Here it is. I think Sportingbet may be bringing it across.
12 units Australia Under 9.5 medals
I can't see where Australia can get 10 medals from.
Points Race - Toss of a coin. Cam Meyer could defend but he is the only Australian representative in it and being a defending champ, he is a marked man. He's been marked at the Track World Cups in this event. May get a medal. Probability 40%.
Team Sprint - No chance of getting a medal. France, Great Britain and Germany and New Zealand will battle out the medals. Cycling Australia are saying they reckon we're a chance. They are overrating the current Australian sprint team.
Individual Pursuit - We will definately get a medal. Jack Bobridge will get Gold or Silver. He won't miss a medal here unless he gets hit by a car and can't race. So that's one medal. Probability 99%
Keiren - Probability 30%
Scratch - Lottery. We could get a medal, again probability 30%.
Team Pursuit - We should get a medal here. Probability 99%
Kilo - No - Probability 20%.
Sprint - Maybe. Probability 40%
Madison - More than likely. Cam Meyer and Leigh Howard the blokes that will be leading us in the Madison I think. They should get a medal. Probability 70%.
Omnium - Leigh Howard is the defending champion. He might. Probability 50%.
Looking at that, I see that we will definately get two medals with another three a chance. That's 5.
Onto the Women's.
Individual Pursuit - No. Probability 20%
500 TT - Yes, Meares should pick up a medal. Probability 99%.
Team Pursuit - Maybe. Probability 50%.
Sprint - Meares will be fighting out the bronze if she gets that far. Probability 60%
Scratch - Lottery. We may through Belinda Goss, but doubtful. Probability 40%.
Omnium - Don't know. Probability 30%
Keirin - We might through Meares or McCulloch. Probability 60%.
Points - Lottery but probably not. Probability 30%.
I see a definate medal here. With maybe 3 more we might snag if we get lucky. That's 4 all up. I doubt we'll get four medals in the Women. Our team is still too raw. Meares is the only chance and maybe McCulloch. Goss may get a medal again in the scratch race.
Probability of this bet getting up. 85%. The men need to claim at least 7 medals if this bet loses. I can't see that happening. Can you?
If this bet doesn't get up, Australia fluked it somewhere.
On face value, this should get up. I predict we will get 6 medals.
Good luck!
Here it is. I think Sportingbet may be bringing it across.
12 units Australia Under 9.5 medals
I can't see where Australia can get 10 medals from.
Points Race - Toss of a coin. Cam Meyer could defend but he is the only Australian representative in it and being a defending champ, he is a marked man. He's been marked at the Track World Cups in this event. May get a medal. Probability 40%.
Team Sprint - No chance of getting a medal. France, Great Britain and Germany and New Zealand will battle out the medals. Cycling Australia are saying they reckon we're a chance. They are overrating the current Australian sprint team.
Individual Pursuit - We will definately get a medal. Jack Bobridge will get Gold or Silver. He won't miss a medal here unless he gets hit by a car and can't race. So that's one medal. Probability 99%
Keiren - Probability 30%
Scratch - Lottery. We could get a medal, again probability 30%.
Team Pursuit - We should get a medal here. Probability 99%
Kilo - No - Probability 20%.
Sprint - Maybe. Probability 40%
Madison - More than likely. Cam Meyer and Leigh Howard the blokes that will be leading us in the Madison I think. They should get a medal. Probability 70%.
Omnium - Leigh Howard is the defending champion. He might. Probability 50%.
Looking at that, I see that we will definately get two medals with another three a chance. That's 5.
Onto the Women's.
Individual Pursuit - No. Probability 20%
500 TT - Yes, Meares should pick up a medal. Probability 99%.
Team Pursuit - Maybe. Probability 50%.
Sprint - Meares will be fighting out the bronze if she gets that far. Probability 60%
Scratch - Lottery. We may through Belinda Goss, but doubtful. Probability 40%.
Omnium - Don't know. Probability 30%
Keirin - We might through Meares or McCulloch. Probability 60%.
Points - Lottery but probably not. Probability 30%.
I see a definate medal here. With maybe 3 more we might snag if we get lucky. That's 4 all up. I doubt we'll get four medals in the Women. Our team is still too raw. Meares is the only chance and maybe McCulloch. Goss may get a medal again in the scratch race.
Probability of this bet getting up. 85%. The men need to claim at least 7 medals if this bet loses. I can't see that happening. Can you?
If this bet doesn't get up, Australia fluked it somewhere.
On face value, this should get up. I predict we will get 6 medals.
NBA sucks. I've been screwed over the last week too so I'm not touching it.
I have a mate that doesn't gamble but he knows his cycling. He said he would pay me back whatever stake I place if the bet loses. He can't see Australia getting 10 medals. It's a solid play. Hopefully this pays off for both of us and whoever else is on it.
Take note: Australia did win 10 medals last year. But times have changed. New Zealand are a much stronger team, Great Britain are stronger. Denmark are looking good too.
I was looking at Great Britain over 8.5 but haven't pulled the trigger yet. Probably won't. Leaving it with this Australian bet.
Hopefully this works out!
Quote Originally Posted by belvedere86:
With you on this one. I hope we cash!
NBA sucks. I've been screwed over the last week too so I'm not touching it.
I have a mate that doesn't gamble but he knows his cycling. He said he would pay me back whatever stake I place if the bet loses. He can't see Australia getting 10 medals. It's a solid play. Hopefully this pays off for both of us and whoever else is on it.
Take note: Australia did win 10 medals last year. But times have changed. New Zealand are a much stronger team, Great Britain are stronger. Denmark are looking good too.
I was looking at Great Britain over 8.5 but haven't pulled the trigger yet. Probably won't. Leaving it with this Australian bet.
Expect a lot of medals from the Kiwis, particularly gold.
Kiwis will be my bet for the teams pursuit..most likely.
Regarding the poms, Hoy has come out and basically said he doesn't give a shit what happens, it's 2012 which matter and that's more important to him than some rainbow jersey...even though a rainbow jersey would be nice, it's 2012 that is more important.
Expect a lot of medals from the Kiwis, particularly gold.
Kiwis will be my bet for the teams pursuit..most likely.
Regarding the poms, Hoy has come out and basically said he doesn't give a shit what happens, it's 2012 which matter and that's more important to him than some rainbow jersey...even though a rainbow jersey would be nice, it's 2012 that is more important.
2 units France @ $2.25 - I think France will edge the Brits in this.
Women's Individual Pursuit
5 units Houvenaghel @ $2.20 - She will open the Brits account with a gold considering the Mens Sprint squad will open it with a silver.
Women's 500m Time Trial
Meares should get it from the defending champ but I can't justify laying those odds on Meares. Value in the defending champ. This will be a later in the day decision.
Mens Team Sprint
2 units France @ $2.25 - I think France will edge the Brits in this.
Women's Individual Pursuit
5 units Houvenaghel @ $2.20 - She will open the Brits account with a gold considering the Mens Sprint squad will open it with a silver.
Women's 500m Time Trial
Meares should get it from the defending champ but I can't justify laying those odds on Meares. Value in the defending champ. This will be a later in the day decision.
The way the guys are going, they will probably have 15 medals.
Nah, basically Meares is not certain of a medal in the sprint. Hope that Guo qualifies for the Bronze medal match as she can beat Meares for the Bronze.
We won't win a medal in the Keirin
Our other medal chance is the Madison. We will probably win a medal there.
Women's Points race, Mens Scratch race, Mens Omnium and Women's Omnium are the other events. No doubt Australia will probably fluke medals in the lottery there.
This is still line ball but its not looking good.
7 medals actually. 5 gold and 2 bronze.
The way the guys are going, they will probably have 15 medals.
Nah, basically Meares is not certain of a medal in the sprint. Hope that Guo qualifies for the Bronze medal match as she can beat Meares for the Bronze.
We won't win a medal in the Keirin
Our other medal chance is the Madison. We will probably win a medal there.
Women's Points race, Mens Scratch race, Mens Omnium and Women's Omnium are the other events. No doubt Australia will probably fluke medals in the lottery there.
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