love vande velde in the next 3 days. think he might test the waters of the leaders. he mentioned after stage 10 that he could've gone with the leaders and should have. i think he hasn't shown everything yet. we'll see...
Stage 15:
Vande Velde over Efimkim +110 (5 units)
S. Sanchez over Cunego +110 (2 units)
Siutsou over Szmyd -110 (3 units)
Fothen over Moinard -105 (2 units)
love vande velde in the next 3 days. think he might test the waters of the leaders. he mentioned after stage 10 that he could've gone with the leaders and should have. i think he hasn't shown everything yet. we'll see...
All that I like. Can't wait to watch it. Looking for a winning day so i can be positive overall.
Stage 16:
F. Schlek over Menchov +113 (2 units)
Efimkim over Nibali -110 (2 units)
S. Sanchez over Valverde +125 (2 units)
Kreuziger over Vande Velde +117 (2 units)
Menchov over Evans +140 (2 units)
i may add menchov to win it all. i will see how he looks tomorrow, but at +250, i think there is a lot of value there. he probably wont gain any time tomorrow because of the downhill finish, but i will see how his form is.
All that I like. Can't wait to watch it. Looking for a winning day so i can be positive overall.
Stage 16:
F. Schlek over Menchov +113 (2 units)
Efimkim over Nibali -110 (2 units)
S. Sanchez over Valverde +125 (2 units)
Kreuziger over Vande Velde +117 (2 units)
Menchov over Evans +140 (2 units)
i may add menchov to win it all. i will see how he looks tomorrow, but at +250, i think there is a lot of value there. he probably wont gain any time tomorrow because of the downhill finish, but i will see how his form is.
i finally got back to positive. since stage 7, i am up over 10 units. but overall is what counts. i will take it. could have been a more profitable day if sanchez had held that breakaway on the downhill finish, but i'll take it.
Stage 16: 3-2 +2.6 units
F. Schlek over Menchov +113 (2 units)
Efimkim over Nibali -110 (2 units)
S. Sanchez over Valverde +125 (2 units)
Kreuziger over Vande Velde +117 (2 units)
Menchov over Evans +140 (2 units)
Stage 1 = - 1.80 units
Stage 2 = +6.80 units
Stage 3 = no plays
Stage 4 = no plays
Stage 5 = -11.80 units
Stage 6 = - 4.00 units
Stage 7 = +2.00 units
Stage 8 = -0.90 units
Stage 9 = -2.70 units
Stage 10 = +7.15 units
Stage 11 = -1.80 units
Stage 12 = no plays
Stage 13 = +4.70 units
Stage 14 = no plays
Stage 15 = +2.30 units
Stage 16 = +2.60 units
Total = +2.55 units
i finally got back to positive. since stage 7, i am up over 10 units. but overall is what counts. i will take it. could have been a more profitable day if sanchez had held that breakaway on the downhill finish, but i'll take it.
i made some careless big bets early in the race, but i really like vande velde tomorrow. he was right off the leaders today but crashed which is why this line is so low. i think he beats kreuziger 8 or 9 times out of 10 up these mountains. i like the szmyd bet a lot b/c he has been riding well the past 2 day and arroyo was in the break today so he will be spent. i think that menchov is going to go after it like he did on sunday before his fall. this is a value bet. they will probably finish together.
Stage 17 - the BIG one:
Szmyd over Arroyo -135 (3 units)
Vande Velde over Kreuziger -145 (6 units)
Menchov over Sastre +115 (2 units)
i made some careless big bets early in the race, but i really like vande velde tomorrow. he was right off the leaders today but crashed which is why this line is so low. i think he beats kreuziger 8 or 9 times out of 10 up these mountains. i like the szmyd bet a lot b/c he has been riding well the past 2 day and arroyo was in the break today so he will be spent. i think that menchov is going to go after it like he did on sunday before his fall. this is a value bet. they will probably finish together.
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