HoH's AFL - Round 16

$15,000 @ $1.82 ON PORT ADELAIDE +6.5 V ADELAIDE
$10,000 @ $1.38 ON HAWTHORN V ST KILDA
$10,000 @ $3.38 ON WESTERN BULLDOGS/HAWTHORN MULTI
$5,000 @ $1.90 ON KANGAROOS +15.5 V COLLINGWOOD
$5,000 @ $1.52 ON GEELONG V WESTERN BULLDOGS
$5,000 @ $1.93 ON GEELONG -13.5 V WESTERN BULLDOGS
$10,000 @ $1.25 ON ESSENDON TO MISS TOP 8

 Well, Cats coming out strong in the 3rd Term, as advertised.  Their best quarter and the Dogs' worst.

Dogs have to keep it close.

Hope some got on the 3rd Q line for the Cats.  Would have made a great hedge for Dogs backers, especially since the tie score at Halftime probably set up a great line!

Quarter isn't over yet though...so anything can still happen.

Cats win the 3rd Quarter by 15.

Should be  a great finish.

Thanks Rod.

Congrats to Cats backers.  The Dogs faded hard in the 2nd Half.  Cats' stamina is great.

Still would like to see this match played at Telstra. 

Well, Hawthorn stuffed up.

Unreal.

I guess everyone knows what to do with the Dees pick.

Perhaps they read the Halftime report:

Tonight's other match has also offered a mostly one-sided affair, Hawthorn heading into half-time with a comfortable 10.7 (67) to 6.3 (39) lead over St Kilda at Docklands.

The forward combination of Lance Franklin and Mark Williams got the Hawks off to a flyer bagging three goals each.

Unbelievable.  I am absolutely voodoo to teams I touch on the ML.  When does Geelong play West Coast?  I'll let you guys know...

Who has St. Kilda beaten all season?

Not counting the inconsistent Roos and a bizarre Round One win over the Swans?

Exactly.  No one.  No one even close to the Hawks caliber.

And then they take down the Hawks, who have won 9 of their last 10 in TD?

Of course, you can say the Saints haven't lost at the TD on a Saturday night since 2003, but we can dig up all kinds of obscure factoids.

Hahaha...I am sure the next team I wager on ML will be giving me a call and paying me not to.....outrageous...

Consistent Hawks rover Luke Hodge tried to inject his team back into the game with 23 touches and two goals, but it was the Saints midfield which proved superior with Dal Santo, Leigh Montagna (31 touches) and Robert Harvey (29 possessions) leading the charge.



I told you it was bizarre...

But the Hawks looked panic-stricken after halftime when the pressure lifted, and made several bad errors, notably an interchange infringement which gifted Blake a 50-metre penalty and goal

I definitely jinxed the Hawks...HAHAHA!  When I took Brisbane over the Dees, the Lions had an interchange infringement AND a physio infringement!  Hahaha....

Good news is that you didn't take Port ML... so you'll bounce back tomorrow. GL dude.

Well, Leo Barry has called this round's match against the Blues a "must win."

Swans have beaten the Blues the last ten times dating back to 2000.

The Swans haven't lost three games in-a-row in four years.

So...

I wonder if I put $1000 ML on the Swans, will they lose?

Well... you don't have anything to prove. Play the line.

Looks like Swans, Port and Freo for me tomorrow

Good luck Hendy.  I will be off the Swans game because I want them to win.  I am the ML jinxer for sure!

geelong already played west coast and won by some 140 points, don't think they play again this year.

Hahaha...I was being a smart-ass, but if they did, I would put $1000 on Geelong, tell you guys to pound West Coast, then bail me out in thank you afterward. 

from memory an aussie punter put a million or something huge like that on the cats that day

The faltering Sydney Swans regard today's clash with Carlton at Telstra Dome as a huge must-win game as they attempt to fight off their rivals for fourth spot.

Successive losses to Collingwood and Hawthorn have helped propel the Magpies to within two points of the Swans. And with testing fixtures against Adelaide, the Western Bulldogs, Geelong, Collingwood and Brisbane looming, Sydney desperately need to kick start their campaign.

"I think it's a massive game," Sydney midfielder Kieren Jack said. "The past three weeks we've been really down on form.

"If we can get back to it in this game against Carlton, it's going to give us a lot of momentum going into the back end of the season."

Sydney coach Paul Roos confirmed Adam Goodes could possibly line up on Chris Judd and was looking for a more energetic performance from his team this week.

"The guys working for each other and working hard, that has really been the focus," Roos said. "The players themselves need to get a bit of that excitement and a bit of that enthusiasm [back]."

So, tell me, how do the Swans lose this one?

By me jumping on the ML?

I am very tempted to hit this ML hard just as an experiment.  To see if I am truly a ML jinx.

Hmmmmmmmmm.......

>$15,000 @ $1.82 ON PORT ADELAIDE +6.5 V ADELAIDE

So why are you on Rod's Crows PK play?

Like the Crows to win this, tipped them, but not playing them.

I need multiple big money bets for it to be a play, not a single big wager.

OK, just listened to Paul Roos speak.

Malceski is OUT.

However, he mentioned the need to force Carlton to play quickly in their own end and not give them their half of the field to work with (LIKE THE SWANS GAVE TO HAWTHORN LAST WEEK!!! GRRRRR!)  Roos says he wants to pressure hard this week up the middle and force the Blues into errors and quick turn-arounds for the Swan attack.

EXACTLY WHAT I WANTED TO HEAR.

Swans win when they play like that.  Now let's see them do it!

I am on the SWANS ML

GOD HELP ME and THE SWANS...

(Sorry, I chickened out again....took the ML, not the spread)

BTW, if the Swans lose this match, I am out for a while.

Will still give my (steadily getting shittier by the week) advice, but will be plugging up the drainage....

to us Swans' backers!  Let's get this shit!!!

Well, Sydney down by 16 at the Half.

84 to 7 was the free kick count in favor of the Blues.  Umpires lovin' that their mates hit up the Carlton TAB before the match.  None more so than when Swans kick two quick ones in-a-row to pull it within 16, a free whistled on what should have been a ball-up and then an immediate 50 free to Judd for supposed questioning the decision.

Both Fox Sports announcers had no clue and both of them said it was a bad call and should have been a bounce.

Half of Carlton's goals on frees.



That said, Swans are still in range to have an opportunity to break the jinxes of all jinxes.

Just don't tell Geelong that I am betting the house on their ML in the GF. 


BTW, the free count is actually 20 to 8.  Sickening.