothing because his TOG is and will be greatly reduced this year.
    I am not a great follower of the Hawks or Cats so I don't know about matchups all that well. Gman can you offer anything........... he is probably at the game though.
    Reply
    I'm bringing in another grand for the Cats game.

    Cats OVER 187.5
    $1200 @ $1.85

    Last three out of four games these teams have played at the G have gone OVER.
    • The average of those last four games is 195.
    • Although meaning little the MCG average is 193.
    • Average O/U total for the MCG games from Sportstab is 194.
    • Weather is fine apparently.
    • The Hawks inclusions mean more firepower. Milburn being out means nothing because his TOG is and will be greatly reduced this year.
    I am not a great follower of the Hawks or Cats so I don't know about matchups all that well. Gman can you offer anything........... he is probably at the game though.
     
     
    Hendy
    Hendy
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2005
    Posts: 2271
    Posted: Apr. 4, 2010 - 11:40 PM ET #50

    Fark me... I have to follow a $1200 bet by you. That's massive. Is it chasing or are you THAT confident?

    I've gone the 1H O95.5 because a lot of the games have gone quiet in the 2H... teams don't have their legs yet.


    Reply
    Fark me... I have to follow a $1200 bet by you. That's massive. Is it chasing or are you THAT confident?

    I've gone the 1H O95.5 because a lot of the games have gone quiet in the 2H... teams don't have their legs yet.


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