Posted:
#26
Tour de Suisse prologue : Fabian Cancellera win will but I don't have any way to place a bet @ 1.90 on this.
So I picked an H2H
Cancellera over Hushovd by 3 seconds @ 1.481 ( 7.7 units )
June Cycling: Dauphine Libere, Tour of Switzerland and Nationals
Posted:
#28
After reflection and analysis, I'll place 4 units for Stage 7.
Valverde is at the top of his game. He's the best to my perspective on uphill sprint finish. With his yellow jersey, he will give everything he has to keep it and beat Contador.
Valverde over Contador @ 2.56 ( 2 units )
Gesink is a strong rider, he can follow with the best. Evans couldn't follow the 1st time, he won't tomorrow.
Gesink over Evans @ 2.35 ( 1.8 units )
Posted:
#29
I've been waiting for this!
Tour of Switzerland
Kloden or Kreuziger will take it. I can always hedge.
10 units Kreuziger @ $4 - He is the best young rider out there. He smokes Andy Schleck as the next big thing. This kid is a gun. His form is awesome. His climbing is sensational and his time trialing is solid. Enough said!
Posted:
#34
I like your call on Martin. If Cancellara fails to win, he won't probably take it. A top 3 @ 2.20 is great money.
I guess you pick your Race Matchups on Pinnacle, but why didn't you try Gerdemann over Monfort at the same price instead of Cunego.
I also like your play Kloden over Shleck. The kid is in preparation for his possible win in France. He won't push as hard as you could expect.
Posted:
#36
Bring the cash home.Wow what a race. I had Moncoutié in mind in the last 20 km. He did it.
With 10 km to go, my four men were all together. Gesink attacked and escaped about 20 seconds in front. The 3 others were riding together always answering to Evan's attacks. By the end, Gesink finished with Fulgsang a few seconds in front of Gesink. Valverde tried an attack but Evans finished a few meters in front. Contador couldn't answer 
Valverde over Contador @ 2.56 ( 2 units )
Gesink over Evans @ 2.35 ( 1.8 units )
Today's stage : 2-0 +5.55 units
Overall : 8-1 +16.75 units
Tour de Suisse results still to come.
Overall : 10-1 + 24.75 units
Posted:
#40
No matchups interesting in the last stage at the Dauphine. Valverde has won it for the 2nd year in row. The only thing I can see is that Evans will finish in front of Valverde but never by enough to grab the yellow jersey.
Well I might place Evans over Valverde @ 1.667 probably 5 units if I still feel it by the end of the night.
Nothing interesting neither in Switzerland, day off tomorrow.
I made up my mind....
Evans over Valverde @ 1.714 (2.8 units)
Posted:
#45
I think you should focus on H2H where you cashed in most of the time. I know the feel you can have winning a bet @ 20 and over but it will only happen once out of 20 times which makes it low value.
You lost 5 units today and 7 more yesterday.
I've no doubt you know the Tour, take advantage of the odds makers to cash in on H2H.
Posted:
#46
Quote Originally Posted by n1ck:
I think you should focus on H2H where you cashed in most of the time. I know the feel you can have winning a bet @ 20 and over but it will only happen once out of 20 times which makes it low value.
You lost 5 units today and 7 more yesterday.
I've no doubt you know the Tour, take advantage of the odds makers to cash in on H2H.
Not smooth
. I already covered this previously so I think the point got through. To be fair, another dog cashed today with Valverde winning the Dauphine as Evans finished 7 spots behind him in the stage. So, yes, there is value in betting the H2H but just like any other sport, people who can consistently sniff out the winning underdog plays will be the most successful. 
Posted:
#47
Today's stage was a perfect example of a random winner. There were no way Vegas could put up proper odds for the winner. Everyone who knows cycling knew that none of the top 10 favorites would have taken today's stage.
It was the last stage where Evans had no chance to take the overall lead, therefore, it's a chance for a bunch of ordinary cyclists to fight for the win. The favorite have done their job and they are taking it easy.
Evans failed to finish in front of Valverde. Remember not the bet on him in France, he doesn't know how to attack.
Dauphine is over : 8-2 +14 units
Time to focus on Switzerland but there's nothing too interesting until stage 5. I'll stay back
Posted:
#48
Stage 4 is pretty hard to judge. Will the break make it to the end ? There's a big HC climb around km 50 and a categorie 2 about 50 km from the line. Can the Rabobank and Columbia teams close the gap and bring their sprinters to the line ?
I won't take any chance but if there's a mass sprint here are the plays :
Cavendish over Freire @ 1.625 ( was @ 1.80 2 hours ago )
Hushovd over Freire @ 2.69
That's all about it, enjoy the race, last day in yellow for Cancellara.
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