Cycling: 2010 Tour Down Under

Sportingbet Australia now have a market up.

Overall: 2 units Rojas top 3 @ $4.50 $$$$$$$$$

Stage 1:

5 units Henderson top 3 @ $1.80

All bets in my blog too.

What did you end up doing?

I'm hoping Caisse are alert today as crosswinds could come into calculations

Just got back in time to check the line movements of the matchups and damn, these odds are all over the map today. Kinda surprised to see you fading Steegmans ( I see Hunter @ 2.15 being offered by bet365 ) so will stay away from this one. If you don't mind me doing so, I'll post my plays in here to keep it all under the same topic.

full tour plays

Rojas top 3 =>   0.5 to win 1.75 @ 4.5       (W.H)
Rojas vs Cooke =>  3.23 to win 2 @ 1.62  

stage 1 plays

Henderson top 3 => 1 to win 1 @ 2  (W.H)
McEwen vs Davis  => 1.31 to win 1 @ 1.76

BOL

I almost had the balls to choose the opposite but had to respect your call. That line movement was really crazy and gave me the feeling the books knew Steegmans would be fast today.

HTC-Columbia gets it with Greipel!  

lost
win
lost

not too bad. Rojas still looking good but Steegmans will almost definately get the podium now so there is one spot left.

3 units Steegmans over Henderson @ $1.83
1.5 unit Guarneri over Hunter @ $2.50

And that is why I faded Steegmans on stage one.

.5 unit Rojas @ $15 - Within an hour, his price has dropped to $9

5 units Rojas over Cooke @ $1.62

2 unit Roelandts over Hunter @ $2

.5 unit Steegmans over Greipel @ $3.20

lost
lost
won
won

in the end that 5 unit play was a 3.5

so finally got something, but i have lost the rojas top 3 overall

3 units Steegmans over Hunter @ $1.85
2 units Rojas over Roelandts @ $1.61

Good luck

win
lost

4 units Elmiger over Hincapie @ $2 - Hincapie will be working for Evans and Elmiger has a sensational record on this stage, off memory fourth last year.

3 units Steegmans over Henderson @ $1.66 - Steegmans should make the finish but not sure about Henderson

1 unit Rojas top 3 @ $???? whenever sportingbet release the odds - this guy has been 2nd and 3rd the last two years on this stage. Assume a small bunch come to the end, he's one of a few sprinters that can do this. - It was a tossup between Rojas and Steegmans but I went with Rojas.

2 unit Greipel to win @ $3.75 - enough said, they did the hill once last year and he still made it and won the stage. 20km of flat to the finish should be enough to catch back up with his strong columbia team.

I'm leaning Sulzberger over Evans @ $2.75 but not taking it.

Good luck.

BOL

Thanks - that didn't turn out well, in fact it's not looking good.

One last day to see how things go and then no action until March.

2 units Wyss over Cardosa @ $1.71
5 units McEwen top 3 @ $2.50
1 unit Henderson top 3 @ $3