There's a 10 % grade climb in the middle on the circuit. Just wondering if Contador can really beat Cancellara on home field ?
Andy Shleck will be strong on the road race and I think Frank might not finish it.
" Description
The start and finish are in the same location as the weekend road
races. After 1,930 m the course turns into the Via Vignalunga, the home
stretch of the 1971 road race won by Eddy Merckx.
At 3.140 km a gentle descent of 2,290 m into the village of
Capolago begins. After a level section of 1,790 m between Capolago and
Riva San Vitale, the road climbs gently for 730 m.
After a further level section and a gentle 950 m climb, there
follows a tough 650 m ascent with gradients of up to 10% at Rossa di
Rancate. The athletes then ride through the villages of Rancate,
Ligornetto, Stabio and Genestrerio on long straight sections with
gentle climbs (5,940 m).
The section between Genestrerio and the finish is identical to the last kilometre of the road race.
"
If you can find a detailled map on the TT, please post the link.
There's a 10 % grade climb in the middle on the circuit. Just wondering if Contador can really beat Cancellara on home field ?
Andy Shleck will be strong on the road race and I think Frank might not finish it.
" Description
The start and finish are in the same location as the weekend road
races. After 1,930 m the course turns into the Via Vignalunga, the home
stretch of the 1971 road race won by Eddy Merckx.
At 3.140 km a gentle descent of 2,290 m into the village of
Capolago begins. After a level section of 1,790 m between Capolago and
Riva San Vitale, the road climbs gently for 730 m.
After a further level section and a gentle 950 m climb, there
follows a tough 650 m ascent with gradients of up to 10% at Rossa di
Rancate. The athletes then ride through the villages of Rancate,
Ligornetto, Stabio and Genestrerio on long straight sections with
gentle climbs (5,940 m).
The section between Genestrerio and the finish is identical to the last kilometre of the road race.
"
If you can find a detailled map on the TT, please post the link.
One of them should get top 3. Those are value bets more than anything. Martin is over the odds. As is Boasson-Hagen. Ignatiev's price is very nice.
7 units Martin over Vinokourov @ $1.35
5 units Clement over Danielson @ $1.57
2 units Kiriyenka over Brajkovic @ $1.60
3 units Boasson-Hagen over Vinokourov @ $1.65
Martin should have Vinokourov's measure. Clement should have Danielson's measure considering Danielson has been sick. Kiriyenka should be too strong for Brajkovic and Boasson-Hagen should have Vinokourov's measure.
.5 unit Boasson-Hagen top 3 @ $12
1 unit Martin top 3 @ $9
.5 unit Ignatiev top 3 @ $9
One of them should get top 3. Those are value bets more than anything. Martin is over the odds. As is Boasson-Hagen. Ignatiev's price is very nice.
7 units Martin over Vinokourov @ $1.35
5 units Clement over Danielson @ $1.57
2 units Kiriyenka over Brajkovic @ $1.60
3 units Boasson-Hagen over Vinokourov @ $1.65
Martin should have Vinokourov's measure. Clement should have Danielson's measure considering Danielson has been sick. Kiriyenka should be too strong for Brajkovic and Boasson-Hagen should have Vinokourov's measure.
1 unit Wiggins to win @ $11 - Another Value. He may not win, he probably won't win, but Cancellara is way too small considering that Wiggins;
1. Is soley focusing on the Time Trial
2. Cancellara has both the Time Trial and Road Race in mind.
To explain my bets:
Kiryenka just completed a Grand Tour. Tuft should be too strong for him.
Martin should be too strong for Vinokourov
Danielson is recovering from illness, this is a good bet.
Boasson-Hagen is a risk, but again, it's more about fading Vinokourov than anything.
Kiryenka should have enough to beat Brajkovic.
I was going to put a Martin over Vinokourov and Wiggins over his opponent parlay but decided not to.
I suggest if anyone is following these plays, look at that multi I mentioned above.
There is so much value in top 3.
44 12:39:00 ZIRBEL Tom USA 13 15:31:00 IGNATIEV Mikhail RUS 12 15:32:00 BOOM Lars NED 9 15:35:00 BOASSON HAGEN Edvald NOR 5 15:39:00 MARTIN Tony GER 4 15:40:00 WIGGINS Bradley GBR 3 15:41:00 LARSSON Gustav SWE 2 15:42:00 CANCELLARA Fabian SUI 1 15:43:00 GRABSCH Bert GER LANG Sebastien
3 of those riders will podium. It's a very weak field.
Grabsch is going to struggle I feel. He won't make top 5.
My top 5 predictions.
1. Cancellara
2. Wiggins
3. Boasson-Hagen
4. Martin
5. Ignatiev
1 unit Wiggins to win @ $11 - Another Value. He may not win, he probably won't win, but Cancellara is way too small considering that Wiggins;
1. Is soley focusing on the Time Trial
2. Cancellara has both the Time Trial and Road Race in mind.
To explain my bets:
Kiryenka just completed a Grand Tour. Tuft should be too strong for him.
Martin should be too strong for Vinokourov
Danielson is recovering from illness, this is a good bet.
Boasson-Hagen is a risk, but again, it's more about fading Vinokourov than anything.
Kiryenka should have enough to beat Brajkovic.
I was going to put a Martin over Vinokourov and Wiggins over his opponent parlay but decided not to.
I suggest if anyone is following these plays, look at that multi I mentioned above.
There is so much value in top 3.
44 12:39:00 ZIRBEL Tom USA 13 15:31:00 IGNATIEV Mikhail RUS 12 15:32:00 BOOM Lars NED 9 15:35:00 BOASSON HAGEN Edvald NOR 5 15:39:00 MARTIN Tony GER 4 15:40:00 WIGGINS Bradley GBR 3 15:41:00 LARSSON Gustav SWE 2 15:42:00 CANCELLARA Fabian SUI 1 15:43:00 GRABSCH Bert GER LANG Sebastien
3 of those riders will podium. It's a very weak field.
Grabsch is going to struggle I feel. He won't make top 5.
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