AFL Round 2

I got some time... so thoughts are on (virtual) paper.

The Blues tall defenders can't keep up with the big guys. Waite is going to have to move down to JBrown. The small ground made the eGirls look good and kick goals through the mid... I expect Carlton to do the same. The way Brissy played that 4th, the line could be 60... but 20 is about right. I don't think the Blues will be able to keep pace with the big forwards but the Bears mids looked flat and slow. When they get going, the Bears are going to have a lot of value.

Leaning to the Bears at the line... but cautious.

This line is about right but as I got screwed by the Hawks 2H, it's early and percentage isn't as important as avoiding injuries. The MCG will also help the Dees keep it to about that line... but who is going to kick their goals?

That's a lot of points to give to the Saints. The Roos will have confidence with getting back 6 goals in the last quarter at AAMI. Saints should win but the Roos could and should keep it within that line.

No LeCras hurts. I was almost playing the eGirls... and they should cover this line. Port play well at Subi but I think we have shown by Freo that the home ground advantage will be back at Subi this year.

I think this one is the only clear play.

Is anyone brave enough to put money on the Dorkers to win away? 3 more games until Hurley comes back and the Bombers will become much better.

Only thing going for the Tigers is that it's at the MCG and not the dome. Rain might prevent a thrashing. Barry Hall to kick 7. 

Robert Walls is an idiot announcing Cousins is done. He's 30 and playing in probably the worst side... and is one of their top 3 players.

This could go either way but it's hard not to go with the Cats. They did struggle to kick goals for the first three quarters but turned it on when they needed. I expect the same game control.

1-1... which was the fall back position.

I don't understand why the Roos have so many points and the Dees don't have enough. The eGirls should win but their new structure is going to be tested. There will be some interesting options coming up but nothing yet.

I will however be on Adelaide BIG.

This line would have been a little low for the MCG... but this is at the Dome. Scores rarely go below 200... they do, but not often. Roos have history of 10-12 goal games and keeping them close last year... but new coach and their end of game effort see this going to 180s for me.

Playing a couple of short props:

Kane more DT points than Cox

Anthony more possies than Gram

Guys, the weather here in Perth is cloudy. No rain yet and if it comes in, it should be light and enough to make it slippery but not boggy. Will post an update again before the game... heading to Pies HQ to watch the early game.

Also playing the Lakers for three reasons... their home record is great, they will want the confidence against the #2 seed PLUS Rod says so. Considering the Bulls also because Rod knows his shit.