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Rod's NBL Finals Week 1

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Posted: #1

Overall YTD (87-60-1) +78.77 units

Getting on this one now, the away team have covered in each of the 3 games in the series this season. Momentum is obviously a key factor coming into a playoff series and the Taipans definitely have that but the Breakers didn't wait so many years to finally make the playoffs to put in a stinker. Add to that the Taipans have the least impressive home record of all the teams in the playoffs I like the Breakers to keep this one close.
 
Breakers +7.5 over Taipans (7)
 
Small lean on the over especially with the Taipans seemingly rediscovering their offense late in the season. Will think about it a bit more.
 
 
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One thing worth thinking about in regard to the over is that in Perth NZ kept fouling to the end even though they were 10+ behind.
 
The play by play at the NBL site is indecipherable gibberish, but there was something like 30 points scored in the last 3 minutes because of this.
 
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by binomial:

One thing worth thinking about in regard to the over is that in Perth NZ kept fouling to the end even though they were 10+ behind.
 
The play by play at the NBL site is indecipherable gibberish, but there was something like 30 points scored in the last 3 minutes because of this.
 

I know what you mean, I was listening to that game on the radio and that last 2min literally took 15 min of real time to complete as both teams were fouling on every possession.

However the Breakers have shown all season that they thrive when they play uptempo and take the opponent away from playing halfcourt basketball. It's their only chance tonight to win IMO because you know the Snakes will win if this becomes a grind. Hoping for a similar 3 point shooting display by the Breakers in Cairns tonight

 
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Posted: #4

Going ahead and playing the over. As I mentioned above I'm of the belief that the breakers/over plays go hand in hand.

o194.5 Taipans v Breakers (3)

 
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Posted: #5
Love the Breakers tonight Rod. Over has moved to 196.5 on my book so that one is a no go.
 
Good luck mate
 
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Posted: #6

Breakers +7.5 =

o194.5 Taipans v Breakers =

 
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Posted: #7
No over analysing for tonight. Taking the better team who have unfinished business after being in the same position as last season but losing the playoff game against the Taipans.
 
Wildcats -8.5 over Crocs (5)
 
The NBL playoff format is a bit of a joke, brutal schedule for the Crocs having to play on Wednesday and then back up and play on Friday on the other side of the country.
 
 
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Posted: #8
GL Rod, I'm sure the Cats will come through for you 
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by rod_steel:

No over analysing for tonight. Taking the better team who have unfinished business after being in the same position as last season but losing the playoff game against the Taipans.
 
Wildcats -8.5 over Crocs (5)
 
The NBL playoff format is a bit of a joke, brutal schedule for the Crocs having to play on Wednesday and then back up and play on Friday on the other side of the country.
 

Ah yes, i remember i had the Taipans ML, that was a nice win. Any opinion of the total in this match.

 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by $CashingItIn$:

Ah yes, i remember i had the Taipans ML, that was a nice win. Any opinion of the total in this match.

Passing on the total in this one mate. Was tempted to take the over seeing how low it has been set but then felt the side was the better play (should have done that last night as well and left the total alone).  

 

 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by rod_steel:

Passing on the total in this one mate. Was tempted to take the over seeing how low it has been set but then felt the side was the better play (should have done that last night as well and left the total alone).  

Yeah, your right, that was ridiculous in taking the over. Missed out with Breakers. Your mate has the over in tonights match. Going to wait abit to see what happens. May take it.

Good Luck tonight.

 
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Posted: #12
Wildcats -8.5 =
 
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Posted: #13
Well done Rod, was a little surprised that binomial went the other way, it's nearly always a play for me when the both of you are on the same side.
 
GL for the rest of the finals, you are 'heating' up
 
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Posted: #14
 
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Posted: #15

Just a small one for tonight as I am not having much success with the totals

o215.5 Bullets v Breakers (3)

 
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Posted: #17
o215.5 Bullets v Breakers  =
 
 
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Posted: #18

NBL Finals Week 1 (2-2-0) +4.80 units

Overall YTD (89-62-1) +83.57 units

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