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Stevie Wonders - AFL Round 14

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Posted: #1
 
Having a real Barry Croker the last 2-3 weeks. Lets see if we can reverse that.
 
ROUGHHEAD v LeCras
$20k @ $1.55 on the Roughster
 
LeCras won't play full minutes and may not even play in the forward half of the ground when he is on. Weagles will double Buddy Love (they always predictably double dominant forwards) leaving Williams and Roughhead to have fun.
 
Hawks OVER 39.5
$10k @ $1.65
 
I'm just not seeing the Weagles improving. Seven goals shouldn't be a problem. Anyone else think Cox is carrying an injury ?
 
 
 
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Posted: #2
Will be interesting to see the final margin in the Hawks game.  I've got it pinned at 45.
 
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Juddless Blues

OVER 204.5

$20k @ $1.75

 
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Doggies OVER 204.5
$10k @ $1.85
 
When you have hot conditions you don't run the ball. You don't chip it around and try keep control. The kick it long. Add to that Port usually rises to challenge against high scoring teams.
 
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Posted: #5
Look for me on national TV to be  Joffa and urinating on his gold jacket. Swans will murder the Pies. I don't care who is in or out Swans are playing like a premiereship team and owe the Pies big time at ANZ.
 
Sydney OVER 15.5
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Posted: #6
Sainters +24.5
$10k @ $1.40
 
I think the Saints will win this one but at the same time I can't see in any wildest dream the Roos winning by more than 4 goals.
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

Look for me on national TV to be  Joffa and urinating on his gold jacket. Swans will murder the Pies. I don't care who is in or out Swans are playing like a premiereship team and owe the Pies big time at ANZ.
 
Sydney OVER 15.5
$10k @ $1.85


Hey, I like your way of thinking! 
 
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Posted: #8
where did you get 1.40 for the 25.5 start?  I'm seeing 1.20
Nice value.  I haven't decided on anything yet for this game, might look at the total.
 
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Posted: #9
Gman got it at Sportsacumen some hours ago. No idea what it is presently at. GL with your pick Gman
 
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Posted: #10
ps. Got it means saw it not took the bet with $$$$$  
 
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I have just been having a look at that game Gman. I really am convinced the Saints can win this outright.
 
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Posted: #12
My recommendation would be the under 185.5 in this game.
 
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Posted: #13
I might take the under there mate, but only concern is the kangaroos have been running hard the last 4-5 weeks and putting up some big scores.
 
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Posted: #14
I was mulling that myself and I have this nagging feeling that the Saints might ramp it up to. I have a rule that says that position mismatches means OVERS but at the same time the Saints need to win to do that they will need to play their pocession game, they can't keep up with the legs of some of the Roos players. If they get ahead they will slow it down, they will waste time at the end of quarters. If the Roos get ahead I believe the Saints will also try slow it down to focus on accuracy. Anyhow just my thoughts mate for what they are worth
 
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Posted: #15
good on you steve.  Decided to pass on the total and took your advice on the +24.5 , got $1.45 odds for it.  I think Sainters should be able to keep it close enough, only thing that worries me is kangaroos look quite pacey in the midfield compared to the saints... hopefully riewoldt will spend more up forward this week and not have to go down half back like he did last week and kozi can fire up.
 
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Posted: #16
not a very good start by the roos here stevey... 22-3
riewoldt missed an easy one too
 
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Posted: #17
28-3 at 1/4 time Roos way. Saints are looking truly dreadful... only once looked  a chance of kicking a goal and it was riewoldt on his own hitting the post from 30metres out. ggrrr
 
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Posted: #18
This is a dreadful display by the Saints. Sorry Gman.
 
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Saints have come back and kicked 4 goals in a row but im not sold yet, they are trying harder and playing better but still making far too many skill errors for mine and Kangaroos still looking much more dangerous (and as I type this roos kick another goal damn)
 
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Posted: #20
 
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What a turn around by the Saints
 
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Looking good for the over in the top end.
 
Good thing the Roos haven't decided to relocate to the Coast. Anyone watching / listening would have noticed that the crowd was very very heavily Saints and not so enthusiastic when the Roos kicked goals.
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

What a turn around by the Saints


You never sweated it for a minute either!
 
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Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

Looking good for the over in the top end.
 
Good thing the Roos haven't decided to relocate to the Coast. Anyone watching / listening would have noticed that the crowd was very very heavily Saints and not so enthusiastic when the Roos kicked goals.


Wouldn't that be because the Roos turned the GC down?
 
 
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Posted: #25

Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:



You never sweated it for a minute either!

I didn't but HOH but I bet Gman did

I don't anyone likes the Roos HOH. They tried to move up to Sydney about 10 years ago. They got the same reaction then

They were also talked about as possibly setting up in Darwin...... never would have happened but I remember hearing people saying they would not accept them, they wanted their own team.

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